Sunday, December 18, 2016

TCF Bank Stadium

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The Indianapolis Colts travel to TCF Bank Stadium to play the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday, December 18, 2016. The opening line for this game has Minnesota as 4 point favorites and the over/under was set at 44. The Colts are 6-6-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 8-5-0. The Vikings have an over/under record of 5-8-0 and they are 8-5-0 against the spread.

Andrew Luck finished with 276 yards through the air for Indianapolis last week. He completed 24 passes out of 45 attempts for a 53% completion percentage. The Colts were led in rushing by Frank Gore, who finished with 41 yards on 10 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 4 yards per carry. T.Y. Hilton was the team leader in receiving with a total of 115 yards and 9 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 13 yards per reception. As a team in that game Indianapolis got a total of 21 first downs. Of those first downs, 5 came on the ground while 13 came through the air. They ran 61 total plays for 348 yards for the game. The Colts ran for 83 yards on 15 attempts.

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Sam Bradford finished with 292 yards passing for Minnesota last week. He went 24 for 34, resulting in a 71% completion percentage. The Vikings were led on the ground by Matt Asiata, who finished with 37 yards on 11 carries. He ended the game with an average of 3 yards per rush. Adam Thielen led the team in receiving with 101 yards and 4 catches. He finished the game with an average of 25 yards per reception. Minnesota had 22 first downs total. 5 came from running the ball and 13 came from a pass. They ran 63 total plays for 377 yards for the contest. The Vikings ran for 85 yards on 29 carries as a team.

Indianapolis scores 25 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 9th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 24 passes on 37 attempts for a 65% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 260 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 10th in the league. The Colts run for an average of 98 yards per game on 25 attempts for an average of 3.9 yards per carry. That ranks them 24th in the league. They also run 65 plays per contest and average 5.5 yards per play for an average of 357 yards per game, ranking their offense 13th overall this season. The Colts average 22 first downs per game which ranks them 10th in the NFL. They accumulate 59.3 penalty yards per game via 6.9 penalties, which ranks 22nd in the league.

Indianapolis allows 262 passing yards per game, ranking 26th, and they allow 26 points per contest on defense, which ranks 25th. They give up 23 completions on 36 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 64%. The Colts allow 115 rushing yards per game on 26 carries for an average of 4.4 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 24th in the NFL. Indianapolis allows 378 total yards per game including 6 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 29th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 7.8 penalties for 75.5 yards per game, ranking them 29th among NFL teams.

Minnesota averages 20 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 24th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 25 passes per game on 36 attempts for a 69% completion percentage. They throw for 230 yards through the air per game, ranking them 24th. The Vikings run for an average of 73 yards per game on 25 attempts for an average of 2.9 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 32nd on the ground. They also run 63 plays per game and average 4.8 yards per play for a total of 303 yards per game, ranking them 31st in the league on offense. The Vikings get an average of 18 first downs per game, which ranks 24th. They average 59.2 penalty yards per game via 6.7 penalties, ranking them 26th in the NFL.

Minnesota allows an average of 202 passing yards per game, which ranks 3rd in the league. Their defense overall allows 17 points per contest, which has them ranked 1st. They give up 21 completions on 35 attempts for a completion percentage of 60% per game. The Vikings allow 102 rushing yards per contest on 24 carries for a 4.3 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 16th in the NFL. Minnesota allows 304 total yards per game for an average of 4.9 yards per play, which ranks 2nd in the league. They force 6.5 penalties for 53.8 yards in each contest, ranking 9th.

Indianapolis Betting Trends

Indianapolis is 8-5-0 against the over/under this season

Indianapolis has an ATS record of 6-6-1 this season

Minnesota Betting Trends

Minnesota is 5-8-0 against the over/under this season

Minnesota has an ATS record of 8-5-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Indianapolis

12/11/16 S Clayton Geathers Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Minnesota
12/11/16 T Denzelle Good Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Minnesota
12/11/16 WR Donte Moncrief Hamstring injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Minnesota
12/11/16 CB Patrick Robinson Groin "?" Sunday vs. Minnesota
12/11/16 LB Robert Mathis Bicep "?" Sunday vs. Minnesota
12/11/16 NT Zach Kerr Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Minnesota
12/06/16 LB D'Qwell Jackson Suspension expected to miss next 4 games
11/19/16 DE Kendall Langford Knee IR
10/19/16 WR Quan Bray Ankle IR
09/29/16 C Jonotthan Harrison Appendix IR

Minnesota

12/12/16 WR Laquon Treadwell Ankle injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Indianapolis
12/11/16 LB Edmond Robinson Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Indianapolis
12/11/16 G Joe Berger Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Indianapolis
12/11/16 CB Trae Waynes Concussion injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Indianapolis
12/11/16 CB Marcus Sherels Ribs "?" Sunday vs. Indianapolis
12/07/16 S Harrison Smith Ankle out indefinitely
11/16/16 T Jake Long Achilles IR
10/11/16 OT Andre Smith Elbow IR
09/23/16 DT Sharrif Floyd Knee out indefinitely
09/21/16 T Matt Kalil Hip IR
09/19/16 RB Adrian Peterson Knee IR
08/31/16 T Mike Harris Undisclosed PUP
08/30/16 QB Teddy Bridgewater Knee IR
08/11/16 QB Taylor Heinicke Foot out indefinitely

Josh's Pick: Take Minnesota -4

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