Saturday, December 17, 2016

MetLife Stadium

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The Miami Dolphins travel to MetLife Stadium to play the New York Jets on Saturday, December 17, 2016. The opening line for this game has Miami as 3 point favorites and the over/under was set at 41.5. The Dolphins are 7-5-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 9-4-0. The Jets have an over/under record of 6-7-0 and they are 5-8-0 against the spread.

Ryan Tannehill finished with 195 yards through the air for Miami last week. He completed 15 passes out of 20 attempts for a 75% completion percentage. The Dolphins were led in rushing by Jay Ajayi, who finished with 48 yards on 20 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 2 yards per carry. Jarvis Landry was the team leader in receiving with a total of 103 yards and 4 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 26 yards per reception. As a team in that game Miami got a total of 15 first downs. Of those first downs, 3 came on the ground while 11 came through the air. They ran 57 total plays for 314 yards for the game. The Dolphins ran for 83 yards on 31 attempts.

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Bryce Petty finished with 257 yards passing for New York last week. He went 23 for 35, resulting in a 66% completion percentage. The Jets were led on the ground by Bilal Powell, who finished with 145 yards on 29 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. Robby Anderson led the team in receiving with 99 yards and 6 catches. He finished the game with an average of 17 yards per reception. New York had 24 first downs total. 13 came from running the ball and 11 came from a pass. They ran 81 total plays for 404 yards for the contest. The Jets ran for 188 yards on 40 carries as a team.

Miami scores 22 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 20th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 20 passes on 30 attempts for a 67% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 217 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 27th in the league. The Dolphins run for an average of 109 yards per game on 24 attempts for an average of 4.5 yards per carry. That ranks them 14th in the league. They also run 57 plays per contest and average 5.7 yards per play for an average of 327 yards per game, ranking their offense 26th overall this season. The Dolphins average 17 first downs per game which ranks them 29th in the NFL. They accumulate 75.7 penalty yards per game via 8.1 penalties, which ranks 3rd in the league.

Miami allows 234 passing yards per game, ranking 10th, and they allow 23 points per contest on defense, which ranks 18th. They give up 22 completions on 36 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 61%. The Dolphins allow 134 rushing yards per game on 28 carries for an average of 4.8 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 30th in the NFL. Miami allows 367 total yards per game including 5.5 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 24th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 7.2 penalties for 59.8 yards per game, ranking them 19th among NFL teams.

New York averages 18 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 29th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 20 passes per game on 35 attempts for a 57% completion percentage. They throw for 222 yards through the air per game, ranking them 26th. The Jets run for an average of 111 yards per game on 26 attempts for an average of 4.3 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 10th on the ground. They also run 63 plays per game and average 5.3 yards per play for a total of 334 yards per game, ranking them 23rd in the league on offense. The Jets get an average of 18 first downs per game, which ranks 27th. They average 54.1 penalty yards per game via 6.3 penalties, ranking them 28th in the NFL.

New York allows an average of 253 passing yards per game, which ranks 22nd in the league. Their defense overall allows 25 points per contest, which has them ranked 24th. They give up 23 completions on 36 attempts for a completion percentage of 64% per game. The Jets allow 102 rushing yards per contest on 26 carries for a 3.9 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 17th in the NFL. New York allows 355 total yards per game for an average of 5.6 yards per play, which ranks 19th in the league. They force 4.8 penalties for 43.2 yards in each contest, ranking 1st.

Miami Betting Trends

Miami is 9-4-0 against the over/under this season

Miami has an ATS record of 7-5-1 this season

New York Betting Trends

New York is 6-7-0 against the over/under this season

New York has an ATS record of 5-8-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami

12/12/16 QB Ryan Tannehill Knee out indefinitely
12/11/16 LB Jelani Jenkins Knee "?" Saturday vs. NY Jets
12/11/16 LB Kiko Alonso Thumb "?" Saturday vs. NY Jets
12/11/16 DE Mario Williams Ankle "?" Saturday vs. NY Jets
12/11/16 CB Xavien Howard Knee "?" Saturday vs. NY Jets
12/07/16 C Mike Pouncey Hip out indefinitely
11/05/16 TE Jordan Cameron Concussion IR
10/24/16 RB Arian Foster Retired out for season
10/19/16 S Reshad Jones Rotator Cuff IR
10/12/16 LB Koa Misi Neck IR
08/31/16 LB Zach Vigil Back PUP
08/30/16 DE Dion Jordan Knee PUP

New York

12/12/16 TE Brandon Bostick Ankle injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Miami
12/12/16 S Marcus Gilchrist Knee out for season
12/12/16 RB Matt Forte Knee doubtful Saturday vs. Miami
12/11/16 RB Khiry Robinson Leg "?" Saturday vs. Miami
12/11/16 DB Antonio Allen Concussion "?" Saturday vs. Miami
12/11/16 T Breno Giacomini Shoulder "?" Saturday vs. Miami
12/11/16 CB Buster Skrine Head injured last game, "?" Saturday vs. Miami
12/11/16 DT Steve McLendon Hamstring "?" Saturday vs. Miami
12/11/16 WR Jalin Marshall Concussion "?" Saturday vs. Miami
12/11/16 LB Lorenzo Mauldin Ankle "?" Saturday vs. Miami
12/08/16 C Nick Mangold Ankle out for season
11/09/16 T Ryan Clady Shoulder IR
11/07/16 CB Marcus Williams Ankle expected to miss 2-4 weeks
10/25/16 TE Braedon Bowman Knee IR
10/25/16 LB Erin Henderson Undisclosed IR
10/24/16 QB Geno Smith Knee out for season
10/12/16 WR Eric Decker Shoulder IR
09/29/16 DE Lawrence Thomas Shoulder IR

Guy's Pick: Take Miami -3

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