Sunday, September 20, 2015

Mercedes-Benz Superdome

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hit the road to play the New Orleans Saints on Sunday at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The opening line for this matchup has the Saints as 10 point favorites and the over/under was set at 47.5.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will look to rebound after a rough first outing for number 1 pick Jameis Winston. The Buccaneers lost their first game to the Tennessee Titans by a score of 42 - 14. The Buccaneers were unable to cover against the spread and the over was 1 - 0 on the night.

Jameis Winston was the passing leader for Tampa Bay with 210 total passing yards on the night. He completed 16 of his 33 passing attempts. He finished the day with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He was sacked 4 times and lost a total of 29 yards on those four sacks. Winston also rushed for 18 yards by way of 6 rushes for an average of 3 yards per rush. Doug Martin led Tampa Bay with 52 yards on 11 rushes and an average of 4.7 yards per carry. Martin also caught 1 pass for 2 yards on the night. Leading the team in receiving was Austin Seferian-Jenkins with 110 yards on 5 receptions. He averaged 22 yards per catch and ended his outing with 2 touchdowns.

On the other side of the field are the Drew Brees led New Orleans Saints, who are coming off a loss to the Arizona Cardinals by a score of 31 - 19. The over was 1 - 0 in this game while Arizona was able to cover as a 2 point favorite.

Brees led the Saints in passing on the day with 355 passing yards. He completed 30 passes on 48 attempts and threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Brees was sacked 2 times for a total loss of 1 yard. Brees also had 1 rushing attempt on the day for 3 yards. Mark Ingram ended up being the team leader in rushing with 24 total yards via 9 rushing attempts for an average of 2.7 yards per carry. He wasn't able to score a touchdown but he did have a fine day receiving the ball. Ingram was also the Saints' leader in receiving with 8 catches for 98 yards. This gave him an average of 12.3 yards per catch.

The Saints are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. They are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 5-1 in the Saints last 6 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game and 5-1 in their last 6 games in September. The over is also 7-2 in their last 9 games on field turf and 5-2 in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

The Buccaneers are 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game. They are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. The under is 6-0 in the Buccaneers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record and 6-0 in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. The under is also 10-1 in their last 11 games following a double-digit loss at home and 8-1 in their last 9 games following a straight up loss.

Tampa Bay Betting Trends

Tampa Bay is 1-0-0 against the over/under this season

Tampa Bay has an ATS record of 0-1-0 this season

New Orleans Betting Trends

New Orleans is 1-0-0 against the over/under this season

New Orleans has an ATS record of 0-1-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Tampa Bay

09/13/15 WR Mike Evans Hamstring missed last game, "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans
09/13/15 CB Mike Jenkins Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans
09/13/15 DE T.J. Fatinikun Shoulder "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans
09/07/15 T Demar Dotson MCL IR - designated to return (eligible to return week 11)
09/07/15 WR Kenny Bell Hamstring IR
09/04/15 DT Akeem Spence Back out indefinitely
09/04/15 DL Larry English Knee out indefinitely

New Orleans

09/14/15 S Rafael Bush Pectoral out indefinitely
09/13/15 RB C.J. Spiller Knee "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
09/13/15 LB Dannell Ellerbe Toe "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
09/13/15 LB Davis Tull Shoulder "?" Sunday vs. Tampa Bay
09/10/15 RB Khiry Robinson Undisclosed probable Sunday vs. Arizona
09/04/15 S Jairus Byrd Knee out indefinitely
09/02/15 CB Keenan Lewis Hip expected to miss 4-6 weeks

Josh's Pick: Take New Orleans

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