Sunday, December 25, 2016

Arrowhead Stadium

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The Denver Broncos take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, December 25, 2016 at Arrowhead Stadium. The opening line for this game has Kansas City as 3.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 38. The Broncos are 8-6-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 6-8-0. The Chiefs have an over/under record of 4-10-0 and they are 7-6-1 against the spread.

Trevor Siemian finished with 282 yards through the air for Denver last week. He completed 25 passes out of 40 attempts for a 63% completion percentage. The Broncos were led in rushing by Justin Forsett, who finished with 37 yards on 10 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 4 yards per carry. Demaryius Thomas was the team leader in receiving with a total of 91 yards and 7 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 13 yards per reception. As a team in that game Denver got a total of 15 first downs. Of those first downs, 4 came on the ground while 10 came through the air. They ran 61 total plays for 309 yards for the game. The Broncos ran for 58 yards on 17 attempts.

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Alex Smith finished with 163 yards passing for Kansas City last week. He went 15 for 28, resulting in a 54% completion percentage. The Chiefs were led on the ground by Spencer Ware, who finished with 70 yards on 18 carries. He ended the game with an average of 4 yards per rush. Jeremy Maclin led the team in receiving with 82 yards and 6 catches. He finished the game with an average of 14 yards per reception. Kansas City had 13 first downs total. 4 came from running the ball and 8 came from a pass. They ran 57 total plays for 317 yards for the contest. The Chiefs ran for 158 yards on 28 carries as a team.

Denver scores 21 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 21st in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 22 passes on 36 attempts for a 61% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 235 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 20th in the league. The Broncos run for an average of 91 yards per game on 25 attempts for an average of 3.6 yards per carry. That ranks them 27th in the league. They also run 64 plays per contest and average 5.1 yards per play for an average of 327 yards per game, ranking their offense 24th overall this season. The Broncos average 18 first downs per game which ranks them 25th in the NFL. They accumulate 62.3 penalty yards per game via 7.5 penalties, which ranks 10th in the league.

Denver allows 183 passing yards per game, ranking 1st, and they allow 18 points per contest on defense, which ranks 4th. They give up 19 completions on 35 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 54%. The Broncos allow 128 rushing yards per game on 31 carries for an average of 4.1 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 29th in the NFL. Denver allows 311 total yards per game including 4.6 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 2nd in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.4 penalties for 57.1 yards per game, ranking them 2nd among NFL teams.

Kansas City averages 23 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 15th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 23 passes per game on 34 attempts for a 68% completion percentage. They throw for 231 yards through the air per game, ranking them 21st. The Chiefs run for an average of 101 yards per game on 25 attempts for an average of 4 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 22nd on the ground. They also run 61 plays per game and average 5.4 yards per play for a total of 331 yards per game, ranking them 23rd in the league on offense. The Chiefs get an average of 18 first downs per game, which ranks 24th. They average 54.6 penalty yards per game via 6.9 penalties, ranking them 22nd in the NFL.

Kansas City allows an average of 250 passing yards per game, which ranks 19th in the league. Their defense overall allows 20 points per contest, which has them ranked 8th. They give up 22 completions on 37 attempts for a completion percentage of 59% per game. The Chiefs allow 125 rushing yards per contest on 28 carries for a 4.5 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 28th in the NFL. Kansas City allows 375 total yards per game for an average of 5.6 yards per play, which ranks 28th in the league. They force 6.4 penalties for 48.4 yards in each contest, ranking 6th.

Denver Betting Trends

Denver is 6-8-0 against the over/under this season

Denver has an ATS record of 8-6-0 this season

Kansas City Betting Trends

Kansas City is 4-10-0 against the over/under this season

Kansas City has an ATS record of 7-6-1 this season

Injuries to Watch

Denver

12/19/16 DE Derek Wolfe Neck injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City
12/19/16 TE Virgil Green Concussion injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City
12/18/16 LB Brandon Marshall Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City
12/18/16 LS Casey Kreiter Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Kansas City
12/18/16 LB Todd Davis Ribs probable Sunday vs. New England
12/06/16 RB Kapri Bibbs Ankle IR
11/30/16 FB Andy Janovich Ankle IR
10/27/16 RB C.J. Anderson Knee IR
08/31/16 TE Garrett Graham Shoulder IR

Kansas City

12/18/16 DB Phillip Gaines Knee "?" Sunday vs. Denver
12/17/16 LB Derrick Johnson Achilles IR
12/01/16 DL Jaye Howard Hip IR
11/02/16 OL Parker Ehinger ACL IR
11/01/16 RB Jamaal Charles Knee IR
10/19/16 DL Allen Bailey Shoulder IR
10/19/16 LB Justin March Hand IR
08/31/16 LB Josh Mauga Hip IR
08/15/16 QB Tyler Bray Back out indefinitely

Josh's Pick: Take Kansas City -3.5

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