UMass Minutemen vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies Prediction, 3/5/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Date: Wednesday, March 5, 2025

Location: Reilly Center in South Bend, IN

TV: ESPN+

Reilly Center is the site where the St. Bonaventure Bonnies (19-10) will go up against the UMass Minutemen (12-17) on Wednesday.

The UMass Minutemen took the court against Rhode Island and notched a win by a score of 91-88 in their last contest. With respect to fouls, the Minutemen finished with 13 and Rhode Island totaled 17 fouls. They made 16 of their 34 shots from beyond the arc. Rhode Island shot 54.5% from the free throw line by converting 6 of their 11 tries. On top of that, Rhode Island snagged 26 rebounds (8 offensive, 18 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Rhode Island dished out 19 assists and had 3 steals for this contest. In the matter of the defense, UMass allowed the other team to go 53.2% from the floor on 33 of 62 shooting. They also distributed 19 dimes for this contest while creating 8 turnovers and earning 7 steals. With respect to rebounding, they earned a total of 29 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Minutemen made 13 of their 18 attempts for a rate of 72.2%. UMass ended the contest having earned a 54.1% field goal percentage (33 out of 61) and knocked down 12 of their 27 shots from beyond the arc.

Rahsool Diggins is someone who played a role in this game. He finished with 29 points on 9 of 16 shooting. He was on the court for 35 mins and totaled 2 boards. He finished the contest at 56.3% from the field and dished out 6 assists.

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UMass will enter this matchup with a win-loss record of 12-17 for the year. They cough up possession 11.8 times per game and as a team are committing 18.1 fouls every game. As a unit, UMass is grabbing 39.7 rebounds per game and has totaled 379 assists for the campaign, which has them ranked 254th in the nation in terms of passing. The Minutemen are hitting 28.5% on shots from distance (167 of 585) and 66.0% from the charity stripe. They average 73.8 points per game (196th in D-1) while going 41.7% from the field.

Defensively, the Minutemen are forcing their opponents into 12.8 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.3 fouls. They rank 280th in college in allowing assists to their opponents with 426 surrendered on the campaign. The Minutemen defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 42.6% (749 of 1,757) and they relinquish 37.5 boards per contest as a unit. They give up 33.0% on 3-point shots while they are 270th in the country in points per game allowed (75.0).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the St. Bonaventure Bonnies walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 75-64 when they faced Saint Joseph's. When it comes to rebounding, St. Bonaventure permitted Saint Joseph's to collect 36 in total (8 on the offensive glass). They finished the game shooting 30.0% from beyond the arc by shooting 9 of 30 and ended up shooting 8 out of 16 from the free throw line (50.0%). The Bonnies permitted Saint Joseph's to knock down 29 of their 61 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 47.5% for this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Bonnies ended up going 27 out of 65 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 41.5%. In the matter of shooting from beyond the arc, St. Bonaventure converted 2 out of their 12 tries (16.7%). They were able to make 8 of the free throws for a rate of 88.9%. Saint Joseph's earned 7 fouls in this matchup which got the Bonnies to the charity stripe for 9 tries. They also turned it over 4 times, while earning 6 steals in the matchup. The Bonnies corralled 22 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards totaling 28 for this contest.

Melvin Council Jr. ended up being a major contributor for the Bonnies in the game. He buried 8 out of 17 in the matchup for a rate of 47.1%, and had 8 rebounds. He recorded 18 points in his 40 minutes on the hardwood and had 4 assists for the contest.

St. Bonaventure has a win-loss mark of 19-10 on the year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Bonnies are hitting on 45.4% from the field, which ranks them 147th in D-1. St. Bonaventure has 2,018 points for the season (69.6 per contest) and they collect 33.6 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 11.1 times per game (343rd in the country) and they are giving up possession 10.5 times per contest. The Bonnies are committing 13.3 fouls per game and they connect on 73.0% from the charity stripe.

The Bonnies on the defensive end are ranked 20th in Division 1 in points allowed per contest with 64.7. They have forced 12.3 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 42.0% from the floor (86th in college hoops). The St. Bonaventure defense allows 32.9% on shots from beyond the arc (250 of 760) and their opposition makes 72.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 13.6 dimes and 31.9 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 227th and 46th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Bonaventure

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