2013 Record: 13-3

2014 Las Vegas Season Win Total: 11.0

2014 Season Win Total Prediction: 'Over'

Betting on NFL futures and NFL season win totals is all about assessing value. Who is overrated? Who is underrated? Who is ready to bounce back this season? Who is set to regress?

There is generally little or no money to be made betting on the season win total of teams like the Denver Broncos. They are coming off a 13-win season and a trip to the Super Bowl. They have the highest season win total number on the board (along with Seattle) and because of Peyton Manning they are a very public, square team for bettors to wager on. I normally ignore these teams, just like I usually stay away from the two or three bottom feeder teams with the lowest season win totals. The value just isn't there.

Denver is still a supremely talented team in a shaky division. You can expect the Broncos to be favored in at least 14 of the 16 games they play this year, with the two exceptions coming in road games at Seattle in Week 3 and at New England in Week 9.

Yes, the Broncos have to worry about the Super Bowl Loser Hangover, which has impacted many very good teams over the past 15-20 years. However, each of the last three Super Bowl losers has won at least 12 games the following season. And since 2007 the last six Super Bowl losers have won an average of 11.2 games.

And those teams didn't have Manning.

One of the most remarkable testaments to Manning's greatness is the fact that despite superhuman expectations each year he always seems to exceed them. Manning's teams are an incredible 10-1 against their Las Vegas season win totals dating back to 2003. That is astounding. The Broncos are 2-0 against their season win total with Manning under center and I felt that the opening of 11 wins was low. I wouldn't be surprised if it is bet up to 11.5 or even 12.0 by the start of the season. But no matter where it ends up there is only one way to bet Manning's teams: 'over'.

Broncos Regular Season Schedule (All times Eastern)

Week 1: Sunday, Sept. 7, Indianapolis, 8:30 p.m.

Week 2: Sunday, Sept. 14, Kansas City, 4:25 p.m.

Week 3: Sunday, Sept. 21, at Seattle, 4:25 p.m.

Week 4: BYE

Week 5: Sunday, Oct. 5, Arizona, 4:05 p.m.

Week 6: Sunday, Oct. 12, at NY Jets, 1 p.m.

Week 7: Sunday, Oct. 19, San Francisco, 8:30 p.m.

Week 8: Thursday, Oct. 23, San Diego, 8:25 p.m.

Week 9: Sunday, Nov. 2, at New England, 4:25 p.m.

Week 10: Sunday, Nov. 9, at Oakland, 4:05 p.m.

Week 11: Sunday, Nov. 16, at St. Louis, 1 p.m.

Week 12: Sunday, Nov. 23, Miami, 4:25 p.m.

Week 13: Sunday, Nov. 30, at Kansas City, 8:30 p.m.

Week 14: Sunday, Dec. 7, Buffalo, 4:05 p.m.

Week 15: Sunday, Dec. 14, at San Diego, 4:05 p.m.

Week 16: Monday, Dec. 22, at Cincinnati, 8:30 p.m.

Week 17: Sunday, Dec. 28, Oakland, 4:25 p.m.

Robert will be releasing his 2014 NFL Futures Predictions on Thursday, Aug. 14. Last year's top two picks (8-Unit Play on Arizona 'over' 5.5 wins and 6-Unit Play on Kansas City over 7.0 wins) both won easily and he has hit his top NFL Futures Play (rated 7.0 or higher) in four straight seasons. For more information visit his Insider's Page HERE.

Robert Ferringo is one of the best NFL handicappers in the world and is coming off one of the best football betting seasons in the 43-year history of Doc's Sports. Robert banked nearly $8,000 in profit for his football clients and won a stunning 62.1 percent of his NFL plays (95-58). Robert has won over 70 percent of his last 58 NFL side plays (41-17) and has posted six of seven winning NFL seasons. He has banked $17,400 in football profit, college and pro, over the last 20 months and he is excited about building on his staggering resume. Take advantage of our free, no-strings-attached $60 credit to use toward a purchase of Robert's football selections. You cannot afford to miss out on this great offer - click here.

Read more articles by Robert Ferringo