Tarleton State Texans vs California Baptist Lancers Prediction, 3/13/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tarleton State Texans vs California Baptist Lancers

Date: Thursday, March 13, 2025

Location: Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN+

Orleans Arena is where the California Baptist Lancers (16-14) will take on the Tarleton State Texans (12-19) on Thursday.

The Tarleton State Texans played Utah Valley and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 71-66 in their last contest. Tarleton State finished the game having earned a 41.5% FG percentage (22 out of 53) and buried 5 of their 14 shots from beyond the arc. When they shot from the free throw line, the Texans converted 17 of 23 tries for a rate of 73.9%. With respect to rebounding, they earned 24 with 5 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 12 assists in the game as well as creating 15 turnovers and having 5 steals. With respect to defense, Tarleton State allowed their opponent to shoot 44.7% from the floor on 21 of 47 shooting. Utah Valley earned 10 assists and had 3 steals for this contest. Additionally, Utah Valley grabbed 30 boards (8 offensive, 22 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Utah Valley finished the game at 67.5% at the free throw line by making 27 of 40 tries. They knocked down 2 of their 14 attempts from distance. In reference to fouls, the Texans ended up walking away with 27 while Utah Valley accounted for 22 fouls.

Freddy Hicks is someone who was important in the game. He ended up scoring 20 points on 6 of 15 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 40 minutes and also snagged 8 rebounds. He went 40.0% from the field and recorded 3 dimes.

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Tarleton State enters this one with a mark of 12-19 so far this year. They cough up possession 17.8 times per contest and as a squad they commit 19.4 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Tarleton State is snagging 30.5 boards per contest and has totaled 332 assists for the season, which is 353rd in college hoops in terms of passing. The Texans are connecting on 32.9% on shots from beyond the arc (131 of 398) and 73.2% from the free throw line. They average 63.7 points per outing (357th in the nation) while hitting 43.2% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Texans are forcing their opponents into 16.8 turnovers per game and they draw 19.6 fouls. They are 197th in the country in giving up assists to their opponents with 422 relinquished so far this year. The Texans are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 44.8% (703 of 1,569) and they concede 31.5 boards per contest as a unit. They are conceding 34.2% on three-point shots and they are 121st in D-1 in points per game allowed (70.1).

For their last game, the California Baptist Lancers took home the win by a final score of 70-68 against UT Arlington. In relation to how they rebounded, California Baptist allowed UT Arlington to collect 36 in total (17 on the offensive glass). They went 24.1% from beyond the arc by going 7 of 29 and ended up shooting 7 of 13 at the free throw line (53.8%). The Lancers allowed UT Arlington to make 27 out of 69 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 39.1% in this matchup. Overall, the Lancers went 25 for 60 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 41.7%. With regard to shots from beyond the arc, California Baptist made 7 of their 17 attempts (41.2%). They were able to knock down 13 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 76.5%. UT Arlington was called for 14 personal fouls in the game which got the Lancers to the free throw line for 17 attempts. They gave up possession 10 times, while recording 7 steals for the contest. The Lancers were able to pull down 22 defensive rebounds and 14 offensive rebounds for a total of 36 for the game.

Dominique Daniels Jr. was important for the Lancers in this contest. He earned 24 points in his 36 minutes of playing time and had 3 dimes for the contest. He knocked down 8 of 25 in this game for a rate of 32.0%, and added 1 rebound.

California Baptist has a record of 16-14 this season. The Lancers are committing 17.2 personal fouls every game and they connect on 75.7% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 11.7 times per contest (311th in college) and they are losing possession via turnover 12.0 times per contest. California Baptist has accounted for 2,159 points so far this year (72.0 per game) and they average 36.1 rebounds per contest. When it comes to executing on offense, the Lancers are connecting on 43.1% from the floor, which ranks 276th in college.

The Lancers defensively are ranked 136th in college hoops in PPG allowed with 70.5. They are able to force 12.4 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.9% from the field (252nd in the nation). The California Baptist defense gives up 33.8% from downtown (184 of 545) and opponents are knocking down 67.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 10.3 dimes and 34.4 boards per contest, which is ranked 18th and 193rd in those categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tarleton State

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