Thursday, September 17, 2015

Arrowhead Stadium

For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here

The Denver Broncos take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday at Arrowhead Stadium. The opening line for this matchup has the Chiefs as 3 point favorites and the over/under was set at 42.

The Chiefs are coming off a 27-20 victory over the Houston Texans on Sunday. Alex Smith led the Chiefs with 243 passing yards with 3 touchdowns and no interceptions. He was 22 of 33 and was sacked twice. Travis Kelce was his favorite target on Sunday, catching 6 passes for 106 yards and two touchdowns. Jeremy Maclin and Jamaal Charles both had 5 receptions each as well. Charles ran for only 57 yards on 16 carries against the strong Texan defensive line. The Chiefs totaled 19 first downs and 330 yards on the day, with 97 of them being on the ground. In terms of special teams, Kansas City had 81 punt return yards and only 31 kick return yards.

Denver beat Baltimore in their first game of the season. Peyton Manning didn't have one of his better outings as he only threw for 175 yards with no touchdowns and 1 interception. He was 18 of 32 and was sacked 2 times by the Ravens defense. Emmanual Sanders led Denver with 8 catches for 65 yards while Demaryius Thomas had 7 catches for 60 yards. The Denver rushing attack didn't accomplish much either, as Ronnie Hillman led the team with only 41 yards on 12 carries. The Broncos had 16 first downs but only 219 yards of total offense. On special teams they had only 20 punt return yards and were unable to return any kicks.

The Chiefs are 4-0 against the spread in their last 4 games in September, are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, and are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Kansas City is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 vs. the AFC, they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. the AFC West, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. The under is 5-0 in the Chiefs last 5 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, is 14-3 in their last 17 games in Week 2, and is 7-2 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The under is also 21-8-1 in the Chiefs last 30 vs. a team with a winning record, is 27-11 in their last 38 home games, and is 9-4 in their last 13 games overall.

The under is 5-1 in the Broncos last 6 games following a S.U. win and is 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall, and is 5-2 in their last 7 vs. the AFC. The over is 10-3-1 in the Broncos last 14 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game, is 31-11 in their last 42 vs. a team with a winning record, and is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. The over is also 37-15-1 in Denver's last 53 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, is 7-3 in their last 10 games following an ATS win, and is 9-4 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

In head to head meetings, the under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings and is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City. The Broncos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Kansas City and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The road team is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings and the underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

Denver Betting Trends

Denver is 0-1-0 against the over/under this season

Denver has an ATS record of 1-0-0 this season

Kansas City Betting Trends

Kansas City is 1-0-0 against the over/under this season

Kansas City has an ATS record of 1-0-0 this season

Injuries to Watch

Denver

09/14/15 RB C.J. Anderson Foot is upgraded to probable Thursday vs. Kansas City
09/14/15 WR Demaryius Thomas Hand injured last game, probable Thursday vs. Kansas City
09/14/15 DE Malik Jackson Concussion "?" Thursday vs. Kansas City
09/13/15 S David Bruton Ankle "?" Thursday vs. Kansas City
09/13/15 DE Kenny Anunike Knee "?" Thursday vs. Kansas City
09/13/15 LB Lerentee McCray Groin "?" Thursday vs. Kansas City
09/13/15 S Omar Bolden Foot "?" Thursday vs. Kansas City
09/13/15 DB T.J. Ward Suspension "?" Thursday vs. Kansas City
09/04/15 DT Marvin Austin Groin IR
09/03/15 DE Derek Wolfe Suspension expected to miss first 4 games of regular season
05/29/15 OT Ryan Clady Knee out for season

Kansas City

09/09/15 OL Paul Fanaika Undisclosed IR
09/07/15 TE Richard Gordon Ankle IR
09/04/15 CB Sean Smith Suspension expected to miss first 3 games of regular season

Josh's Pick: Take Denver

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