Sunday, November 6, 2016

Arrowhead Stadium

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The Jacksonville Jaguars travel to Arrowhead Stadium to play the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, November 6, 2016. The opening line for this game has Kansas City as 7.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 45.5. The Jaguars are 3-4-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 5-2-0. The Chiefs have an over/under record of 2-5-0 and they are 3-3-1 against the spread.

Blake Bortles finished with 337 yards through the air for Jacksonville last week. He completed 33 passes out of 54 attempts for a 61% completion percentage. The Jaguars were led in rushing by Bortles, who finished with 22 yards on 4 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 6 yards per carry. Allen Hurns was the team leader in receiving with a total of 98 yards and 7 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 14 yards per reception. As a team in that game Jacksonville got a total of 27 first downs. Of those first downs, 3 came on the ground while 22 came through the air. They ran 67 total plays for 370 yards for the game. The Jaguars ran for 48 yards on 11 attempts.

Nick Foles finished with 223 yards passing for Kansas City last week. He went 16 for 22, resulting in a 73% completion percentage. The Chiefs were led on the ground by Charcandrick West, who finished with 52 yards on 14 carries. He ended the game with an average of 4 yards per rush. Travis Kelce led the team in receiving with 101 yards and 7 catches. He finished the game with an average of 14 yards per reception. Kansas City had 20 first downs total. 2 came from running the ball and 16 came from a pass. They ran 71 total plays for 422 yards for the contest. The Chiefs ran for 88 yards on 27 carries as a team.

Jacksonville scores 20 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 24th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 25 passes on 41 attempts for a 61% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 258 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 13th in the league. The Jaguars run for an average of 73 yards per game on 19 attempts for an average of 3.8 yards per carry. That ranks them 30th in the league. They also run 63 plays per contest and average 5.3 yards per play for an average of 331 yards per game, ranking their offense 26th overall this season. The Jaguars average 20 first downs per game which ranks them 17th in the NFL. They accumulate 91.3 penalty yards per game via 9.4 penalties, which ranks 2nd in the league.

Jacksonville allows 225 passing yards per game, ranking 8th, and they allow 28 points per contest on defense, which ranks 27th. They give up 24 completions on 36 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 67%. The Jaguars allow 125 rushing yards per game on 30 carries for an average of 4.2 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 27th in the NFL. Jacksonville allows 349 total yards per game including 5.2 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 13th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 7.3 penalties for 63 yards per game, ranking them 19th among NFL teams.

Kansas City averages 24 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 15th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 24 passes per game on 37 attempts for a 65% completion percentage. They throw for 252 yards through the air per game, ranking them 17th. The Chiefs run for an average of 106 yards per game on 25 attempts for an average of 4.2 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 18th on the ground. They also run 64 plays per game and average 5.6 yards per play for a total of 358 yards per game, ranking them 14th in the league on offense. The Chiefs get an average of 20 first downs per game, which ranks 16th. They average 43.1 penalty yards per game via 5.6 penalties, ranking them 29th in the NFL.

Kansas City allows an average of 245 passing yards per game, which ranks 14th in the league. Their defense overall allows 20 points per contest, which has them ranked 8th. They give up 23 completions on 37 attempts for a completion percentage of 62% per game. The Chiefs allow 113 rushing yards per contest on 25 carries for a 4.5 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 19th in the NFL. Kansas City allows 358 total yards per game for an average of 5.6 yards per play, which ranks 15th in the league. They force 5.7 penalties for 43.1 yards in each contest, ranking 5th.

Jacksonville Betting Trends

Jacksonville is 5-2-0 against the over/under this season

Jacksonville has an ATS record of 3-4-0 this season

Kansas City Betting Trends

Kansas City is 2-5-0 against the over/under this season

Kansas City has an ATS record of 3-3-1 this season

Injuries to Watch

Jacksonville

10/30/16 DL Jared Odrick Quad "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City
10/26/16 DT Roy Miller Achilles IR
10/05/16 T Luke Joeckel ACL IR
09/05/16 T Josh Wells Thumb IR
08/31/16 DE Jonathan Woodard Achilles PUP
08/31/16 C Luke Bowanko Hip PUP

Kansas City

11/01/16 RB Jamaal Charles Knee doubtful Sunday vs. Jacksonville
10/31/16 LB Justin Houston Knee doubtful Sunday vs. Jacksonville
10/30/16 QB Alex Smith Concussion injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
10/30/16 DB D.J. White Hand "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
10/30/16 OL Parker Ehinger Leg injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
10/30/16 RB Spencer Ware Concussion injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
10/19/16 DL Allen Bailey Shoulder IR
10/19/16 LB Justin March Hand IR
08/31/16 LB Josh Mauga Hip IR
08/15/16 QB Tyler Bray Back out indefinitely

Tony's Pick: Take Jacksonville

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