Sunday, November 27, 2016

Ralph Wilson Stadium

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The Jacksonville Jaguars take on the Buffalo Bills on Sunday, November 27, 2016 at Ralph Wilson Stadium. The opening line for this game has Buffalo as 6.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 47. The Jaguars are 4-6-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 6-4-0. The Bills have an over/under record of 7-3-0 and they are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Blake Bortles finished with 202 yards through the air for Jacksonville last week. He completed 22 passes out of 35 attempts for a 63% completion percentage. The Jaguars were led in rushing by Christopher Ivory, who finished with 39 yards on 17 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 2 yards per carry. Christopher Ivory was the team leader in receiving with a total of 75 yards and 6 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 13 yards per reception. As a team in that game Jacksonville got a total of 16 first downs. Of those first downs, 1 came on the ground while 13 came through the air. They ran 62 total plays for 285 yards for the game. The Jaguars ran for 83 yards on 27 attempts.

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Tyrod Taylor finished with 166 yards passing for Buffalo last week. He went 19 for 27, resulting in a 70% completion percentage. The Bills were led on the ground by Mike Gillislee, who finished with 72 yards on 14 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. Brandon Tate led the team in receiving with 48 yards and 2 catches. He finished the game with an average of 24 yards per reception. Buffalo had 20 first downs total. 12 came from running the ball and 7 came from a pass. They ran 63 total plays for 342 yards for the contest. The Bills ran for 183 yards on 34 carries as a team.

Jacksonville scores 19 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 27th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 25 passes on 42 attempts for a 60% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 250 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 18th in the league. The Jaguars run for an average of 88 yards per game on 22 attempts for an average of 4 yards per carry. That ranks them 27th in the league. They also run 65 plays per contest and average 5.2 yards per play for an average of 338 yards per game, ranking their offense 21st overall this season. The Jaguars average 21 first downs per game which ranks them 18th in the NFL. They accumulate 75.8 penalty yards per game via 7.9 penalties, which ranks 15th in the league.

Jacksonville allows 210 passing yards per game, ranking 5th, and they allow 27 points per contest on defense, which ranks 25th. They give up 22 completions on 34 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 65%. The Jaguars allow 113 rushing yards per game on 29 carries for an average of 3.9 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 23rd in the NFL. Jacksonville allows 323 total yards per game including 5 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 7th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.8 penalties for 63.7 yards per game, ranking them 21st among NFL teams.

Buffalo averages 25 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 10th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 18 passes per game on 30 attempts for a 60% completion percentage. They throw for 186 yards through the air per game, ranking them 32nd. The Bills run for an average of 158 yards per game on 30 attempts for an average of 5.3 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 1st on the ground. They also run 63 plays per game and average 5.5 yards per play for a total of 344 yards per game, ranking them 18th in the league on offense. The Bills get an average of 20 first downs per game, which ranks 15th. They average 73.3 penalty yards per game via 8.1 penalties, ranking them 2nd in the NFL.

Buffalo allows an average of 239 passing yards per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Their defense overall allows 22 points per contest, which has them ranked 14th. They give up 20 completions on 33 attempts for a completion percentage of 61% per game. The Bills allow 107 rushing yards per contest on 27 carries for a 4 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 20th in the NFL. Buffalo allows 346 total yards per game for an average of 5.5 yards per play, which ranks 11th in the league. They force 7.9 penalties for 63.3 yards in each contest, ranking 27th.

Jacksonville Betting Trends

Jacksonville is 6-4-0 against the over/under this season

Jacksonville has an ATS record of 4-6-0 this season

Buffalo Betting Trends

Buffalo is 7-3-0 against the over/under this season

Buffalo has an ATS record of 5-5-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Jacksonville

11/21/16 CB Aaron Colvin Concussion injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
11/21/16 DT Abry Jones Ankle injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
11/21/16 WR Arrelious Benn Concussion injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
11/21/16 QB Blake Bortles Shoulder probable Sunday vs. Buffalo
11/21/16 TE Marcedes Lewis Calf injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
11/21/16 G Patrick Omameh Foot injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
11/21/16 DL Jared Odrick Shoulder injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
11/20/16 WR Bryan Walters Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
11/20/16 DE Chris Smith Eye "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
11/20/16 RB T.J. Yeldon Ankle injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
11/20/16 LB Dan Skuta Back "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
10/26/16 DT Roy Miller Achilles IR
10/05/16 T Luke Joeckel ACL IR
09/05/16 T Josh Wells Thumb IR
08/31/16 DE Jonathan Woodard Achilles PUP
08/31/16 C Luke Bowanko Hip PUP

Buffalo

11/22/16 WR Robert Woods Knee doubtful Sunday vs. Jacksonville
11/20/16 DT Corbin Bryant Shoulder "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
11/20/16 WR Walter Powell Hip "?" Sunday vs. Jacksonville
11/20/16 RB LeSean McCoy Thumb injured last game, probable Sunday vs. Jacksonville
11/15/16 C Eric Wood Leg IR
11/01/16 S Aaron Williams Head IR
10/14/16 WR Greg Salas Groin IR
09/30/16 WR Sammy Watkins Ankle IR
09/02/16 TE Chris Gragg Knee IR
09/02/16 LB IK Enemkpali Knee IR
09/01/16 LB Reggie Ragland Knee IR
08/31/16 WR Kolby Listenbee Groin PUP
08/31/16 WR Marcus Easley Knee PUP

Tony's Pick: Take Buffalo -6.5

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