Sunday, December 11, 2016

Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

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The Atlanta Falcons take on the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday, December 11, 2016 at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum. The opening line for this game has Atlanta as 4.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 46. The Falcons are 7-5-0 against the spread and their over/under record is 10-2-0. The Rams have an over/under record of 4-8-0 and they are 4-7-1 against the spread.

Matt Ryan finished with 297 yards through the air for Atlanta last week. He completed 22 passes out of 34 attempts for a 65% completion percentage. The Falcons were led in rushing by Devonta Freeman, who finished with 56 yards on 15 rushes. He ended the contest with an average of 4 yards per carry. Julio Jones was the team leader in receiving with a total of 113 yards and 7 receptions. He finished the game with an average of 16 yards per reception. As a team in that game Atlanta got a total of 32 first downs. Of those first downs, 11 came on the ground while 15 came through the air. They ran 66 total plays for 418 yards for the game. The Falcons ran for 128 yards on 30 attempts.

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Jared Goff finished with 161 yards passing for Los Angeles last week. He went 14 for 32, resulting in a 44% completion percentage. The Rams were led on the ground by Todd Gurley, who finished with 38 yards on 11 carries. He ended the game with an average of 3 yards per rush. Kenny Britt led the team in receiving with 67 yards and 2 catches. He finished the game with an average of 34 yards per reception. Los Angeles had 7 first downs total. 2 came from running the ball and 5 came from a pass. They ran 49 total plays for 162 yards for the contest. The Rams ran for 36 yards on 13 carries as a team.

Atlanta scores 32 points per game on offense this season, which ranks 1st in the NFL. In the passing department, they average 24 passes on 35 attempts for a 69% completion percentage this season. They throw for a total of 302 yards per game through the air as well, which ranks them 3rd in the league. The Falcons run for an average of 110 yards per game on 26 attempts for an average of 4.2 yards per carry. That ranks them 9th in the league. They also run 63 plays per contest and average 6.5 yards per play for an average of 412 yards per game, ranking their offense 3rd overall this season. The Falcons average 24 first downs per game which ranks them 2nd in the NFL. They accumulate 56.1 penalty yards per game via 6.7 penalties, which ranks 14th in the league.

Atlanta allows 281 passing yards per game, ranking 32nd, and they allow 28 points per contest on defense, which ranks 29th. They give up 28 completions on 41 attempts per game for a completion percentage of 68%. The Falcons allow 101 rushing yards per game on 23 carries for an average of 4.4 yards per carry, which ranks their rush defense 16th in the NFL. Atlanta allows 382 total yards per game including 5.8 yards per play, which ranks their overall defense 27th in terms of yards per game. They get flagged for 7.3 penalties for 62.9 yards per game, ranking them 25th among NFL teams.

Los Angeles averages 15 points per game this season on offense, which ranks them 32nd in the league. In the passing department, they complete 20 passes per game on 34 attempts for a 59% completion percentage. They throw for 205 yards through the air per game, ranking them 29th. The Rams run for an average of 79 yards per game on 24 attempts for an average of 3.3 yards per carry this season, which ranks them 30th on the ground. They also run 60 plays per game and average 4.7 yards per play for a total of 284 yards per game, ranking them 32nd in the league on offense. The Rams get an average of 16 first downs per game, which ranks 32nd. They average 67 penalty yards per game via 7.8 penalties, ranking them 13th in the NFL.

Los Angeles allows an average of 231 passing yards per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Their defense overall allows 22 points per contest, which has them ranked 15th. They give up 24 completions on 37 attempts for a completion percentage of 65% per game. The Rams allow 114 rushing yards per contest on 26 carries for a 4.4 average per rush, ranking their overall rush defense 21st in the NFL. Los Angeles allows 345 total yards per game for an average of 5.3 yards per play, which ranks 11th in the league. They force 6.2 penalties for 53.6 yards in each contest, ranking 5th.

Atlanta Betting Trends

Atlanta is 10-2-0 against the over/under this season

Atlanta has an ATS record of 7-5-0 this season

Los Angeles Betting Trends

Los Angeles is 4-8-0 against the over/under this season

Los Angeles has an ATS record of 4-7-1 this season

Injuries to Watch

Atlanta

12/05/16 T Jake Matthews Knee injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Los Angeles
12/05/16 WR Julio Jones Leg probable Sunday vs. Los Angeles
12/05/16 WR Mohamed Sanu Groin injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Los Angeles
11/30/16 DE Adrian Clayborn MCL expected to miss 3-5 weeks
11/27/16 CB Desmond Trufant Pectoral out for season
11/23/16 TE Jacob Tamme Shoulder IR
10/19/16 DE Derrick Shelby Calf IR
10/03/16 LB De'Vondre Campbell Ankle expected to miss 2-4 weeks
10/03/16 LB Sean Weatherspoon Achilles IR
09/02/16 WR Devin Fuller Shoulder IR

Los Angeles

12/06/16 CB E.J. Gaines Quad injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
12/04/16 DE Robert Quinn Concussion "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
12/04/16 G Rodger Saffold Hand "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
12/04/16 WR Tavon Austin Chest "?" Sunday vs. Atlanta
09/09/16 DT Louis Trinca-Pasat Knee out for season

Tony's Pick: Take Atlanta -4.5

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