Sunday, November 27, 2016

MetLife Stadium

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The New England Patriots take on the New York Jets on Sunday, November 27, 2016 at MetLife Stadium. The opening line for this game has New England as 7.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 48. The Patriots are 8-2-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 4-6-0. The Jets have an over/under record of 5-5-0 and they are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Tom Brady finished with 280 yards through the air for New England last week. He completed 24 passes out of 40 attempts for a 60% completion percentage. The Patriots were led in rushing by LeGarrette Blount, who finished with 124 yards on 19 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 7 yards per carry. Malcolm Mitchell was the team leader in receiving with a total of 98 yards and 4 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 25 yards per reception. As a team in that game New England got a total of 28 first downs. Of those first downs, 9 came on the ground while 14 came through the air. They ran 71 total plays for 444 yards for the game. The Patriots ran for 171 yards on 30 attempts.

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Bryce Petty finished with 163 yards passing for New York last week. He went 19 for 32, resulting in a 59% completion percentage. The Jets were led on the ground by Matt Forte, who finished with 98 yards on 20 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. Robby Anderson led the team in receiving with 69 yards and 3 catches. He finished the game with an average of 23 yards per reception. New York had 17 first downs total. 6 came from running the ball and 8 came from a pass. They ran 58 total plays for 296 yards for the contest. The Jets ran for 139 yards on 25 carries as a team.

New England scores 27 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 6th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 22 passes on 32 attempts for a 69% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 269 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 6th in the league. The Patriots run for an average of 118 yards per game on 30 attempts for an average of 3.9 yards per carry. That ranks them 7th in the league. They also run 64 plays per contest and average 6 yards per play for an average of 387 yards per game, ranking their offense 6th overall this season. The Patriots average 22 first downs per game which ranks them 7th in the NFL. They accumulate 59.6 penalty yards per game via 6.4 penalties, which ranks 19th in the league.

New England allows 252 passing yards per game, ranking 15th, and they allow 18 points per contest on defense, which ranks 3rd. They give up 24 completions on 38 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 63%. The Patriots allow 103 rushing yards per game on 25 carries for an average of 4.1 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 15th in the NFL. New England allows 355 total yards per game including 5.4 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 16th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 7.5 penalties for 58.8 yards per game, ranking them 24th among NFL teams.

New York averages 18 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 29th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 20 passes per game on 35 attempts for a 57% completion percentage. They throw for 219 yards through the air per game, ranking them 26th. The Jets run for an average of 116 yards per game on 26 attempts for an average of 4.5 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 11th on the ground. They also run 63 plays per game and average 5.3 yards per play for a total of 335 yards per game, ranking them 23rd in the league on offense. The Jets get an average of 19 first downs per game, which ranks 28th. They average 49.1 penalty yards per game via 6.1 penalties, ranking them 28th in the NFL.

New York allows an average of 261 passing yards per game, which ranks 19th in the league. Their defense overall allows 24 points per contest, which has them ranked 21st. They give up 23 completions on 36 attempts for a completion percentage of 64% per game. The Jets allow 85 rushing yards per contest on 25 carries for a 3.4 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 4th in the NFL. New York allows 346 total yards per game for an average of 5.5 yards per play, which ranks 12th in the league. They force 5.4 penalties for 49.3 yards in each contest, ranking 1st.

New England Betting Trends

New England is 4-6-0 against the over/under this season

New England has an ATS record of 8-2-0 this season

New York Betting Trends

New York is 5-5-0 against the over/under this season

New York has an ATS record of 3-7-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

New England

11/20/16 WR Chris Hogan Back "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets
11/20/16 DL Jabaal Sheard Undisclosed "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets
11/20/16 WR Matthew Slater Leg injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets
11/20/16 TE Rob Gronkowski Lung "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets
10/15/16 LB Jonathan Freeny Shoulder IR
10/07/16 QB Jacoby Brissett Thumb IR
08/31/16 G Tre Jackson Knee PUP
08/30/16 T Sebastian Vollmer Hip PUP

New York

11/21/16 QB Ryan Fitzpatrick None expected to start Sunday vs. New England
11/20/16 LB Bruce Carter Quad "?" Sunday vs. New England
11/20/16 LB Josh Martin Concussion "?" Sunday vs. New England
11/20/16 TE Kellen Davis Elbow "?" Sunday vs. New England
11/20/16 C Nick Mangold Knee "?" Sunday vs. New England
11/09/16 T Ryan Clady Shoulder IR
11/07/16 CB Marcus Williams Ankle expected to miss 2-4 weeks
10/25/16 TE Braedon Bowman Knee IR
10/25/16 LB Erin Henderson Undisclosed IR
10/24/16 QB Geno Smith Knee out for season
10/12/16 WR Eric Decker Shoulder IR
09/29/16 DE Lawrence Thomas Shoulder IR

Josh's Pick: Take New England -7.5

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