Texas Longhorns vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 3/4/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Longhorns vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Tuesday, March 4, 2025

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in San Antonio, TX

TV: ESPN+

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-9) are hosting the Texas Longhorns (16-13) at Humphrey Coliseum on Tuesday.

The Texas Longhorns played Georgia and went home with a loss by a final score of 83-67 in their last game. Texas ended the contest with a 44.2% FG percentage (23 of 52) and knocked down 8 of their 23 3-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Longhorns converted 13 of 20 shots for a percentage of 65.0%. When discussing grabbing boards, they compiled a total of 23 with 6 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 10 assists for this contest while forcing 10 turnovers and having 7 steals. Concerning defending, Texas let their opponent shoot 51.8% from the floor on 29 out of 56 shooting. Georgia distributed 11 dimes and had 9 steals in this game. On top of that, Georgia snagged 32 rebounds (8 offensive, 24 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Georgia shot 70.8% from the free throw line by knocking down 17 of their 24 tries. They buried 8 out of their 22 attempts from beyond the arc. Regarding personal fouls, the Longhorns ended up with 22 while Georgia accumulated 17 personal fouls.

Arthur Kaluma is someone who played a role for this game. He finished 50.0% from the field and also dished out 3 assists. He was on the court for 29 mins played and also pulled down 7 boards. He racked up 15 points on 6 out of 12 shooting.

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Texas heads into this contest with a win-loss mark of 16-13 on the campaign. They cough up possession 9.9 times per game and as a group they are committing 18.0 fouls every game. As a unit, Texas is pulling down 35.4 boards per game and has accumulated 388 assists on the year, which is 221st in college hoops in terms of passing the rock. The Longhorns are shooting 35.8% from downtown (220 of 614) and 75.0% from the free throw line. They have an average of 78.0 points per contest (78th in D-1) while connecting on 46.5% from the field.

Defensively, the Longhorns have forced 11.9 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.3 personal fouls. They currently rank 49th in the country in giving up assists to the opposition with 341 surrendered for the campaign. The Longhorns defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 42.7% (711 of 1,666) and they surrender 34.3 boards per game as a team. They are giving up 34.2% on three-point shots while they are 146th in D-1 in PPG allowed (70.8).

In their last game, the Mississippi State Bulldogs got the win with a final of 81-69 when they faced LSU. The Bulldogs collected 27 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 35 for this game. They also gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while recording 6 steals for the contest. LSU committed 16 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Bulldogs to the free throw line for 22 shots. They were able to convert 16 of the free throws for a clip of 72.7%. Concerning shots from beyond the arc, Mississippi State converted 7 of 21 tries (33.3%). In all, the Bulldogs ended up shooting 29 out of 51 from the floor which had them shooting 56.9%. The Bulldogs permitted LSU to bury 25 out of their 64 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 39.1% for the game. They finished 25.0% from distance by going 9 of 36 and finished the contest at 10 out of 14 at the charity stripe (71.4%). When discussing rebounding, Mississippi State allowed LSU to grab 29 overall (11 on the offensive side).

Josh Hubbard ended up having an impact for the Bulldogs in the game. He racked up 30 points in his 35 minutes on the hardwood and had 2 dimes for this contest. He buried 9 of 18 for the game for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and tallied 4 rebounds.

Mississippi State has a win-loss record of 20-9 for the campaign. When it comes to executing on offense, the Bulldogs are hitting on 45.4% from the floor, which has them ranked 145th in the country. Mississippi State has accounted for 2,294 points this year (79.1 per contest) and they pull in 38.4 boards per contest. They are earning an assist 15.2 times per contest (78th in the country) and they lose possession via turnover 10.9 times per game. The Bulldogs have committed 16.9 personal fouls per game while shooting 69.5% from the charity stripe.

The Bulldogs on defense are ranked 214th in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 73.1. They are forcing 13.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 43.3% from the floor (154th in college hoops). The Mississippi State defense concedes 36.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter (271 of 748) and their opposition knocks down 69.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 13.5 assists and 35.0 total boards per game, which ranks them 213th and 225th in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Texas

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