UNI Panthers vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 3/19/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UNI Panthers vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Location: Moody Coliseum in University Park, TX

TV: ESPN2

Odds/Point Spread: UNI (+10)

The UNI Panthers (20-12) are headed to Moody Coliseum on Wednesday where they will take on the SMU Mustangs (23-10) in the 1st round of the NIT. UNI is 10-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 146.

The UNI Panthers played Valparaiso and ended up losing by a score of 64-63 in their last contest. In relation to fouls, the Panthers walked away with 11 while Valparaiso racked up 15 fouls. They also converted 11 of 21 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Valparaiso finished shooting 87.5% from the free throw line by making 7 of 8 attempts. Additionally, Valparaiso had 26 rebounds (4 offensive, 22 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Valparaiso recorded 9 dimes and had 7 steals for the game. In terms of the defense, UNI let their opponent shoot 40.4% from the field on 23 out of 57 shooting. They also doled out 13 assists in this game as well as creating 5 turnovers and getting 4 steals. When it comes to hauling in boards, they earned 29 with 5 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Panthers converted 11 of their 21 attempts for a percentage of 52.4%. UNI ended the game having earned a 47.9% field goal percentage (23 out of 48) and knocked down 6 out of their 11 shots from downtown.

Tytan Anderson is one player who was a major contributor in this game. He finished the game at 53.8% from the floor and also earned 2 dimes. He played 29 mins and snagged 5 boards. He accounted for 22 points on 7 out of 13 shooting.

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UNI will play this contest with a win-loss record of 20-12 on the campaign. They average 73.6 pts per contest (190th in D-1) while going 48.9% from the floor. The Panthers are connecting on 37.0% on three-point shots (228 of 616) and 69.8% from the free throw line. As a team, UNI is pulling down 33.1 rebounds per game and is sitting with 444 dimes on the campaign, which is 173rd in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. They are turning it over 10.5 times per contest and as a team are committing 14.6 fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on the defensive end, the Panthers are forcing their opponents into 11.6 turnovers per game and they draw 16.9 personal fouls. They concede 35.7% from 3-point land and they are ranked 46th in college hoops in opponents PPG (67.2). The Panthers are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.7% (771 of 1,765) and they concede 31.2 rebounds per game as a group. They currently rank 24th in college in allowing assists to their opponents with 339 conceded so far this season.

When they last stepped on the court, the SMU Mustangs took a defeat with a final score of 57-54 when they faced Clemson. The Mustangs earned 23 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 30 in this matchup. They coughed up the ball 11 times, while earning 9 steals for the contest. Clemson earned 15 personal fouls in the game which got the Mustangs to the charity stripe for a total of 13 tries. They were able to make 9 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 69.2%. When discussing three-point attempts, SMU converted 1 out of 14 attempts (7.1%). When this game wrapped up, the Mustangs shot 22 for 55 from the floor which had them at 40.0%. The Mustangs permitted Clemson to knock down 18 of their 47 attempts from the field which had them at 38.3% in the matchup. They shot 19.0% from 3-point land by shooting 4 out of 21 and finished the contest at 17 out of 23 from the charity stripe (73.9%). In reference to how they rebounded, SMU allowed Clemson to grab 26 in total (7 on the offensive side).

Matt Cross ended up being a major contributor for the Mustangs in the matchup. He knocked down 5 out of 9 in the game for a field goal rate of 55.6%, and had 4 rebounds. He earned 13 points in his 29 minutes on the court and accounted for 2 dimes for the contest.

SMU has a win-loss mark of 23-10 this season. The Mustangs have committed 16.7 personal fouls every game and they go 72.1% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 15.6 times per contest (58th in college hoops) and they turn it over 12.0 times per game. SMU has accumulated 2,641 pts so far this year (80.0 per game) and they pull down 38.4 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Mustangs are connecting on 48.1% from the field, which ranks them 30th in the nation.

The SMU defense allows 32.9% on shots from beyond the arc (264 of 803) and their opponents are making 74.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They surrender 15.0 dimes and 32.9 boards every game, which has them ranked 317th and 84th in college. The Mustangs on defense are ranked 153rd in D-1 in PPG given up with 71.1. They have forced 12.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 41.1% from the floor (45th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take UNI (+10)

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