Sunday, October 30, 2016

The Georgia Dome

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The Green Bay Packers travel to The Georgia Dome to play the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday, October 30, 2016. The opening line for this game has Atlanta as 2.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 52.5. The Packers are 3-2-1 against the spread and their over/under record is 2-4-0. The Falcons have an over/under record of 6-1-0 and they are 5-2-0 against the spread.

Aaron Rodgers finished with 326 yards through the air for Green Bay last week. He completed 39 passes out of 56 attempts for a 70% completion percentage. The Packers were led in rushing by Ty Montgomery, who finished with 60 yards on 9 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 7 yards per carry. Davante Adams was the team leader in receiving with a total of 132 yards and 13 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 10 yards per reception. As a team in that game Green Bay got a total of 32 first downs. Of those first downs, 5 came on the ground while 21 came through the air. They ran 81 total plays for 406 yards for the game. The Packers ran for 103 yards on 23 attempts.

Matt Ryan finished with 273 yards passing for Atlanta last week. He went 22 for 34, resulting in a 65% completion percentage. The Falcons were led on the ground by Tevin Coleman, who finished with 64 yards on 8 carries. He ended the game with an average of 8 yards per rush. Julio Jones led the team in receiving with 174 yards and 9 catches. He finished the game with an average of 19 yards per reception. Atlanta had 21 first downs total. 8 came from running the ball and 13 came from a pass. They ran 63 total plays for 386 yards for the contest. The Falcons ran for 130 yards on 26 carries as a team.

Green Bay scores 23 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 14th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 25 passes on 40 attempts for a 63% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 239 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 20th in the league. The Packers run for an average of 105 yards per game on 25 attempts for an average of 4.2 yards per carry. That ranks them 20th in the league. They also run 67 plays per contest and average 5.1 yards per play for an average of 344 yards per game, ranking their offense 21st overall this season. The Packers average 22 first downs per game which ranks them 8th in the NFL. They accumulate 46.2 penalty yards per game via 5.8 penalties, which ranks 27th in the league.

Green Bay allows 242 passing yards per game, ranking 15th, and they allow 21 points per contest on defense, which ranks 11th. They give up 20 completions on 33 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 61%. The Packers allow 72 rushing yards per game on 23 carries for an average of 3.1 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 1st in the NFL. Green Bay allows 314 total yards per game including 5.3 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 7th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 8.2 penalties for 86.8 yards per game, ranking them 25th among NFL teams.

Atlanta averages 33 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 1st in the league. In the passing department, they complete 24 passes per game on 35 attempts for a 69% completion percentage. They throw for 319 yards through the air per game, ranking them 2nd. The Falcons run for an average of 115 yards per game on 26 attempts for an average of 4.4 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 13th on the ground. They also run 64 plays per game and average 6.8 yards per play for a total of 434 yards per game, ranking them 1st in the league on offense. The Falcons get an average of 23 first downs per game, which ranks 3rd. They average 67.6 penalty yards per game via 7.1 penalties, ranking them 7th in the NFL.

Atlanta allows an average of 294 passing yards per game, which ranks 31st in the league. Their defense overall allows 28 points per contest, which has them ranked 27th. They give up 28 completions on 42 attempts for a completion percentage of 67% per game. The Falcons allow 92 rushing yards per contest on 24 carries for a 3.8 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 11th in the NFL. Atlanta allows 386 total yards per game for an average of 5.6 yards per play, which ranks 25th in the league. They force 5.7 penalties for 48.1 yards in each contest, ranking 12th.

Green Bay Betting Trends

Green Bay is 2-4-0 against the over/under this season

Green Bay has an ATS record of 3-2-1 this season

Atlanta Betting Trends

Atlanta is 6-1-0 against the over/under this season

Atlanta has an ATS record of 5-2-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Green Bay

10/25/16 S Chris Banjo Hamstring IR
10/24/16 CB Damarious Randall Groin out indefinitely
10/23/16 WR Jared Abbrederis Quad "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
10/23/16 CB Quinten Rollins Groin "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
10/23/16 RB Don Jackson Hand "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
10/20/16 RB Eddie Lacy Ankle IR
10/16/16 RB James Starks Knee expected to miss 3-4 weeks
09/27/16 TE Jared Cook Ankle out indefinitely
09/25/16 CB Sam Shields Concussion IR
09/02/16 C Corey Linsley Hamstring PUP

Atlanta

10/25/16 RB Tevin Coleman Hamstring doubtful Sunday vs. Green Bay
10/23/16 WR Taylor Gabriel Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay
10/23/16 CB C.J. Goodwin Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Green Bay
10/19/16 DE Derrick Shelby Calf IR
10/03/16 LB De'Vondre Campbell Ankle expected to miss 2-4 weeks
10/03/16 LB Sean Weatherspoon Achilles IR
09/22/16 LB Paul Worrilow Groin expected to miss 3-4 weeks
09/02/16 WR Devin Fuller Shoulder IR

Tony's Pick: Take Atlanta

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