Sunday, January 1, 2017

MetLife Stadium

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The Buffalo Bills travel to MetLife Stadium to play the New York Jets on Sunday, January 1, 2017. The opening line for this game has Buffalo as 5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 45. The Bills are 6-9-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 12-3-0. The Jets have an over/under record of 7-8-0 and they are 5-10-0 against the spread.

Tyrod Taylor finished with 329 yards through the air for Buffalo last week. He completed 26 passes out of 39 attempts for a 67% completion percentage. The Bills were led in rushing by LeSean McCoy, who finished with 128 yards on 24 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 5 yards per carry. Sammy Watkins was the team leader in receiving with a total of 154 yards and 7 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 22 yards per reception. As a team in that game Buffalo got a total of 30 first downs. Of those first downs, 14 came on the ground while 15 came through the air. They ran 90 total plays for 589 yards for the game. The Bills ran for 272 yards on 49 attempts.

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Ryan Fitzpatrick finished with 136 yards passing for New York last week. He went 8 for 21, resulting in a 38% completion percentage. The Jets were led on the ground by Bilal Powell, who finished with 60 yards on 15 carries. He ended the game with an average of 4 yards per rush. Quincy Enunwa led the team in receiving with 30 yards and 2 catches. He finished the game with an average of 15 yards per reception. New York had 14 first downs total. 7 came from running the ball and 6 came from a pass. They ran 55 total plays for 239 yards for the contest. The Jets ran for 111 yards on 29 carries as a team.

Buffalo scores 26 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 7th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 18 passes on 30 attempts for a 60% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 192 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 31st in the league. The Bills run for an average of 171 yards per game on 31 attempts for an average of 5.5 yards per carry. That ranks them 1st in the league. They also run 63 plays per contest and average 5.7 yards per play for an average of 362 yards per game, ranking their offense 12th overall this season. The Bills average 21 first downs per game which ranks them 13th in the NFL. They accumulate 64 penalty yards per game via 7.5 penalties, which ranks 4th in the league.

Buffalo allows 225 passing yards per game, ranking 7th, and they allow 23 points per contest on defense, which ranks 15th. They give up 19 completions on 32 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 59%. The Bills allow 134 rushing yards per game on 29 carries for an average of 4.6 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 28th in the NFL. Buffalo allows 359 total yards per game including 5.6 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 19th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.9 penalties for 57.9 yards per game, ranking them 21st among NFL teams.

New York averages 16 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 30th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 19 passes per game on 35 attempts for a 54% completion percentage. They throw for 218 yards through the air per game, ranking them 27th. The Jets run for an average of 112 yards per game on 26 attempts for an average of 4.3 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 13th on the ground. They also run 63 plays per game and average 5.2 yards per play for a total of 329 yards per game, ranking them 25th in the league on offense. The Jets get an average of 18 first downs per game, which ranks 29th. They average 54.8 penalty yards per game via 6.1 penalties, ranking them 27th in the NFL.

New York allows an average of 249 passing yards per game, which ranks 20th in the league. Their defense overall allows 27 points per contest, which has them ranked 29th. They give up 22 completions on 34 attempts for a completion percentage of 65% per game. The Jets allow 101 rushing yards per contest on 27 carries for a 3.7 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 14th in the NFL. New York allows 350 total yards per game for an average of 5.6 yards per play, which ranks 16th in the league. They force 4.9 penalties for 43.4 yards in each contest, ranking 1st.

Buffalo Betting Trends

Buffalo is 12-3-0 against the over/under this season

Buffalo has an ATS record of 6-9-0 this season

New York Betting Trends

New York is 7-8-0 against the over/under this season

New York has an ATS record of 5-10-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Buffalo

12/25/16 T Cordy Glenn Back "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets
12/25/16 LB Lerentee McCray Concussion "?" Sunday vs. NY Jets
12/06/16 WR Percy Harvin Migraine out for season
11/30/16 DT Corbin Bryant Shoulder IR
11/30/16 WR Walter Powell Ankle IR
11/29/16 T Seantrel Henderson Suspension expected to miss 10 games
11/26/16 S Robert Blanton Foot IR
11/15/16 C Eric Wood Leg IR
11/01/16 S Aaron Williams Head IR
10/14/16 WR Greg Salas Groin IR
09/02/16 TE Chris Gragg Knee IR
09/02/16 LB IK Enemkpali Knee IR
09/01/16 LB Reggie Ragland Knee IR
08/31/16 WR Kolby Listenbee Groin PUP
08/31/16 WR Marcus Easley Knee PUP

New York

12/27/16 QB Ryan Fitzpatrick None expected to start Sunday vs. Buffalo
12/27/16 QB Bryce Petty Shoulder IR
12/25/16 RB Khiry Robinson Leg injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
12/25/16 TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins Hamstring injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
12/25/16 WR Brandon Marshall Hip injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
12/25/16 DT Steve McLendon Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
12/25/16 LB Lorenzo Mauldin Ankle "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
12/25/16 RB Matt Forte Knee "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
12/25/16 DE Leonard Williams Chest injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
12/21/16 G Brian Winters Shoulder IR
12/21/16 LB Mike Catapano Knee out for season
12/15/16 T Breno Giacomini Shoulder IR
12/14/16 S Marcus Gilchrist Knee IR
12/08/16 C Nick Mangold Ankle out for season
11/09/16 T Ryan Clady Shoulder IR
11/07/16 CB Marcus Williams Ankle expected to miss 2-4 weeks
10/25/16 TE Braedon Bowman Knee IR
10/25/16 LB Erin Henderson Undisclosed IR
10/24/16 QB Geno Smith Knee out for season
10/12/16 WR Eric Decker Shoulder IR
09/29/16 DE Lawrence Thomas Shoulder IR

Tony's Pick: Take Buffalo -5

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