Toledo Rockets vs Western Michigan Broncos Prediction, 1/4/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toledo Rockets vs Western Michigan Broncos

Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025

Location: University Arena (MI) in Kalamazoo, MI

TV: ESPN+

The Western Michigan Broncos (3-9) will try to beat the Toledo Rockets (6-6) at University Arena (MI) on Saturday.

The Toledo Rockets played Purdue and ended up losing by a score of 83-64 in their last game. Toledo ended the game with a 40.6% FG percentage (26 of 64) and converted 2 out of their 14 3-pointers. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Rockets made 10 of 16 attempts for a rate of 62.5%. In terms of grabbing rebounds, they earned 40 with 17 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 7 assists for this contest while forcing the other team into 6 turnovers and getting 5 steals. When talking about defense, Toledo let their opponent shoot 49.2% from the field on 31 out of 63 shooting. Purdue earned 22 assists and had 9 steals for the contest. Additionally, Purdue collected 31 rebounds (10 offensive, 21 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Purdue went 73.3% from the charity stripe by burying 11 of 15 tries. They also converted 10 of 28 shots from distance. In regard to fouls, the Rockets ended up walking away with 13 while Purdue accounted for 15 fouls.

Sam Lewis is someone who was a major contributor in this game. He accounted for 13 points on 4 out of 13 shooting. He was on the court for 33 minutes played and totaled 11 boards. He ended up going 30.8% from the floor but finished the game without a dime.

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Toledo enters this contest with a mark of 6-6 this season. They are turning it over 9.6 times per game and as a group they are committing 14.7 personal fouls per game. As a team, Toledo is grabbing 34.5 boards per contest and has 164 assists this season, which is 291st in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Rockets are shooting 33.0% on shots from downtown (72 of 218) and 69.0% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 77.1 points per contest (142nd in the country) while hitting 46.3% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Rockets are forcing 11.5 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 17.8 fouls. They are surrendering 34.5% on shots from distance and they are ranked 323rd in the nation in PPG allowed (77.8). The Rockets defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 47.1% (352 of 748) and they concede 36.5 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are ranked 142nd in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 166 surrendered so far this year.

For their last game, the Western Michigan Broncos took a loss by a final score of 80-62 against Michigan State. In regard to how they cleaned up the glass, Western Michigan allowed Michigan State to grab 37 overall (8 on the offensive side). They finished 30.0% from 3-point land by connecting on 6 out of 20 and walked away from this one shooting 20 of 22 at the free throw line (90.9%). The Broncos allowed Michigan State to convert 27 of 54 tries from the floor which had them shooting 50.0% in the matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Broncos ended up going 24 out of 58 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 41.4%. When it comes to shooting from beyond the arc, Western Michigan knocked down 7 out of 23 attempts (30.4%). They were able to bury 7 of those for a percentage of 41.2%. Michigan State was called for 14 personal fouls for this contest which took the Broncos to the free throw line for 17 shots. They also coughed up the ball 15 times, while earning 8 steals in the matchup. The Broncos were able to pull down 16 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 24 in this matchup.

Chansey Willis Jr. pitched in for the Broncos for the game. He buried 5 out of 9 for the matchup for a field goal rate of 55.6%, and had 7 rebounds. He earned 12 points in his 32 minutes on the hardwood and had 6 dimes in this game.

Western Michigan has a record of 3-9 on the campaign. The Broncos commit 17.5 fouls per game and they go 65.3% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists is at 12.5 times per contest (292nd in D-1) and they turn it over 10.6 times per contest. Western Michigan has scored 845 pts this year (70.4 per contest) and they pull in 38.3 boards per contest. As an offensive unit, the Broncos are shooting 43.0% from the field, which is 283rd in the country.

The Broncos on the defensive side of the court are 257th in college in PPG given up with 74.1. They are forcing their opponents into 10.6 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.9% from the floor (306th in college). The Western Michigan defense gives up 35.1% on three-point shots (105 of 299) and opponents are knocking down 71.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 15.3 dimes and 32.9 boards on a nightly basis, which ranks 317th and 116th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toledo

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