Sunday, September 13, 2015

University of Phoenix Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The New Orleans Saints take on the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday at University of Phoenix Stadium. The opening line for this matchup has the Cardinals as 2.5 point favorites and the over/under was set at 47. The Saints had an ATS record of 6-10-0 last year, which meant they covered the spread 38% of the time. Their over/under record was 10-6-0. The Cardinals covered the spread 65% of the time, finishing the campaign with an ATS record of 11-6-0. Their over/under record was 6-10-1.

Drew Brees leads the Saints into this matchup coming off another outstanding season. Brees threw for 4,952 yards last season while having a 69% completion percentage. He had 32 touchdowns and 17 interceptions and finished with a QBR of 73.4. He'll have one less target this season as Jimmy Graham was traded to Seattle in the offseason, so New Orleans will need to depend on him as much as possible.

Carson Palmer is coming off an injury plagued 2014 season that saw him miss a lot of the season with a torn ACL. He did play well when healthy, however, and the Cardinals are hoping he can replicate some of his success this season. Last year he threw for 1,626 yards and had a 62.9% completion percentage. He threw for 11 touchdowns and 3 interceptions and finished with a QBR of 67.7.

The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0 and is 6-2 in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 games in September, is 5-2 in their last 7 games as a home underdog, and is 7-0 in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0. The under is also 6-2 in the Cardinals last 8 games in Week 1, is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games as an underdog, and is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.

The Cardinals are 6-0 against the spread in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0, are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater, and are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite, are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog, and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1, are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0, and are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games overall.

The over is 4-1 in the Saints last 5 games in September, is 12-4 in their last 16 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0, and is 18-8 in their last 26 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0. The over is also 8-0 in the Saints last 8 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater and is 5-2 in their last 7 games in Week 1. The under is 7-3 in the Saints last 10 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0, is 5-2 in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0, and is 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.

The Saints are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0, are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog. New Orleans is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite, are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0, and are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0. They are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0, are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite of 0.5-3.0, and are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.

New Orleans Betting Trends

New Orleans was 10-6-0 against the over/under last season

New Orleans had an ATS record of 6-10-0 last season

Arizona Betting Trends

Arizona was 6-10-1 against the over/under last season

Arizona had an ATS record of 11-6-0 last season

Injuries to Watch

New Orleans

09/04/15 RB C.J. Spiller Knee probable Sunday vs. Arizona
09/04/15 S Jairus Byrd Knee out indefinitely
09/02/15 CB Keenan Lewis Hip expected to miss 4-6 weeks

Arizona

09/04/15 T Bobby Massie Suspension expected to miss first 3 games of regular season
09/04/15 WR Michael Floyd Finger "?" Sunday vs. New Orleans
09/04/15 DL Corey Peters Achilles IR
09/04/15 LB Daryl Washington Suspension out indefinitely
09/04/15 OG Mike Iupati Knee out indefinitely

Guy's Pick: Take New Orleans

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