Saturday, December 24, 2016

Lambeau Field

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The Minnesota Vikings travel to Lambeau Field to play the Green Bay Packers on Saturday, December 24, 2016. The opening line for this game has Green Bay as 6.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 43.5. The Vikings are 8-6-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 5-9-0. The Packers have an over/under record of 8-6-0 and they are 7-6-1 against the spread.

Sam Bradford finished with 291 yards through the air for Minnesota last week. He completed 32 passes out of 42 attempts for a 76% completion percentage. The Vikings were led in rushing by Adrian Peterson, who finished with 22 yards on 6 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 4 yards per carry. Kyle Rudolph was the team leader in receiving with a total of 97 yards and 8 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 12 yards per reception. As a team in that game Minnesota got a total of 20 first downs. Of those first downs, 0 came on the ground while 18 came through the air. They ran 56 total plays for 282 yards for the game. The Vikings ran for 34 yards on 9 attempts.

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Aaron Rodgers finished with 252 yards passing for Green Bay last week. He went 19 for 31, resulting in a 61% completion percentage. The Packers were led on the ground by Ty Montgomery, who finished with 162 yards on 16 carries. He ended the game with an average of 10 yards per rush. Jordy Nelson led the team in receiving with 124 yards and 7 catches. He finished the game with an average of 18 yards per reception. Green Bay had 20 first downs total. 9 came from running the ball and 9 came from a pass. They ran 58 total plays for 451 yards for the contest. The Packers ran for 226 yards on 23 carries as a team.

Minnesota scores 19 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 25th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 25 passes on 36 attempts for a 69% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 231 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 22nd in the league. The Vikings run for an average of 71 yards per game on 24 attempts for an average of 3 yards per carry. That ranks them 32nd in the league. They also run 62 plays per contest and average 4.9 yards per play for an average of 302 yards per game, ranking their offense 31st overall this season. The Vikings average 19 first downs per game which ranks them 26th in the NFL. They accumulate 56.9 penalty yards per game via 6.6 penalties, which ranks 25th in the league.

Minnesota allows 206 passing yards per game, ranking 3rd, and they allow 19 points per contest on defense, which ranks 6th. They give up 21 completions on 35 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 60%. The Vikings allow 106 rushing yards per game on 25 carries for an average of 4.2 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 18th in the NFL. Minnesota allows 312 total yards per game including 5 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 3rd in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.4 penalties for 53.9 yards per game, ranking them 4th among NFL teams.

Green Bay averages 26 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 7th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 25 passes per game on 39 attempts for a 64% completion percentage. They throw for 257 yards through the air per game, ranking them 10th. The Packers run for an average of 108 yards per game on 23 attempts for an average of 4.7 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 15th on the ground. They also run 64 plays per game and average 5.7 yards per play for a total of 365 yards per game, ranking them 10th in the league on offense. The Packers get an average of 22 first downs per game, which ranks 9th. They average 52.2 penalty yards per game via 6.2 penalties, ranking them 17th in the NFL.

Green Bay allows an average of 259 passing yards per game, which ranks 24th in the league. Their defense overall allows 24 points per contest, which has them ranked 23rd. They give up 22 completions on 34 attempts for a completion percentage of 65% per game. The Packers allow 96 rushing yards per contest on 24 carries for a 4 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 9th in the NFL. Green Bay allows 355 total yards per game for an average of 5.9 yards per play, which ranks 19th in the league. They force 6.9 penalties for 61.7 yards in each contest, ranking 22nd.

Minnesota Betting Trends

Minnesota is 5-9-0 against the over/under this season

Minnesota has an ATS record of 8-6-0 this season

Green Bay Betting Trends

Green Bay is 8-6-0 against the over/under this season

Green Bay has an ATS record of 7-6-1 this season

Injuries to Watch

Minnesota

12/19/16 WR Adam Thielen Neck injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Green Bay
12/19/16 DT Tom Johnson Hamstring injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Green Bay
12/18/16 G Brandon Fusco Concussion "?" Saturday vs. Green Bay
12/18/16 WR Laquon Treadwell Ankle "?" Saturday vs. Green Bay
12/18/16 CB Trae Waynes Concussion "?" Saturday vs. Green Bay
12/14/16 DT Sharrif Floyd Knee IR
12/07/16 S Harrison Smith Ankle out indefinitely
11/16/16 T Jake Long Achilles IR
10/11/16 OT Andre Smith Elbow IR
09/21/16 T Matt Kalil Hip IR
08/31/16 T Mike Harris Undisclosed PUP
08/30/16 QB Teddy Bridgewater Knee IR
08/11/16 QB Taylor Heinicke Foot out indefinitely

Green Bay

12/18/16 RB James Starks Concussion "?" Saturday vs. Minnesota
12/18/16 C JC Tretter Knee "?" Saturday vs. Minnesota
12/18/16 LB Nick Perry Hand "?" Saturday vs. Minnesota
12/07/16 DT Mike Pennel Suspension expected to miss next 4 games
12/06/16 CB Demetri Goodson Knee IR
11/16/16 RB Don Jackson Undisclosed IR
10/26/16 WR Jared Abbrederis Quad IR
10/25/16 S Chris Banjo Hamstring IR
10/20/16 RB Eddie Lacy Ankle IR
09/25/16 CB Sam Shields Concussion IR

Josh's Pick: Take Green Bay -6.5

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