Vanderbilt Commodores vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, 1/11/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Vanderbilt Commodores vs Missouri Tigers

Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025

Location: Mizzou Arena in Columbia, MO

TV: ESPN+

The Missouri Tigers (12-3) will try to defeat the Vanderbilt Commodores (13-2) at Mizzou Arena on Saturday.

The Vanderbilt Commodores played Mississippi State and went home with a loss by a final score of 76-64 in their last contest. When discussing fouls, the Commodores walked away with 17 and Mississippi State totaled 16 fouls. They made 6 of their 16 attempts from beyond the arc. Mississippi State finished the game shooting 84.2% at the charity stripe by converting 16 of 19 tries. In addition, Mississippi State pulled down 33 rebounds (7 offensive, 26 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Mississippi State earned 12 dimes and had 7 steals for this game. With regard to defense, Vanderbilt allowed their opponent to shoot 47.4% from the floor on 27 out of 57 shooting. They also recorded 11 assists for the game as well as creating 10 turnovers and having 7 steals. Concerning rebounding, they earned 31 with 9 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Commodores knocked down 15 of 20 tries for a percentage of 75.0%. Vanderbilt wrapped up the game with a 35.5% FG percentage (22 of 62) and buried 5 of their 26 shots from 3-point land.

A.J. Hoggard is one guy who played a role for this contest. He left the arena with 18 points on 7 out of 15 shooting. He played for 29 mins played and grabbed 1 board. He ended up shooting 46.7% from the field and distributed 3 assists.

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Vanderbilt will play this game with a mark of 13-2 on the campaign. They are averaging 84.6 points per contest (21st in Division 1) while shooting 47.9% from the floor. The Commodores are hitting 32.4% from downtown (127 of 392) and 73.9% from the free throw line. As a team, Vanderbilt is snagging 37.1 boards per game and is sitting with 230 assists for the year, which is 132nd in the nation in terms of passing the ball. They are giving up possession 9.7 times per game and as a squad are committing 16.2 fouls per contest.

On the defensive end of the court, the Commodores are forcing 15.9 turnovers every game while drawing 17.5 fouls. They are currently ranked 51st in Division 1 in giving up assists with 168 relinquished on the campaign. The Commodores are allowing an opponent FG percentage of 42.2% (357 of 845) and they concede 33.7 rebounds per game as a team. They are giving up 33.6% on 3-pointers while they are 77th in college hoops in PPG allowed (67.1).

When they last stepped on the court, the Missouri Tigers walked away with a victory by a final of 83-67 when they played LSU. In the matter of cleaning up the glass, Missouri permitted LSU to pull down 27 overall (6 on the offensive side). They finished the game shooting 40.0% from three-point range by going 8 out of 20 and finished the game at 13 of 19 at the free throw line (68.4%). The Tigers permitted LSU to make 23 out of their 54 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 42.6% in this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Tigers finished 25 for 54 from the field which had them shooting 46.3%. In reference to 3-point shots, Missouri made 12 of 25 tries (48.0%). They were able to convert 21 of those for a rate of 77.8%. LSU had 23 fouls for the matchup which took the Tigers to the free throw line for a total of 27 attempts. They turned the ball over 11 times, while getting 10 steals in the matchup. The Tigers corralled 26 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds totaling 35 for the contest.

Tamar Bates pitched in for the Tigers in this game. He buried 6 of 9 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 66.7%, and tallied 8 rebounds. He had 20 points in his 32 mins on the court and had 2 dimes for the contest.

Missouri has a record of 12-3 on the year. The Tigers commit 15.7 fouls every game and they shoot 72.7% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 13.7 times per contest (205th in the country) and they turn it over 10.9 times per contest. Missouri has 1,286 pts for the season (85.7 per contest) and they grab 34.7 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Tigers are connecting on 49.8% from the field, which ranks them 16th in the country.

The Missouri defense allows 34.7% from downtown (115 of 331) and their opponents are knocking down 78.4% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 11.9 assists and 32.5 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 94th and 86th in Division 1. The Tigers defensively are ranked 109th in the country in points allowed per contest with 68.7. They are forcing 15.9 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 41.7% from the floor (105th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Vanderbilt

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