Sunday, September 20, 2015

Ralph Wilson Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The New England Patriots matchup against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday at Ralph Wilson Stadium. The opening line for this matchup has the Patriots as 1 point favorites and the over/under was set at 45.

The Patriots are coming off a 28-21 Week 1 win against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Tom Brady led New England with 288 yards with 4 touchdowns and no interceptions. He completed 25 of his 32 passes and was sacked twice. Julian Edelman was Brady's top target on the night, catching 11 passes for 97 yards. Rob Gronkowski was the top red zone target, scoring 3 touchdowns and catching 5 balls for 94 yards. On the ground, Dion Lewis led New England with 15 carries for 69 yards. The Patriots had 26 first downs and 361 yards of total offense. They had 7 penalties for 64 yards as a team as well.

The Bills had an impressive 27-14 win against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 1. Tyrod Taylor had 195 yards passing with 1 touchdown and no interceptions. He completed 14 of 19 passes and wasn't sacked at all by the Colts defense. Percy Harvin led Buffalo in receiving, hauling in 5 catches for 79 yards and a touchdown. LeSean McCoy made his Buffalo debut with only 41 yards on 17 carries, but he also caught 3 passes for 46 yards. The Bills had 15 first downs and 342 total yards. They had 11 penalties for 113 yards, which is one area of concern for new coach Rex Ryan and his staff.

The Bills are 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 home games, are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the AFC, they are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. and they are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games in Week 2. The Bills are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. the AFC East, are 9-19-1 ATS in their last 29 games following an ATS win, and are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a S.U. win. The under is 6-0 in the Bills last 6 games in September, is 6-0 in their last 6 home games, and is 5-0 in their last 5 games on turf. The under is also 6-0 in the Bills last 6 vs. a team with a winning record, is 7-1 in their last 8 vs. the AFC, and is 6-1 in their last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

The over is 4-1 in the Patriots last 5 vs. a team with a winning record, is 23-9 in their last 32 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, and is 5-2 in their last 7 vs. the AFC East. The over is 12-5 in the Patriots last 17 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game and is 7-3 in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. The over is also 9-4 in their last 13 games following a S.U. win and is 49-23 in their last 72 vs. the AFC.

In head to head matchups, the Patriots are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Buffalo and are 21-10-1 ATS in their last 32 meetings. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings and the road team is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 meetings. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

New England Betting Trends

New England is 0-1-0 against the over/under this season

New England has an ATS record of 0-1-0 this season

Buffalo Betting Trends

Buffalo is 0-1-0 against the over/under this season

Buffalo has an ATS record of 1-0-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

New England

09/13/15 DT Dominique Easley Hip "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
09/13/15 RB LeGarrette Blount Suspension Served probable Sunday vs. Buffalo
09/13/15 S Tavon Wilson Quad "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
09/13/15 RB Travaris Cadet Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
09/13/15 DL Trey Flowers Knee "?" Sunday vs. Buffalo
09/10/15 C Bryan Stork Concussion IR - designated to return
09/07/15 WR Brandon LaFell Foot PUP
08/29/15 FB James Develin Tibia IR

Buffalo

09/14/15 S Corey Graham Concussion "?" Sunday vs. New England
09/13/15 DT Marcell Dareus Suspension "?" Sunday vs. New England
09/13/15 WR Marquise Goodwin Ribs "?" Sunday vs. New England
09/13/15 LB Tony Steward Knee "?" Sunday vs. New England
09/07/15 CB Leodis McKelvin Knee NFI - eligible to return week 7
09/04/15 DE Jarius Wynn ACL out for season
09/04/15 LB Ty Powell Knee IR

Josh's Pick: Take New England

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