Sunday, December 18, 2016

NRG Stadium

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The Jacksonville Jaguars take on the Houston Texans on Sunday, December 18, 2016 at NRG Stadium. The opening line for this game has Houston as 5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 41. The Jaguars are 5-8-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 8-5-0. The Texans have an over/under record of 5-8-0 and they are 6-6-1 against the spread.

Blake Bortles finished with 257 yards through the air for Jacksonville last week. He completed 23 passes out of 37 attempts for a 62% completion percentage. The Jaguars were led in rushing by T.J. Yeldon, who finished with 59 yards on 17 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 4 yards per carry. Marqise Lee was the team leader in receiving with a total of 113 yards and 5 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 23 yards per reception. As a team in that game Jacksonville got a total of 18 first downs. Of those first downs, 3 came on the ground while 11 came through the air. They ran 65 total plays for 315 yards for the game. The Jaguars ran for 85 yards on 24 attempts.

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Brock Osweiler finished with 147 yards passing for Houston last week. He went 14 for 24, resulting in a 58% completion percentage. The Texans were led on the ground by Lamar Miller, who finished with 107 yards on 21 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. DeAndre Hopkins led the team in receiving with 33 yards and 2 catches. He finished the game with an average of 17 yards per reception. Houston had 20 first downs total. 8 came from running the ball and 8 came from a pass. They ran 67 total plays for 316 yards for the contest. The Texans ran for 185 yards on 41 carries as a team.

Jacksonville scores 18 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 27th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 23 passes on 40 attempts for a 58% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 233 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 22nd in the league. The Jaguars run for an average of 100 yards per game on 24 attempts for an average of 4.2 yards per carry. That ranks them 21st in the league. They also run 66 plays per contest and average 5 yards per play for an average of 333 yards per game, ranking their offense 24th overall this season. The Jaguars average 20 first downs per game which ranks them 18th in the NFL. They accumulate 76.7 penalty yards per game via 8.1 penalties, which ranks 5th in the league.

Jacksonville allows 203 passing yards per game, ranking 4th, and they allow 26 points per contest on defense, which ranks 27th. They give up 21 completions on 32 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 66%. The Jaguars allow 113 rushing yards per game on 29 carries for an average of 3.9 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 23rd in the NFL. Jacksonville allows 316 total yards per game including 5 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 5th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.5 penalties for 61 yards per game, ranking them 23rd among NFL teams.

Houston averages 18 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 28th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 21 passes per game on 35 attempts for a 60% completion percentage. They throw for 190 yards through the air per game, ranking them 30th. The Texans run for an average of 126 yards per game on 29 attempts for an average of 4.3 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 5th on the ground. They also run 66 plays per game and average 4.8 yards per play for a total of 316 yards per game, ranking them 28th in the league on offense. The Texans get an average of 19 first downs per game, which ranks 26th. They average 56.7 penalty yards per game via 5.5 penalties, ranking them 32nd in the NFL.

Houston allows an average of 213 passing yards per game, which ranks 5th in the league. Their defense overall allows 21 points per contest, which has them ranked 13th. They give up 20 completions on 33 attempts for a completion percentage of 61% per game. The Texans allow 106 rushing yards per contest on 25 carries for a 4.2 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 18th in the NFL. Houston allows 319 total yards per game for an average of 5.3 yards per play, which ranks 6th in the league. They force 6.8 penalties for 57.5 yards in each contest, ranking 17th.

Jacksonville Betting Trends

Jacksonville is 8-5-0 against the over/under this season

Jacksonville has an ATS record of 5-8-0 this season

Houston Betting Trends

Houston is 5-8-0 against the over/under this season

Houston has an ATS record of 6-6-1 this season

Injuries to Watch

Jacksonville

12/11/16 WR Allen Hurns Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Houston
12/11/16 G Brandon Linder Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Houston
12/11/16 RB Chris Ivory Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Houston
12/11/16 DL Jared Odrick Shoulder IR
12/11/16 TE Julius Thomas Back IR
12/11/16 S Peyton Thompson Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Houston
12/07/16 RB Denard Robinson Ankle expected to miss 2-3 weeks
12/06/16 WR Rashad Greene Achilles IR
11/25/16 TE Marcedes Lewis Calf IR
10/26/16 DT Roy Miller Achilles IR
10/05/16 T Luke Joeckel ACL IR
09/05/16 T Josh Wells Thumb IR
08/31/16 DE Jonathan Woodard Achilles PUP
08/31/16 C Luke Bowanko Hip PUP

Houston

12/11/16 WR Braxton Miller Shoulder "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
12/11/16 TE C.J. Fiedorowicz Undisclosed injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
12/11/16 QB Tom Savage Elbow "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
12/11/16 RB Tyler Ervin Ribs "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
12/11/16 LB John Simon Chest "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
12/11/16 CB Johnathan Joseph Ribs "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
12/10/16 WR Jaelen Strong Ankle IR
11/12/16 S Lonnie Ballentine Groin IR
10/25/16 T Derek Newton Knee IR
10/17/16 S K.J. Dillon ACL IR
10/17/16 CB Kevin Johnson Foot IR
10/05/16 DT Devon Still Undisclosed IR
09/30/16 DE J.J. Watt Back IR
08/31/16 G Nick Martin Ankle IR
08/31/16 K Ka'imi Fairbairn Quad IR
08/31/16 S Kurtis Drummond Leg IR

Guy's Pick: Take Houston -5

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