Sunday, December 4, 2016

M&T Bank Stadium

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The Miami Dolphins travel to M&T Bank Stadium to play the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, December 4, 2016. The opening line for this game has Baltimore as 3.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 41.5. The Dolphins are 6-4-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 7-4-0. The Ravens have an over/under record of 3-8-0 and they are 5-6-0 against the spread.

Ryan Tannehill finished with 285 yards through the air for Miami last week. He completed 20 passes out of 30 attempts for a 67% completion percentage. The Dolphins were led in rushing by Jay Ajayi, who finished with 45 yards on 18 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 3 yards per carry. Kenny Stills was the team leader in receiving with a total of 72 yards and 3 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 24 yards per reception. As a team in that game Miami got a total of 19 first downs. Of those first downs, 6 came on the ground while 12 came through the air. They ran 58 total plays for 358 yards for the game. The Dolphins ran for 95 yards on 26 attempts.

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Joe Flacco finished with 234 yards passing for Baltimore last week. He went 25 for 36, resulting in a 69% completion percentage. The Ravens were led on the ground by Kenneth Dixon, who finished with 49 yards on 13 carries. He ended the game with an average of 4 yards per rush. Mike Wallace led the team in receiving with 57 yards and 3 catches. He finished the game with an average of 19 yards per reception. Baltimore had 16 first downs total. 4 came from running the ball and 12 came from a pass. They ran 68 total plays for 311 yards for the contest. The Ravens ran for 92 yards on 30 carries as a team.

Miami scores 23 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 17th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 20 passes on 30 attempts for a 67% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 216 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 28th in the league. The Dolphins run for an average of 116 yards per game on 25 attempts for an average of 4.6 yards per carry. That ranks them 6th in the league. They also run 57 plays per contest and average 5.8 yards per play for an average of 332 yards per game, ranking their offense 25th overall this season. The Dolphins average 18 first downs per game which ranks them 30th in the NFL. They accumulate 73.5 penalty yards per game via 7.6 penalties, which ranks 10th in the league.

Miami allows 230 passing yards per game, ranking 9th, and they allow 22 points per contest on defense, which ranks 16th. They give up 22 completions on 35 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 63%. The Dolphins allow 132 rushing yards per game on 29 carries for an average of 4.6 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 30th in the NFL. Miami allows 362 total yards per game including 5.5 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 21st in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 7.3 penalties for 59.6 yards per game, ranking them 19th among NFL teams.

Baltimore averages 20 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 24th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 26 passes per game on 41 attempts for a 63% completion percentage. They throw for 246 yards through the air per game, ranking them 18th. The Ravens run for an average of 88 yards per game on 24 attempts for an average of 3.7 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 28th on the ground. They also run 67 plays per game and average 5 yards per play for a total of 334 yards per game, ranking them 23rd in the league on offense. The Ravens get an average of 19 first downs per game, which ranks 23rd. They average 72.5 penalty yards per game via 8.4 penalties, ranking them 3rd in the NFL.

Baltimore allows an average of 223 passing yards per game, which ranks 6th in the league. Their defense overall allows 18 points per contest, which has them ranked 4th. They give up 23 completions on 36 attempts for a completion percentage of 64% per game. The Ravens allow 75 rushing yards per contest on 22 carries for a 3.4 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 1st in the NFL. Baltimore allows 298 total yards per game for an average of 4.9 yards per play, which ranks 2nd in the league. They force 6.6 penalties for 63.6 yards in each contest, ranking 11th.

Miami Betting Trends

Miami is 7-4-0 against the over/under this season

Miami has an ATS record of 6-4-1 this season

Baltimore Betting Trends

Baltimore is 3-8-0 against the over/under this season

Baltimore has an ATS record of 5-6-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Miami

11/28/16 T Branden Albert Wrist probable Sunday vs. Baltimore
11/28/16 G Laremy Tunsil Shoulder probable Sunday vs. Baltimore
11/27/16 WR DeVante Parker Back injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Baltimore
11/27/16 DE Mario Williams Illness left last game, "?" Sunday vs. Baltimore
11/27/16 C Mike Pouncey Hip "?" Sunday vs. Baltimore
11/27/16 CB Xavien Howard Knee "?" Sunday vs. Baltimore
11/23/16 DE Jason Jones Suspension expected to miss next 2 games
11/05/16 TE Jordan Cameron Concussion IR
10/24/16 RB Arian Foster Retired out for season
10/19/16 S Reshad Jones Rotator Cuff IR
10/12/16 LB Koa Misi Neck IR
08/31/16 LB Zach Vigil Back PUP
08/30/16 DE Dion Jordan Knee PUP

Baltimore

11/27/16 TE Crockett Gillmore Thigh "?" Sunday vs. Miami
11/27/16 CB Jimmy Smith Back "?" Sunday vs. Miami
11/27/16 RB Lorenzo Taliaferro Thigh "?" Sunday vs. Miami
11/15/16 G Alex Lewis Ankle expected to miss 5-6 weeks
10/25/16 S Kendrick Lewis Thigh IR
10/12/16 CB Sheldon Price Thigh IR
10/07/16 TE Maxx Williams Knee IR
10/06/16 CB Maurice Canady Thigh IR
09/08/16 DT Carl Davis Undisclosed IR
09/08/16 WR Chris Matthews Undisclosed IR
09/08/16 G De'Ondre Wesley Undisclosed IR
09/08/16 WR Michael Campanaro Calf IR
09/07/16 TE Nick Boyle Suspension expected to miss first 11 games
08/29/16 CB Kyle Arrington Concussion IR

Josh's Pick: Take Baltimore -3.5

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