Sunday, November 27, 2016

Mercedes-Benz Superdome

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The Los Angeles Rams take on the New Orleans Saints on Sunday, November 27, 2016 at Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The opening line for this game has New Orleans as 6.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 46. The Rams are 4-5-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 3-7-0. The Saints have an over/under record of 5-5-0 and they are 6-3-1 against the spread.

Jared Goff finished with 134 yards through the air for Los Angeles last week. He completed 17 passes out of 31 attempts for a 55% completion percentage. The Rams were led in rushing by Todd Gurley, who finished with 76 yards on 20 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 4 yards per carry. Kenny Britt was the team leader in receiving with a total of 43 yards and 5 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 9 yards per reception. As a team in that game Los Angeles got a total of 12 first downs. Of those first downs, 3 came on the ground while 6 came through the air. They ran 60 total plays for 227 yards for the game. The Rams ran for 102 yards on 28 attempts.

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Drew Brees finished with 285 yards passing for New Orleans last week. He went 35 for 44, resulting in a 80% completion percentage. The Saints were led on the ground by Timothy Hightower, who finished with 69 yards on 12 carries. He ended the game with an average of 6 yards per rush. Michael Thomas led the team in receiving with 68 yards and 5 catches. He finished the game with an average of 14 yards per reception. New Orleans had 28 first downs total. 7 came from running the ball and 19 came from a pass. They ran 72 total plays for 371 yards for the contest. The Saints ran for 107 yards on 25 carries as a team.

Los Angeles scores 15 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 32nd in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 21 passes on 34 attempts for a 62% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 215 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 28th in the league. The Rams run for an average of 85 yards per game on 25 attempts for an average of 3.4 yards per carry. That ranks them 29th in the league. They also run 62 plays per contest and average 4.8 yards per play for an average of 300 yards per game, ranking their offense 31st overall this season. The Rams average 17 first downs per game which ranks them 32nd in the NFL. They accumulate 71.2 penalty yards per game via 8.3 penalties, which ranks 7th in the league.

Los Angeles allows 216 passing yards per game, ranking 6th, and they allow 19 points per contest on defense, which ranks 8th. They give up 23 completions on 36 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 64%. The Rams allow 103 rushing yards per game on 26 carries for an average of 4 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 16th in the NFL. Los Angeles allows 318 total yards per game including 5 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 4th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.1 penalties for 55.2 yards per game, ranking them 5th among NFL teams.

New Orleans averages 29 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 3rd in the league. In the passing department, they complete 30 passes per game on 42 attempts for a 71% completion percentage. They throw for 317 yards through the air per game, ranking them 1st. The Saints run for an average of 105 yards per game on 26 attempts for an average of 4 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 17th on the ground. They also run 69 plays per game and average 6.1 yards per play for a total of 422 yards per game, ranking them 1st in the league on offense. The Saints get an average of 25 first downs per game, which ranks 1st. They average 56.2 penalty yards per game via 6 penalties, ranking them 17th in the NFL.

New Orleans allows an average of 281 passing yards per game, which ranks 30th in the league. Their defense overall allows 29 points per contest, which has them ranked 30th. They give up 23 completions on 37 attempts for a completion percentage of 62% per game. The Saints allow 102 rushing yards per contest on 26 carries for a 3.9 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 14th in the NFL. New Orleans allows 383 total yards per game for an average of 5.9 yards per play, which ranks 27th in the league. They force 6.2 penalties for 53.7 yards in each contest, ranking 7th.

Los Angeles Betting Trends

Los Angeles is 3-7-0 against the over/under this season

Los Angeles has an ATS record of 4-5-1 this season

New Orleans Betting Trends

New Orleans is 5-5-0 against the over/under this season

New Orleans has an ATS record of 6-3-1 this season

Injuries to Watch

Los Angeles

11/20/16 C Tim Barnes Foot "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans
11/20/16 CB Troy Hill Legal problems "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans
09/09/16 DT Louis Trinca-Pasat Knee out for season

New Orleans

11/20/16 RB Daniel Lasco Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Los Angeles
11/20/16 CB Delvin Breaux Fibula "?" Sunday vs. Los Angeles
11/20/16 RB Travaris Cadet Toe "?" Sunday vs. Los Angeles
11/20/16 RB Mark Ingram Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Los Angeles
11/20/16 T Terron Armstead Leg "?" Sunday vs. Los Angeles
11/16/16 LB Michael Mauti Illness IR
11/08/16 LB James Laurinaitis Quad IR
10/12/16 DB Erik Harris ACL IR
09/29/16 DE Obum Gwacham Undisclosed IR
09/22/16 CB P.J. Williams Concussion IR
09/04/16 TE Michael Hoomanawanui Leg IR
08/31/16 CB Damian Swann Abdominal IR
08/31/16 LB Hau'oli Kikaha Knee PUP

Josh's Pick: Take New Orleans -6.5

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