Sunday, December 11, 2016

EverBank Field

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The Minnesota Vikings take on the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday, December 11, 2016 at EverBank Field. The opening line for this game has Minnesota as 3 point favorites and the over/under was set at 40. The Vikings are 7-5-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 4-8-0. The Jaguars have an over/under record of 7-5-0 and they are 5-7-0 against the spread.

Sam Bradford finished with 247 yards through the air for Minnesota last week. He completed 32 passes out of 45 attempts for a 71% completion percentage. The Vikings were led in rushing by Jerick McKinnon, who finished with 41 yards on 9 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 5 yards per carry. Adam Thielen was the team leader in receiving with a total of 86 yards and 7 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 12 yards per reception. As a team in that game Minnesota got a total of 21 first downs. Of those first downs, 3 came on the ground while 16 came through the air. They ran 69 total plays for 318 yards for the game. The Vikings ran for 87 yards on 19 attempts.

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Blake Bortles finished with 181 yards passing for Jacksonville last week. He went 19 for 42, resulting in a 45% completion percentage. The Jaguars were led on the ground by T.J. Yeldon, who finished with 55 yards on 14 carries. He ended the game with an average of 4 yards per rush. Neal Sterling led the team in receiving with 43 yards and 5 catches. He finished the game with an average of 9 yards per reception. Jacksonville had 19 first downs total. 7 came from running the ball and 10 came from a pass. They ran 81 total plays for 333 yards for the contest. The Jaguars ran for 154 yards on 38 carries as a team.

Minnesota scores 19 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 26th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 25 passes on 36 attempts for a 69% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 224 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 25th in the league. The Vikings run for an average of 72 yards per game on 25 attempts for an average of 2.9 yards per carry. That ranks them 32nd in the league. They also run 63 plays per contest and average 4.7 yards per play for an average of 297 yards per game, ranking their offense 31st overall this season. The Vikings average 18 first downs per game which ranks them 27th in the NFL. They accumulate 56.4 penalty yards per game via 6.7 penalties, which ranks 26th in the league.

Minnesota allows 200 passing yards per game, ranking 4th, and they allow 17 points per contest on defense, which ranks 4th. They give up 21 completions on 35 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 60%. The Vikings allow 104 rushing yards per game on 24 carries for an average of 4.3 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 17th in the NFL. Minnesota allows 303 total yards per game including 4.9 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 3rd in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 5.9 penalties for 48.8 yards per game, ranking them 2nd among NFL teams.

Jacksonville averages 19 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 27th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 24 passes per game on 40 attempts for a 60% completion percentage. They throw for 233 yards through the air per game, ranking them 22nd. The Jaguars run for an average of 101 yards per game on 24 attempts for an average of 4.2 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 22nd on the ground. They also run 66 plays per game and average 5.1 yards per play for a total of 334 yards per game, ranking them 23rd in the league on offense. The Jaguars get an average of 21 first downs per game, which ranks 19th. They average 73.6 penalty yards per game via 7.6 penalties, ranking them 12th in the NFL.

Jacksonville allows an average of 196 passing yards per game, which ranks 2nd in the league. Their defense overall allows 26 points per contest, which has them ranked 26th. They give up 21 completions on 32 attempts for a completion percentage of 66% per game. The Jaguars allow 116 rushing yards per contest on 29 carries for a 4 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 26th in the NFL. Jacksonville allows 311 total yards per game for an average of 4.9 yards per play, which ranks 4th in the league. They force 6.5 penalties for 58.3 yards in each contest, ranking 23rd.

Minnesota Betting Trends

Minnesota is 4-8-0 against the over/under this season

Minnesota has an ATS record of 7-5-0 this season

Jacksonville Betting Trends

Jacksonville is 7-5-0 against the over/under this season

Jacksonville has an ATS record of 5-7-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Minnesota

12/04/16 G Joe Berger Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
12/04/16 CB Mackensie Alexander Groin "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
12/04/16 CB Marcus Sherels Ribs "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
11/16/16 T Jake Long Achilles IR
10/11/16 OT Andre Smith Elbow IR
09/23/16 DT Sharrif Floyd Knee out indefinitely
09/21/16 T Matt Kalil Hip IR
09/19/16 RB Adrian Peterson Knee IR
08/31/16 T Mike Harris Undisclosed PUP
08/30/16 QB Teddy Bridgewater Knee IR
08/11/16 QB Taylor Heinicke Foot out indefinitely

Jacksonville

12/06/16 G Brandon Linder Ankle injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Minnesota
12/06/16 WR Rashad Greene Achilles IR
12/05/16 RB Denard Robinson Ankle injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Minnesota
12/04/16 WR Allen Hurns Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Minnesota
12/04/16 RB Chris Ivory Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Minnesota
12/04/16 DL Jared Odrick Shoulder "?" Sunday vs. Minnesota
12/04/16 TE Julius Thomas Back "?" Sunday vs. Minnesota
11/25/16 TE Marcedes Lewis Calf IR
10/26/16 DT Roy Miller Achilles IR
10/05/16 T Luke Joeckel ACL IR
09/05/16 T Josh Wells Thumb IR
08/31/16 DE Jonathan Woodard Achilles PUP
08/31/16 C Luke Bowanko Hip PUP

Josh's Pick: Take Minnesota -3

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