Sunday, December 4, 2016

Lambeau Field

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The Houston Texans travel to Lambeau Field to play the Green Bay Packers on Sunday, December 4, 2016. The opening line for this game has Green Bay as 3.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 46.5. The Texans are 5-5-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 5-6-0. The Packers have an over/under record of 6-5-0 and they are 5-5-1 against the spread.

Brock Osweiler finished with 246 yards through the air for Houston last week. He completed 22 passes out of 37 attempts for a 59% completion percentage. The Texans were led in rushing by Lamar Miller, who finished with 57 yards on 19 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 3 yards per carry. DeAndre Hopkins was the team leader in receiving with a total of 70 yards and 5 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 14 yards per reception. As a team in that game Houston got a total of 22 first downs. Of those first downs, 6 came on the ground while 14 came through the air. They ran 65 total plays for 353 yards for the game. The Texans ran for 114 yards on 27 attempts.

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Aaron Rodgers finished with 313 yards passing for Green Bay last week. He went 30 for 39, resulting in a 77% completion percentage. The Packers were led on the ground by James Starks, who finished with 41 yards on 17 carries. He ended the game with an average of 2 yards per rush. Davante Adams led the team in receiving with 113 yards and 5 catches. He finished the game with an average of 23 yards per reception. Green Bay had 25 first downs total. 7 came from running the ball and 15 came from a pass. They ran 67 total plays for 387 yards for the contest. The Packers ran for 74 yards on 28 carries as a team.

Houston scores 18 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 29th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 22 passes on 36 attempts for a 61% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 196 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 31st in the league. The Texans run for an average of 121 yards per game on 28 attempts for an average of 4.3 yards per carry. That ranks them 5th in the league. They also run 66 plays per contest and average 4.8 yards per play for an average of 317 yards per game, ranking their offense 29th overall this season. The Texans average 19 first downs per game which ranks them 29th in the NFL. They accumulate 54.6 penalty yards per game via 5.6 penalties, which ranks 32nd in the league.

Houston allows 209 passing yards per game, ranking 5th, and they allow 21 points per contest on defense, which ranks 14th. They give up 20 completions on 32 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 63%. The Texans allow 108 rushing yards per game on 26 carries for an average of 4.2 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 19th in the NFL. Houston allows 317 total yards per game including 5.3 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 5th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.9 penalties for 59.9 yards per game, ranking them 17th among NFL teams.

Green Bay averages 25 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 11th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 26 passes per game on 41 attempts for a 63% completion percentage. They throw for 267 yards through the air per game, ranking them 7th. The Packers run for an average of 98 yards per game on 23 attempts for an average of 4.3 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 21st on the ground. They also run 66 plays per game and average 5.5 yards per play for a total of 365 yards per game, ranking them 11th in the league on offense. The Packers get an average of 23 first downs per game, which ranks 8th. They average 53.4 penalty yards per game via 6.4 penalties, ranking them 21st in the NFL.

Green Bay allows an average of 261 passing yards per game, which ranks 21st in the league. Their defense overall allows 26 points per contest, which has them ranked 25th. They give up 21 completions on 33 attempts for a completion percentage of 64% per game. The Packers allow 90 rushing yards per contest on 24 carries for a 3.8 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 6th in the NFL. Green Bay allows 351 total yards per game for an average of 5.9 yards per play, which ranks 13th in the league. They force 7.3 penalties for 68.1 yards in each contest, ranking 23rd.

Houston Betting Trends

Houston is 5-6-0 against the over/under this season

Houston has an ATS record of 5-5-1 this season

Green Bay Betting Trends

Green Bay is 6-5-0 against the over/under this season

Green Bay has an ATS record of 5-5-1 this season

Injuries to Watch

Houston

11/27/16 RB Alfred Blue Calf "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay
11/27/16 WR Jaelen Strong Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay
11/27/16 LB John Simon Chest "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay
11/27/16 RB Tyler Ervin Ribs "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay
11/12/16 S Lonnie Ballentine Groin IR
10/25/16 T Derek Newton Knee IR
10/17/16 S K.J. Dillon ACL IR
10/17/16 CB Kevin Johnson Foot IR
10/05/16 DT Devon Still Undisclosed IR
09/30/16 DE J.J. Watt Back IR
08/31/16 K Ka'imi Fairbairn Quad IR
08/31/16 S Kurtis Drummond Leg IR
08/31/16 G Nick Martin Ankle IR

Green Bay

11/28/16 LB Jake Ryan Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Houston
11/28/16 C JC Tretter Knee "?" Sunday vs. Houston
11/28/16 LB Kyler Fackrell Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Houston
11/28/16 G T.J. Lang Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Houston
11/22/16 LB Blake Martinez Knee expected to miss 3-4 weeks
11/22/16 CB Demetri Goodson Knee out indefinitely
11/16/16 RB Don Jackson Undisclosed IR
10/26/16 WR Jared Abbrederis Quad IR
10/25/16 S Chris Banjo Hamstring IR
10/24/16 CB Damarious Randall Groin out indefinitely
10/20/16 RB Eddie Lacy Ankle IR
09/25/16 CB Sam Shields Concussion IR

Guy's Pick: Take Green Bay -3.5

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