Sunday, October 2, 2016

Gillette Stadium

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The Buffalo Bills travel to Gillette Stadium to play the New England Patriots on Sunday, October 2, 2016. The opening line for this game has New England as 4 point favorites and the over/under was set at 40.5. The Bills are 1-2-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 2-1-0. The Patriots have an over/under record of 1-2-0 and they are 3-0-0 against the spread.

Tyrod Taylor finished with 119 yards through the air for Buffalo last week. He completed 14 passes out of 25 attempts for a 56% completion percentage. The Bills were led in rushing by LeSean McCoy, who finished with 110 yards on 17 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 7 yards per carry. Robert Woods was the team leader in receiving with a total of 51 yards and 6 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 9 yards per reception. As a team in that game Buffalo got a total of 16 first downs. Of those first downs, 11 came on the ground while 5 came through the air. They ran 61 total plays for 296 yards for the game. The Bills ran for 208 yards on 32 attempts.

Jacoby Brissett finished with 103 yards passing for New England last week. He went 11 for 19, resulting in a 58% completion percentage. The Patriots were led on the ground by LeGarrette Blount, who finished with 105 yards on 24 carries. He ended the game with an average of 4 yards per rush. Julian Edelman led the team in receiving with 38 yards and 4 catches. He finished the game with an average of 10 yards per reception. New England had 15 first downs total. 8 came from running the ball and 4 came from a pass. They ran 59 total plays for 282 yards for the contest. The Patriots ran for 185 yards on 39 carries as a team.

Buffalo scores 24 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 15th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 16 passes on 26 attempts for a 62% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 164 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 32nd in the league. The Bills run for an average of 120 yards per game on 25 attempts for an average of 4.8 yards per carry. That ranks them 9th in the league. They also run 53 plays per contest and average 5.3 yards per play for an average of 283 yards per game, ranking their offense 30th overall this season. The Bills average 14 first downs per game which ranks them 31st in the NFL. They accumulate 74.3 penalty yards per game via 7.7 penalties, which ranks 7th in the league.

Buffalo allows 285 passing yards per game, ranking 22nd, and they allow 23 points per contest on defense, which ranks 17th. They give up 24 completions on 39 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 62%. The Bills allow 98 rushing yards per game on 29 carries for an average of 3.4 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 14th in the NFL. Buffalo allows 383 total yards per game including 5.4 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 23rd in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 7 penalties for 45 yards per game, ranking them 18th among NFL teams.

New England averages 27 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 5th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 20 passes per game on 29 attempts for a 69% completion percentage. They throw for 219 yards through the air per game, ranking them 26th. The Patriots run for an average of 151 yards per game on 36 attempts for an average of 4.2 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 1st on the ground. They also run 67 plays per game and average 5.5 yards per play for a total of 369 yards per game, ranking them 14th in the league on offense. The Patriots get an average of 21 first downs per game, which ranks 15th. They average 49.7 penalty yards per game via 6 penalties, ranking them 19th in the NFL.

New England allows an average of 271 passing yards yards per game, which ranks 19th in the league. Their defense overall allows 15 points per contest, which has them ranked 5th. They give up 27 completions on 41 attempts for a completion percentage of 66% per game. The Patriots allow 90 rushing yards per contest on 21 carries for a 4.3 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 11th in the NFL. New England allows 362 total yards per game for an average of 5.7 yards per play, which ranks 17th in the league. They force 5.7 penalties for 50 yards in each contest, ranking 10th.

Buffalo Betting Trends

Buffalo is 2-1-0 against the over/under this season

Buffalo has an ATS record of 1-2-0 this season

New England Betting Trends

New England is 1-2-0 against the over/under this season

New England has an ATS record of 3-0-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Buffalo

09/27/16 WR Marquise Goodwin Undisclosed "?" Sunday vs. New England
09/25/16 S Colt Anderson Foot "?" Sunday vs. New England
09/25/16 T Cordy Glenn Ankle "?" Sunday vs. New England
09/25/16 WR Greg Salas Groin "?" Sunday vs. New England
09/25/16 CB Ronald Darby Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. New England
09/25/16 WR Sammy Watkins Ankle "?" Sunday vs. New England
09/09/16 T Seantrel Henderson Suspension expected to miss first 4 games
09/02/16 TE Chris Gragg Knee IR
09/02/16 LB IK Enemkpali Knee IR
09/01/16 LB Reggie Ragland Knee IR
08/31/16 WR Kolby Listenbee Groin PUP
08/31/16 DE Shaq Lawson Shoulder PUP
08/31/16 WR Marcus Easley Knee PUP
08/16/16 DT Marcell Dareus Suspension expected to miss first 4 games

New England

09/25/16 LB Dont'a Hightower Knee "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
09/25/16 QB Jacoby Brissett Thumb "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
09/25/16 QB Jimmy Garoppolo Shoulder "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
09/25/16 G Jonathan Cooper Foot "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
09/03/16 DE Rob Ninkovich Suspension expected to miss first 4 games
08/31/16 G Tre Jackson Knee PUP
08/30/16 RB Dion Lewis Knee PUP
08/30/16 T Sebastian Vollmer Hip PUP
04/25/16 QB Tom Brady Suspension expected to miss first 4 games

Guy's Pick: Take Buffalo

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