Sunday, December 4, 2016

The Georgia Dome

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The Kansas City Chiefs travel to The Georgia Dome to play the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, December 4, 2016. The opening line for this game has Atlanta as 4 point favorites and the over/under was set at 49. The Chiefs are 5-5-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 3-8-0. The Falcons have an over/under record of 9-2-0 and they are 7-4-0 against the spread.

Alex Smith finished with 220 yards through the air for Kansas City last week. He completed 26 passes out of 44 attempts for a 59% completion percentage. The Chiefs were led in rushing by Spencer Ware, who finished with 64 yards on 17 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 4 yards per carry. Travis Kelce was the team leader in receiving with a total of 101 yards and 8 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 13 yards per reception. As a team in that game Kansas City got a total of 23 first downs. Of those first downs, 5 came on the ground while 14 came through the air. They ran 76 total plays for 273 yards for the game. The Chiefs ran for 83 yards on 26 attempts.

For expert handicapping advice on this matchup and other NFL games Click here

Matt Ryan finished with 269 yards passing for Atlanta last week. He went 26 for 34, resulting in a 76% completion percentage. The Falcons were led on the ground by Devonta Freeman, who finished with 60 yards on 16 carries. He ended the game with an average of 4 yards per rush. Taylor Gabriel led the team in receiving with 75 yards and 4 catches. He finished the game with an average of 19 yards per reception. Atlanta had 28 first downs total. 8 came from running the ball and 15 came from a pass. They ran 67 total plays for 360 yards for the contest. The Falcons ran for 116 yards on 30 carries as a team.

Kansas City scores 23 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 16th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 24 passes on 37 attempts for a 65% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 232 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 23rd in the league. The Chiefs run for an average of 97 yards per game on 24 attempts for an average of 4 yards per carry. That ranks them 23rd in the league. They also run 63 plays per contest and average 5.2 yards per play for an average of 328 yards per game, ranking their offense 27th overall this season. The Chiefs average 19 first downs per game which ranks them 20th in the NFL. They accumulate 47.5 penalty yards per game via 6.4 penalties, which ranks 23rd in the league.

Kansas City allows 261 passing yards per game, ranking 20th, and they allow 19 points per contest on defense, which ranks 8th. They give up 23 completions on 37 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 62%. The Chiefs allow 121 rushing yards per game on 28 carries for an average of 4.3 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 28th in the NFL. Kansas City allows 382 total yards per game including 5.7 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 28th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.6 penalties for 49.1 yards per game, ranking them 14th among NFL teams.

Atlanta averages 33 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 1st in the league. In the passing department, they complete 24 passes per game on 35 attempts for a 69% completion percentage. They throw for 303 yards through the air per game, ranking them 3rd. The Falcons run for an average of 108 yards per game on 25 attempts for an average of 4.3 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 14th on the ground. They also run 62 plays per game and average 6.6 yards per play for a total of 411 yards per game, ranking them 3rd in the league on offense. The Falcons get an average of 23 first downs per game, which ranks 3rd. They average 58.5 penalty yards per game via 6.8 penalties, ranking them 15th in the NFL.

Atlanta allows an average of 282 passing yards per game, which ranks 32nd in the league. Their defense overall allows 27 points per contest, which has them ranked 29th. They give up 28 completions on 42 attempts for a completion percentage of 67% per game. The Falcons allow 99 rushing yards per contest on 24 carries for a 4.1 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 11th in the NFL. Atlanta allows 381 total yards per game for an average of 5.6 yards per play, which ranks 27th in the league. They force 6.8 penalties for 57 yards in each contest, ranking 25th.

Kansas City Betting Trends

Kansas City is 3-8-0 against the over/under this season

Kansas City has an ATS record of 5-5-1 this season

Atlanta Betting Trends

Atlanta is 9-2-0 against the over/under this season

Atlanta has an ATS record of 7-4-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Kansas City

11/27/16 LB Dee Ford Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
11/27/16 DL Jaye Howard Hip "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
11/27/16 WR Jeremy Maclin Groin "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
11/27/16 DB Steven Nelson Neck "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
11/02/16 OL Parker Ehinger ACL IR
11/01/16 RB Jamaal Charles Knee IR
10/19/16 DL Allen Bailey Shoulder IR
10/19/16 LB Justin March Hand IR
08/31/16 LB Josh Mauga Hip IR
08/15/16 QB Tyler Bray Back out indefinitely

Atlanta

11/29/16 DE Adrian Clayborn MCL out indefinitely
11/27/16 CB Desmond Trufant Pectoral out for season
11/23/16 TE Jacob Tamme Shoulder IR
10/19/16 DE Derrick Shelby Calf IR
10/03/16 LB De'Vondre Campbell Ankle expected to miss 2-4 weeks
10/03/16 LB Sean Weatherspoon Achilles IR
09/22/16 LB Paul Worrilow Groin expected to miss 3-4 weeks
09/02/16 WR Devin Fuller Shoulder IR

Josh's Pick: Take Atlanta -4

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Josh Schonwald