Sunday, October 30, 2016

Ralph Wilson Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The New England Patriots take on the Buffalo Bills on Sunday, October 30, 2016 at Ralph Wilson Stadium. The opening line for this game has New England as 4.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 47. The Patriots are 6-1-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 2-5-0. The Bills have an over/under record of 5-2-0 and they are 4-3-0 against the spread.

Tom Brady finished with 222 yards through the air for New England last week. He completed 19 passes out of 26 attempts for a 73% completion percentage. The Patriots were led in rushing by LeGarrette Blount, who finished with 127 yards on 24 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 5 yards per carry. Rob Gronkowski was the team leader in receiving with a total of 93 yards and 4 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 23 yards per reception. As a team in that game New England got a total of 21 first downs. Of those first downs, 11 came on the ground while 9 came through the air. They ran 55 total plays for 362 yards for the game. The Patriots ran for 140 yards on 29 attempts.

Tyrod Taylor finished with 221 yards passing for Buffalo last week. He went 14 for 28, resulting in a 50% completion percentage. The Bills were led on the ground by Taylor, who finished with 35 yards on 7 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. Marquise Goodwin led the team in receiving with 93 yards and 4 catches. He finished the game with an average of 23 yards per reception. Buffalo had 16 first downs total. 4 came from running the ball and 9 came from a pass. They ran 54 total plays for 267 yards for the contest. The Bills ran for 67 yards on 22 carries as a team.

New England scores 25 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 10th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 22 passes on 31 attempts for a 71% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 261 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 11th in the league. The Patriots run for an average of 123 yards per game on 31 attempts for an average of 4 yards per carry. That ranks them 6th in the league. They also run 64 plays per contest and average 6 yards per play for an average of 384 yards per game, ranking their offense 7th overall this season. The Patriots average 21 first downs per game which ranks them 14th in the NFL. They accumulate 54.1 penalty yards per game via 6 penalties, which ranks 20th in the league.

New England allows 259 passing yards per game, ranking 20th, and they allow 15 points per contest on defense, which ranks 4th. They give up 25 completions on 39 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 64%. The Patriots allow 92 rushing yards per game on 24 carries for an average of 3.8 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 9th in the NFL. New England allows 351 total yards per game including 5.4 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 13th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.4 penalties for 53.7 yards per game, ranking them 5th among NFL teams.

Buffalo averages 27 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 5th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 17 passes per game on 28 attempts for a 61% completion percentage. They throw for 175 yards through the air per game, ranking them 31st. The Bills run for an average of 152 yards per game on 29 attempts for an average of 5.2 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 2nd on the ground. They also run 59 plays per game and average 5.5 yards per play for a total of 327 yards per game, ranking them 25th in the league on offense. The Bills get an average of 18 first downs per game, which ranks 24th. They average 65.6 penalty yards per game via 7 penalties, ranking them 8th in the NFL.

Buffalo allows an average of 236 passing yards per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Their defense overall allows 19 points per contest, which has them ranked 8th. They give up 20 completions on 33 attempts for a completion percentage of 61% per game. The Bills allow 125 rushing yards per contest on 30 carries for a 4.2 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 27th in the NFL. Buffalo allows 361 total yards per game for an average of 5.5 yards per play, which ranks 18th in the league. They force 7.9 penalties for 59.6 yards in each contest, ranking 26th.

New England Betting Trends

New England is 2-5-0 against the over/under this season

New England has an ATS record of 6-1-0 this season

Buffalo Betting Trends

Buffalo is 5-2-0 against the over/under this season

Buffalo has an ATS record of 4-3-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

New England

10/23/16 DT Vincent Valentine Back "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
10/15/16 LB Jonathan Freeny Shoulder IR
10/07/16 QB Jacoby Brissett Thumb IR
08/31/16 G Tre Jackson Knee PUP
08/30/16 RB Dion Lewis Knee PUP
08/30/16 T Sebastian Vollmer Hip PUP

Buffalo

10/24/16 WR Marquise Goodwin Concussion injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. New England
10/23/16 S Aaron Williams Head injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. New England
10/23/16 RB LeSean McCoy Hamstring injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. New England
10/23/16 T Seantrel Henderson Back "?" Sunday vs. New England
10/23/16 DT Marcell Dareus Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. New England
10/23/16 C Patrick Lewis Knee "?" Sunday vs. New England
10/23/16 WR Robert Woods Foot "?" Sunday vs. New England
10/14/16 WR Greg Salas Groin IR
09/30/16 WR Sammy Watkins Ankle IR
09/02/16 TE Chris Gragg Knee IR
09/02/16 LB IK Enemkpali Knee IR
09/01/16 LB Reggie Ragland Knee IR
08/31/16 WR Kolby Listenbee Groin PUP
08/31/16 WR Marcus Easley Knee PUP

Josh's Pick: Take Buffalo

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