Sunday, December 11, 2016

Lucas Oil Stadium

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The Houston Texans travel to Lucas Oil Stadium to play the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday, December 11, 2016. The opening line for this game has Indianapolis as 4.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 46. The Texans are 5-6-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 5-7-0. The Colts have an over/under record of 8-4-0 and they are 6-5-1 against the spread.

Brock Osweiler finished with 202 yards through the air for Houston last week. He completed 22 passes out of 35 attempts for a 63% completion percentage. The Texans were led in rushing by Jonathan Grimes, who finished with 43 yards on 5 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 9 yards per carry. Will Fuller was the team leader in receiving with a total of 59 yards and 5 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 12 yards per reception. As a team in that game Houston got a total of 17 first downs. Of those first downs, 8 came on the ground while 9 came through the air. They ran 64 total plays for 307 yards for the game. The Texans ran for 123 yards on 27 attempts.

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Andrew Luck finished with 278 yards passing for Indianapolis last week. He went 22 for 28, resulting in a 79% completion percentage. The Colts were led on the ground by Frank Gore, who finished with 79 yards on 20 carries. He ended the game with an average of 4 yards per rush. T.Y. Hilton led the team in receiving with 146 yards and 9 catches. He finished the game with an average of 16 yards per reception. Indianapolis had 27 first downs total. 5 came from running the ball and 18 came from a pass. They ran 70 total plays for 421 yards for the contest. The Colts ran for 139 yards on 40 carries as a team.

Houston scores 17 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 28th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 22 passes on 36 attempts for a 61% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 195 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 30th in the league. The Texans run for an average of 121 yards per game on 28 attempts for an average of 4.3 yards per carry. That ranks them 5th in the league. They also run 66 plays per contest and average 4.8 yards per play for an average of 316 yards per game, ranking their offense 28th overall this season. The Texans average 19 first downs per game which ranks them 28th in the NFL. They accumulate 51.1 penalty yards per game via 5.4 penalties, which ranks 32nd in the league.

Houston allows 208 passing yards per game, ranking 5th, and they allow 21 points per contest on defense, which ranks 13th. They give up 20 completions on 32 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 63%. The Texans allow 108 rushing yards per game on 26 carries for an average of 4.2 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 19th in the NFL. Houston allows 316 total yards per game including 5.3 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 5th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.7 penalties for 57.4 yards per game, ranking them 16th among NFL teams.

Indianapolis averages 26 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 7th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 24 passes per game on 37 attempts for a 65% completion percentage. They throw for 259 yards through the air per game, ranking them 11th. The Colts run for an average of 99 yards per game on 26 attempts for an average of 3.8 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 24th on the ground. They also run 66 plays per game and average 5.4 yards per play for a total of 358 yards per game, ranking them 14th in the league on offense. The Colts get an average of 22 first downs per game, which ranks 10th. They average 59.3 penalty yards per game via 6.8 penalties, ranking them 19th in the NFL.

Indianapolis allows an average of 273 passing yards per game, which ranks 28th in the league. Their defense overall allows 26 points per contest, which has them ranked 25th. They give up 24 completions on 37 attempts for a completion percentage of 65% per game. The Colts allow 110 rushing yards per contest on 24 carries for a 4.6 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 20th in the NFL. Indianapolis allows 383 total yards per game for an average of 6.1 yards per play, which ranks 28th in the league. They force 7.8 penalties for 71.4 yards in each contest, ranking 30th.

Houston Betting Trends

Houston is 5-7-0 against the over/under this season

Houston has an ATS record of 5-6-1 this season

Indianapolis Betting Trends

Indianapolis is 8-4-0 against the over/under this season

Indianapolis has an ATS record of 6-5-1 this season

Injuries to Watch

Houston

12/06/16 RB Lamar Miller Ribs probable Sunday vs. Indianapolis
12/05/16 CB Johnathan Joseph Ribs injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Indianapolis
12/04/16 WR Braxton Miller Shoulder injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Indianapolis
12/04/16 LB Jadeveon Clowney Elbow "?" Sunday vs. Indianapolis
12/04/16 WR Jaelen Strong Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Indianapolis
12/04/16 RB Tyler Ervin Ribs "?" Sunday vs. Indianapolis
12/04/16 LB John Simon Chest "?" Sunday vs. Indianapolis
11/12/16 S Lonnie Ballentine Groin IR
10/25/16 T Derek Newton Knee IR
10/17/16 S K.J. Dillon ACL IR
10/17/16 CB Kevin Johnson Foot IR
10/05/16 DT Devon Still Undisclosed IR
09/30/16 DE J.J. Watt Back IR
08/31/16 G Nick Martin Ankle IR
08/31/16 K Ka'imi Fairbairn Quad IR
08/31/16 S Kurtis Drummond Leg IR

Indianapolis

12/05/16 S Clayton Geathers Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Houston
12/05/16 CB Patrick Robinson Groin "?" Sunday vs. Houston
12/05/16 LB Robert Mathis Elbow "?" Sunday vs. Houston
11/19/16 DE Kendall Langford Knee IR
10/19/16 WR Quan Bray Ankle IR
09/29/16 C Jonotthan Harrison Appendix IR

Tony's Pick: Take Indianapolis -4.5

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