Sunday, November 20, 2016

Paul Brown Stadium

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The Buffalo Bills travel to Paul Brown Stadium to play the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday, November 20, 2016. The opening line for this game has Cincinnati as 4 point favorites and the over/under was set at 45.5. The Bills are 4-5-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 7-2-0. The Bengals have an over/under record of 5-4-0 and they are 3-6-0 against the spread.

Tyrod Taylor finished with 289 yards through the air for Buffalo last week. He completed 27 passes out of 38 attempts for a 71% completion percentage. The Bills were led in rushing by LeSean McCoy, who finished with 85 yards on 21 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 4 yards per carry. Robert Woods was the team leader in receiving with a total of 162 yards and 10 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 16 yards per reception. As a team in that game Buffalo got a total of 30 first downs. Of those first downs, 11 came on the ground while 16 came through the air. They ran 82 total plays for 425 yards for the game. The Bills ran for 162 yards on 38 attempts.

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Andy Dalton finished with 204 yards passing for Cincinnati last week. He went 16 for 29, resulting in a 55% completion percentage. The Bengals were led on the ground by Jeremy Hill, who finished with 46 yards on 15 carries. He ended the game with an average of 3 yards per rush. Tyler Eifert led the team in receiving with 96 yards and 3 catches. He finished the game with an average of 32 yards per reception. Cincinnati had 12 first downs total. 4 came from running the ball and 7 came from a pass. They ran 55 total plays for 264 yards for the contest. The Bengals ran for 78 yards on 23 carries as a team.

Buffalo scores 26 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 9th in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 18 passes on 30 attempts for a 60% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 189 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 31st in the league. The Bills run for an average of 155 yards per game on 29 attempts for an average of 5.3 yards per carry. That ranks them 2nd in the league. They also run 62 plays per contest and average 5.5 yards per play for an average of 344 yards per game, ranking their offense 18th overall this season. The Bills average 20 first downs per game which ranks them 16th in the NFL. They accumulate 73.1 penalty yards per game via 8 penalties, which ranks 2nd in the league.

Buffalo allows 242 passing yards per game, ranking 11th, and they allow 23 points per contest on defense, which ranks 13th. They give up 20 completions on 32 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 63%. The Bills allow 109 rushing yards per game on 27 carries for an average of 4 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 20th in the NFL. Buffalo allows 351 total yards per game including 5.6 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 14th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 8.3 penalties for 67.6 yards per game, ranking them 25th among NFL teams.

Cincinnati averages 21 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 23rd in the league. In the passing department, they complete 23 passes per game on 35 attempts for a 66% completion percentage. They throw for 265 yards through the air per game, ranking them 10th. The Bengals run for an average of 116 yards per game on 27 attempts for an average of 4.3 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 10th on the ground. They also run 65 plays per game and average 5.9 yards per play for a total of 381 yards per game, ranking them 9th in the league on offense. The Bengals get an average of 22 first downs per game, which ranks 14th. They average 50.4 penalty yards per game via 6.3 penalties, ranking them 25th in the NFL.

Cincinnati allows an average of 259 passing yards per game, which ranks 17th in the league. Their defense overall allows 23 points per contest, which has them ranked 18th. They give up 23 completions on 36 attempts for a completion percentage of 64% per game. The Bengals allow 117 rushing yards per contest on 26 carries for a 4.5 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 24th in the NFL. Cincinnati allows 375 total yards per game for an average of 5.8 yards per play, which ranks 24th in the league. They force 6.6 penalties for 57.1 yards in each contest, ranking 19th.

Buffalo Betting Trends

Buffalo is 7-2-0 against the over/under this season

Buffalo has an ATS record of 4-5-0 this season

Cincinnati Betting Trends

Cincinnati is 5-4-0 against the over/under this season

Cincinnati has an ATS record of 3-6-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Buffalo

11/15/16 C Eric Wood Leg IR
11/13/16 WR Brandon Tate Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati
11/13/16 DT Corbin Bryant Shoulder "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati
11/13/16 DT Marcell Dareus Groin "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati
11/01/16 S Aaron Williams Head IR
10/14/16 WR Greg Salas Groin IR
09/30/16 WR Sammy Watkins Ankle IR
09/02/16 TE Chris Gragg Knee IR
09/02/16 LB IK Enemkpali Knee IR
09/01/16 LB Reggie Ragland Knee IR
08/31/16 WR Kolby Listenbee Groin PUP
08/31/16 WR Marcus Easley Knee PUP

Cincinnati

11/14/16 WR James Wright Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
11/14/16 LB Rey Maualuga Wrist "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
08/31/16 DT Andrew Billings Knee IR
08/31/16 DT Brandon Thompson Knee PUP
08/31/16 HB Cedric Peerman Forearm out indefinitely

Guy's Pick: Take Cincinnati -4

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