Sunday, December 4, 2016

Gillette Stadium

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The Los Angeles Rams travel to Gillette Stadium to play the New England Patriots on Sunday, December 4, 2016. The opening line for this game has New England as 13.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 46. The Rams are 4-6-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 4-7-0. The Patriots have an over/under record of 4-7-0 and they are 8-3-0 against the spread.

Jared Goff finished with 214 yards through the air for Los Angeles last week. He completed 20 passes out of 32 attempts for a 63% completion percentage. The Rams were led in rushing by Todd Gurley, who finished with 50 yards on 13 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 4 yards per carry. Kenny Britt was the team leader in receiving with a total of 52 yards and 5 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 10 yards per reception. As a team in that game Los Angeles got a total of 13 first downs. Of those first downs, 4 came on the ground while 8 came through the air. They ran 52 total plays for 247 yards for the game. The Rams ran for 69 yards on 17 attempts.

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Tom Brady finished with 286 yards passing for New England last week. He went 30 for 50, resulting in a 60% completion percentage. The Patriots were led on the ground by LeGarrette Blount, who finished with 67 yards on 11 carries. He ended the game with an average of 6 yards per rush. Julian Edelman led the team in receiving with 83 yards and 8 catches. He finished the game with an average of 10 yards per reception. New England had 26 first downs total. 6 came from running the ball and 18 came from a pass. They ran 71 total plays for 377 yards for the contest. The Patriots ran for 91 yards on 21 carries as a team.

Los Angeles scores 15 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 32nd in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 21 passes on 34 attempts for a 62% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 212 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 29th in the league. The Rams run for an average of 83 yards per game on 25 attempts for an average of 3.3 yards per carry. That ranks them 29th in the league. They also run 61 plays per contest and average 4.8 yards per play for an average of 295 yards per game, ranking their offense 31st overall this season. The Rams average 17 first downs per game which ranks them 32nd in the NFL. They accumulate 70.4 penalty yards per game via 8.1 penalties, which ranks 4th in the league.

Los Angeles allows 228 passing yards per game, ranking 7th, and they allow 21 points per contest on defense, which ranks 12th. They give up 23 completions on 36 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 64%. The Rams allow 112 rushing yards per game on 26 carries for an average of 4.3 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 20th in the NFL. Los Angeles allows 340 total yards per game including 5.3 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 9th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.1 penalties for 54.3 yards per game, ranking them 4th among NFL teams.

New England averages 27 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 6th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 23 passes per game on 34 attempts for a 68% completion percentage. They throw for 270 yards through the air per game, ranking them 6th. The Patriots run for an average of 116 yards per game on 29 attempts for an average of 4 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 7th on the ground. They also run 65 plays per game and average 5.9 yards per play for a total of 386 yards per game, ranking them 6th in the league on offense. The Patriots get an average of 23 first downs per game, which ranks 7th. They average 55.5 penalty yards per game via 6 penalties, ranking them 19th in the NFL.

New England allows an average of 254 passing yards per game, which ranks 18th in the league. Their defense overall allows 18 points per contest, which has them ranked 3rd. They give up 24 completions on 38 attempts for a completion percentage of 63% per game. The Patriots allow 100 rushing yards per contest on 25 carries for a 4 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 15th in the NFL. New England allows 353 total yards per game for an average of 5.5 yards per play, which ranks 14th in the league. They force 7.4 penalties for 59.5 yards in each contest, ranking 10th.

Los Angeles Betting Trends

Los Angeles is 4-7-0 against the over/under this season

Los Angeles has an ATS record of 4-6-1 this season

New England Betting Trends

New England is 4-7-0 against the over/under this season

New England has an ATS record of 8-3-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Los Angeles

09/09/16 DT Louis Trinca-Pasat Knee out for season

New England

11/27/16 CB Cyrus Jones Illness "?" Sunday vs. Los Angeles
11/27/16 DB Jordan Richards Leg injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Los Angeles
11/27/16 WR Matthew Slater Leg "?" Sunday vs. Los Angeles
11/27/16 TE Rob Gronkowski Back injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Los Angeles
10/15/16 LB Jonathan Freeny Shoulder IR
10/07/16 QB Jacoby Brissett Thumb IR
08/31/16 G Tre Jackson Knee PUP
08/30/16 T Sebastian Vollmer Hip PUP

Tony's Pick: Take New England -13.5

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