Monday, December 12, 2016

Gillette Stadium

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The Baltimore Ravens travel to Gillette Stadium to play the New England Patriots on Monday, December 12, 2016. The opening line for this game has New England as 9 point favorites and the over/under was set at 44.5. The Ravens are 6-6-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 4-8-0. The Patriots have an over/under record of 4-8-0 and they are 9-3-0 against the spread.

Joe Flacco finished with 381 yards through the air for Baltimore last week. He completed 36 passes out of 47 attempts for a 77% completion percentage. The Ravens were led in rushing by Kenneth Dixon, who finished with 56 yards on 6 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 9 yards per carry. Dennis Pitta was the team leader in receiving with a total of 90 yards and 9 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 10 yards per reception. As a team in that game Baltimore got a total of 28 first downs. Of those first downs, 8 came on the ground while 20 came through the air. They ran 70 total plays for 496 yards for the game. The Ravens ran for 110 yards on 20 attempts.

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Tom Brady finished with 269 yards passing for New England last week. He went 33 for 46, resulting in a 72% completion percentage. The Patriots were led on the ground by LeGarrette Blount, who finished with 88 yards on 18 carries. He ended the game with an average of 5 yards per rush. Julian Edelman led the team in receiving with 101 yards and 8 catches. He finished the game with an average of 13 yards per reception. New England had 20 first downs total. 6 came from running the ball and 14 came from a pass. They ran 75 total plays for 402 yards for the contest. The Patriots ran for 133 yards on 29 carries as a team.

Baltimore scores 21 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 21st in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 27 passes on 42 attempts for a 64% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 258 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 12th in the league. The Ravens run for an average of 90 yards per game on 24 attempts for an average of 3.8 yards per carry. That ranks them 28th in the league. They also run 68 plays per contest and average 5.1 yards per play for an average of 348 yards per game, ranking their offense 17th overall this season. The Ravens average 20 first downs per game which ranks them 22nd in the NFL. They accumulate 72.2 penalty yards per game via 8.2 penalties, which ranks 3rd in the league.

Baltimore allows 222 passing yards per game, ranking 7th, and they allow 17 points per contest on defense, which ranks 3rd. They give up 23 completions on 36 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 64%. The Ravens allow 74 rushing yards per game on 22 carries for an average of 3.4 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 1st in the NFL. Baltimore allows 296 total yards per game including 4.9 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 1st in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 6.7 penalties for 63.1 yards per game, ranking them 11th among NFL teams.

New England averages 27 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 6th in the league. In the passing department, they complete 24 passes per game on 35 attempts for a 69% completion percentage. They throw for 270 yards through the air per game, ranking them 5th. The Patriots run for an average of 117 yards per game on 29 attempts for an average of 4 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 6th on the ground. They also run 65 plays per game and average 6 yards per play for a total of 388 yards per game, ranking them 6th in the league on offense. The Patriots get an average of 22 first downs per game, which ranks 6th. They average 54.8 penalty yards per game via 6.2 penalties, ranking them 18th in the NFL.

New England allows an average of 243 passing yards per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Their defense overall allows 17 points per contest, which has them ranked 2nd. They give up 23 completions on 37 attempts for a completion percentage of 62% per game. The Patriots allow 94 rushing yards per contest on 24 carries for a 3.9 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 10th in the NFL. New England allows 337 total yards per game for an average of 5.3 yards per play, which ranks 9th in the league. They force 7.1 penalties for 57 yards in each contest, ranking 10th.

Baltimore Betting Trends

Baltimore is 4-8-0 against the over/under this season

Baltimore has an ATS record of 6-6-0 this season

New England Betting Trends

New England is 4-8-0 against the over/under this season

New England has an ATS record of 9-3-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Baltimore

12/04/16 TE Crockett Gillmore Thigh "?" Monday vs. New England
12/04/16 RB Javorius Allen Personal "?" Monday vs. New England
12/04/16 RB Lorenzo Taliaferro Thigh "?" Monday vs. New England
11/15/16 G Alex Lewis Ankle expected to miss 5-6 weeks
10/25/16 S Kendrick Lewis Thigh IR
10/12/16 CB Sheldon Price Thigh IR
10/07/16 TE Maxx Williams Knee IR
10/06/16 CB Maurice Canady Thigh IR
09/08/16 DT Carl Davis Undisclosed IR
09/08/16 WR Chris Matthews Undisclosed IR
09/08/16 G De'Ondre Wesley Undisclosed IR
09/08/16 WR Michael Campanaro Calf IR
09/07/16 TE Nick Boyle Suspension expected to miss first 11 games
08/29/16 CB Kyle Arrington Concussion IR

New England

12/06/16 CB Eric Rowe Hamstring injured last game, "?" Monday vs. Baltimore
12/05/16 WR Danny Amendola Ankle out indefinitely
12/04/16 DB Jordan Richards Leg "?" Monday vs. Baltimore
12/04/16 WR Matthew Slater Foot "?" Monday vs. Baltimore
12/04/16 TE Rob Gronkowski Back IR
10/15/16 LB Jonathan Freeny Shoulder IR
10/07/16 QB Jacoby Brissett Thumb IR
08/31/16 G Tre Jackson Knee PUP
08/30/16 T Sebastian Vollmer Hip PUP

Tony's Pick: Take New England -9

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