Troy Trojans vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction, 3/21/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs Kentucky Wildcats

Date: Friday, March 21, 2025

Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Kentucky (-10)

Fiserv Forum is where the Kentucky Wildcats (22-11) will play the Troy Trojans (23-10) on Friday in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament. Troy is 10-point underdogs. The total is set at 152.

The Troy Trojans played Arkansas State and earned the victory with a final of 94-81 in their last contest. Troy walked away from the game having earned a 46.7% FG percentage (28 of 60) and converted 5 out of their 17 three-point attempts. At the charity stripe, the Trojans knocked down 33 of their 39 tries for a percentage of 84.6%. Pertaining to grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 33 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 10 assists in the game while forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and earning 7 steals. When talking about defense, Troy let their opponent shoot 41.3% from the floor on 26 of 63 shooting. Arkansas State earned 13 dimes and had 4 steals for the game. On top of that, Arkansas State snagged 30 rebounds (12 offensive, 18 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Arkansas State finished the contest at 79.2% when shooting free throws by burying 19 of their 24 attempts. They buried 10 of 26 attempts from long range. In regard to personal fouls, the Trojans ended up finishing with 21 while Arkansas State recorded 26 personal fouls.

Tayton Conerway is someone who was a major factor for the contest. He finished the game at 47.1% from the field and dished out 3 dimes. He played 32 minutes and collected 6 rebounds. He accounted for 21 points on 8 of 17 shooting.

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Troy comes into this game with a mark of 23-10 for the campaign. They have an average of 73.9 pts per game (177th in D-1) while hitting 43.8% from the floor. The Trojans are connecting on 29.9% on three-point attempts (253 of 846) and 72.0% from the free throw line. As a unit, Troy is grabbing 38.6 boards per game and has racked up 459 assists so far this year, which is 138th in the country in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 13.5 times per contest and as a group are committing 16.7 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the Trojans are forcing 13.7 turnovers per game while drawing 17.6 fouls. They are ranked 64th in the nation in giving up assists with 384 conceded this year. The Trojans defense is giving up a FG percentage of 40.3% (763 of 1,891) and they surrender 33.0 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are giving up 32.2% on 3-pointers and they are ranked 25th in college in points per game allowed (65.4).

When they last stepped on the court, the Kentucky Wildcats took a defeat with a final score of 99-70 against Alabama. The Wildcats earned 25 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards for a total of 30 for this contest. They turned it over 16 times, while earning 6 steals in the matchup. Alabama committed 24 fouls in this matchup which got the Wildcats to the charity stripe for a total of 35 tries. They were able to knock down 23 of those for a clip of 65.7%. In the matter of 3-pointers, Kentucky converted 5 of their 19 attempts (26.3%). When the final whistle blew, the Wildcats finished 21 for 56 from the field which gave them a percentage of 37.5%. The Wildcats allowed Alabama to make 36 out of 71 attempts from the field which had them shooting 50.7% for this game. They finished 37.9% from distance by connecting on 11 out of 29 and ended up going 16 out of 21 from the charity stripe (76.2%). In relation to rebounds, Kentucky allowed Alabama to snag 39 overall (7 on the offensive glass).

Andrew Carr ended up having an impact for the Wildcats in this game. He earned 18 points in his 19 mins on the hardwood and tallied 1 assist in this contest. He converted 8 of 10 for this game for a rate of 80.0%, and had 2 rebounds.

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Kentucky has a win-loss record of 22-11 this year. The Wildcats are responsible for committing 17.4 fouls per game and they shoot 73.8% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 16.8 times per game (20th in college) and they turn it over 11.1 times per game. Kentucky has earned 2,815 points so far this year (85.3 per game) and they snag 38.5 boards per contest. As an offensive unit, the Wildcats are shooting 48.2% from the floor, which ranks 27th in Division 1.

The Wildcats on the defensive end are ranked 324th in the nation in PPG surrendered with 77.9. They are able to force 10.2 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.7% from the floor (180th in college). The Kentucky defense gives up 30.8% on 3-point shots (280 of 908) and their opponents are converting on 72.0% of their free throw attempts. They concede 12.8 assists and 35.0 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 147th and 226th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Kentucky (-10)

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