Sunday, January 1, 2017

Ford Field

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The Green Bay Packers travel to Ford Field to play the Detroit Lions on Sunday, January 1, 2017. The opening line for this game has Green Bay as 3 point favorites and the over/under was set at 46.5. The Packers are 8-6-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 9-6-0. The Lions have an over/under record of 5-10-0 and they are 8-7-0 against the spread.

Aaron Rodgers finished with 347 yards through the air for Green Bay last week. He completed 28 passes out of 38 attempts for a 74% completion percentage. The Packers were led in rushing by Ty Montgomery, who finished with 23 yards on 9 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 3 yards per carry. Jordy Nelson was the team leader in receiving with a total of 154 yards and 9 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 17 yards per reception. As a team in that game Green Bay got a total of 19 first downs. Of those first downs, 1 came on the ground while 18 came through the air. They ran 58 total plays for 348 yards for the game. The Packers ran for 40 yards on 15 attempts.

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Matthew Stafford finished with 260 yards passing for Detroit last week. He went 26 for 46, resulting in a 57% completion percentage. The Lions were led on the ground by Zach Zenner, who finished with 67 yards on 12 carries. He ended the game with an average of 6 yards per rush. Eric Ebron led the team in receiving with 93 yards and 8 catches. He finished the game with an average of 12 yards per reception. Detroit had 23 first downs total. 7 came from running the ball and 16 came from a pass. They ran 70 total plays for 319 yards for the contest. The Lions ran for 90 yards on 20 carries as a team.

Green Bay scores 27 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 6th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 25 passes on 39 attempts for a 64% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 260 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 7th in the league. The Packers run for an average of 103 yards per game on 23 attempts for an average of 4.5 yards per carry. That ranks them 19th in the league. They also run 64 plays per contest and average 5.7 yards per play for an average of 363 yards per game, ranking their offense 10th overall this season. The Packers average 21 first downs per game which ranks them 7th in the NFL. They accumulate 50.1 penalty yards per game via 6 penalties, which ranks 15th in the league.

Green Bay allows 265 passing yards per game, ranking 29th, and they allow 24 points per contest on defense, which ranks 23rd. They give up 23 completions on 35 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 66%. The Packers allow 96 rushing yards per game on 24 carries for an average of 4 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 9th in the NFL. Green Bay allows 361 total yards per game including 5.9 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 20th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.9 penalties for 62.3 yards per game, ranking them 25th among NFL teams.

Detroit averages 21 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 21st in the league. In the passing department, they complete 24 passes per game on 37 attempts for a 65% completion percentage. They throw for 252 yards through the air per game, ranking them 14th. The Lions run for an average of 82 yards per game on 22 attempts for an average of 3.7 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 30th on the ground. They also run 61 plays per game and average 5.5 yards per play for a total of 334 yards per game, ranking them 23rd in the league on offense. The Lions get an average of 20 first downs per game, which ranks 18th. They average 55.4 penalty yards per game via 6.3 penalties, ranking them 23rd in the NFL.

Detroit allows an average of 245 passing yards per game, which ranks 16th in the league. Their defense overall allows 22 points per contest, which has them ranked 13th. They give up 25 completions on 34 attempts for a completion percentage of 74% per game. The Lions allow 103 rushing yards per contest on 24 carries for a 4.3 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 16th in the NFL. Detroit allows 349 total yards per game for an average of 5.9 yards per play, which ranks 15th in the league. They force 7.5 penalties for 60.3 yards in each contest, ranking 19th.

Green Bay Betting Trends

Green Bay is 9-6-0 against the over/under this season

Green Bay has an ATS record of 8-6-1 this season

Detroit Betting Trends

Detroit is 5-10-0 against the over/under this season

Detroit has an ATS record of 8-7-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Green Bay

12/25/16 QB Aaron Rodgers Neck injured last game, probable Sunday vs. Detroit
12/25/16 RB James Starks Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Detroit
12/25/16 LB Jayrone Elliott Hand "?" Sunday vs. Detroit
12/25/16 C JC Tretter Knee "?" Sunday vs. Detroit
12/25/16 CB Ladarius Gunter Elbow injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Detroit
12/25/16 WR Randall Cobb Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Detroit
12/07/16 DT Mike Pennel Suspension expected to miss next 4 games
12/06/16 CB Demetri Goodson Knee IR
11/16/16 RB Don Jackson Undisclosed IR
10/26/16 WR Jared Abbrederis Quad IR
10/25/16 S Chris Banjo Hamstring IR
10/20/16 RB Eddie Lacy Ankle IR
09/25/16 CB Sam Shields Concussion IR

Detroit

12/26/16 CB Darius Slay Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay
12/26/16 RB Theo Riddick Wrist "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay
12/26/16 C Travis Swanson Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay
12/08/16 DE Armonty Bryant Knee IR
12/07/16 TE Brandon Pettigrew Knee IR
12/07/16 CB Quandre Diggs Shoulder IR
11/02/16 TE Cole Wick Knee IR
09/21/16 RB Ameer Abdullah Foot IR
09/02/16 LS Jimmy Landes Shoulder IR
09/02/16 LB Jon Bostic Foot IR
08/31/16 TE Timothy Wright ACL IR

Guy's Pick: Take Green Bay -3

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