Sunday, November 20, 2016

Ford Field

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The Jacksonville Jaguars travel to Ford Field to play the Detroit Lions on Sunday, November 20, 2016. The opening line for this game has Detroit as 6.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 47. The Jaguars are 4-5-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 6-3-0. The Lions have an over/under record of 4-5-0 and they are 5-4-0 against the spread.

Blake Bortles finished with 265 yards through the air for Jacksonville last week. He completed 32 passes out of 49 attempts for a 65% completion percentage. The Jaguars were led in rushing by T.J. Yeldon, who finished with 32 yards on 9 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 4 yards per carry. Allen Robinson was the team leader in receiving with a total of 107 yards and 9 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 12 yards per reception. As a team in that game Jacksonville got a total of 23 first downs. Of those first downs, 3 came on the ground while 18 came through the air. They ran 73 total plays for 327 yards for the game. The Jaguars ran for 80 yards on 22 attempts.

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Matthew Stafford finished with 219 yards passing for Detroit last week. He went 23 for 36, resulting in a 64% completion percentage. The Lions were led on the ground by Theo Riddick, who finished with 70 yards on 14 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. Eric Ebron led the team in receiving with 92 yards and 7 catches. He finished the game with an average of 13 yards per reception. Detroit had 18 first downs total. 3 came from running the ball and 12 came from a pass. They ran 62 total plays for 311 yards for the contest. The Lions ran for 97 yards on 25 carries as a team.

Jacksonville scores 19 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 27th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 25 passes on 42 attempts for a 60% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 255 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 13th in the league. The Jaguars run for an average of 88 yards per game on 21 attempts for an average of 4.2 yards per carry. That ranks them 26th in the league. They also run 65 plays per contest and average 5.3 yards per play for an average of 343 yards per game, ranking their offense 19th overall this season. The Jaguars average 21 first downs per game which ranks them 15th in the NFL. They accumulate 81.4 penalty yards per game via 8.3 penalties, which ranks 7th in the league.

Jacksonville allows 204 passing yards per game, ranking 4th, and they allow 27 points per contest on defense, which ranks 25th. They give up 22 completions on 34 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 65%. The Jaguars allow 124 rushing yards per game on 30 carries for an average of 4.1 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 29th in the NFL. Jacksonville allows 328 total yards per game including 5 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 8th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 7 penalties for 67.2 yards per game, ranking them 21st among NFL teams.

Detroit averages 23 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 18th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 24 passes per game on 35 attempts for a 69% completion percentage. They throw for 251 yards through the air per game, ranking them 18th. The Lions run for an average of 87 yards per game on 22 attempts for an average of 4 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 27th on the ground. They also run 60 plays per game and average 5.6 yards per play for a total of 338 yards per game, ranking them 23rd in the league on offense. The Lions get an average of 21 first downs per game, which ranks 19th. They average 68 penalty yards per game via 7.3 penalties, ranking them 15th in the NFL.

Detroit allows an average of 259 passing yards per game, which ranks 18th in the league. Their defense overall allows 23 points per contest, which has them ranked 15th. They give up 26 completions on 35 attempts for a completion percentage of 74% per game. The Lions allow 107 rushing yards per contest on 25 carries for a 4.3 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 18th in the NFL. Detroit allows 366 total yards per game for an average of 5.9 yards per play, which ranks 23rd in the league. They force 7.7 penalties for 58.2 yards in each contest, ranking 26th.

Jacksonville Betting Trends

Jacksonville is 6-3-0 against the over/under this season

Jacksonville has an ATS record of 4-5-0 this season

Detroit Betting Trends

Detroit is 4-5-0 against the over/under this season

Detroit has an ATS record of 5-4-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Jacksonville

11/15/16 WR Marqise Lee Ankle injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Detroit
11/13/16 WR Bryan Walters Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Detroit
10/26/16 DT Roy Miller Achilles IR
10/05/16 T Luke Joeckel ACL IR
09/05/16 T Josh Wells Thumb IR
08/31/16 DE Jonathan Woodard Achilles PUP
08/31/16 C Luke Bowanko Hip PUP

Detroit

11/13/16 CB Adairius Barnes Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
11/13/16 WR Corey Fuller Foot probable Sunday vs. Jacksonville
11/13/16 CB Darius Slay Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
11/13/16 T Riley Reiff Illness "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
11/02/16 DE Armonty Bryant Suspension expected to miss 3 games
11/02/16 TE Cole Wick Knee IR
10/13/16 LB DeAndre Levy Quad out indefinitely
09/21/16 RB Ameer Abdullah Foot IR
09/02/16 LS Jimmy Landes Shoulder IR
09/02/16 LB Jon Bostic Foot IR
08/31/16 TE Brandon Pettigrew Knee PUP
08/31/16 TE Timothy Wright ACL IR

Tony's Pick: Take Detroit -6.5

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