St. Mary's Gaels vs San Diego Toreros Prediction, 1/11/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Mary's Gaels vs San Diego Toreros

Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025

Location: Jenny Craig Pavilion in San Diego, CA

TV: ESPN+

The San Diego Toreros (4-13) welcome the St. Mary's Gaels (14-3) at Jenny Craig Pavilion on Saturday.

The St. Mary's Gaels took the court against Loyola Marymount and walked away with a win by a score of 81-56 in their last game. When it comes to fouls, the Gaels ended up with 16 and Loyola Marymount recorded 22 fouls. They also buried 5 of their 11 attempts from 3-point range. Loyola Marymount ended up shooting 69.2% at the free throw line by knocking down 9 of 13 tries. Additionally, Loyola Marymount snagged 25 boards (7 offensive, 18 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Loyola Marymount doled out 11 assists and had 5 steals for this contest. In regard to the defense, St. Mary's allowed the other team to shoot 39.6% from the floor on 21 of 53 shooting. They also recorded 11 dimes in this game in addition to forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In regard to grabbing boards, they collected 40 with 15 of them being of the offensive sort. At the free throw line, the Gaels knocked down 25 of their 28 attempts for a rate of 89.3%. St. Mary's ended the game having earned a 42.1% FG percentage (24 out of 57) and made 8 out of their 18 shots from downtown.

Augustas Marciulionis is a player who had an impact for the matchup. He ended up with 23 points on 7 of 10 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 30 mins played and snagged 1 rebound. He shot 70.0% from the field and also recorded 2 assists.

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St. Mary's comes into this matchup with a record of 14-3 for the year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 10.4 times per contest and as a group are committing 15.9 personal fouls every game. As a unit, St. Mary's is pulling in 41.8 boards per contest and has earned 282 dimes for the year, which has them ranked 10th in the country in terms of passing the rock. The Gaels are connecting on 32.5% on shots from beyond the arc (114 of 351) and 68.9% from the free throw line. They are averaging 75.4 points per game (182nd in D-1) while going 44.5% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Gaels have forced 12.2 turnovers per game and they draw 17.9 fouls. They are 264th in college in allowing assists with 219 surrendered on the year. The Gaels defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 40.1% (386 of 962) and they concede 31.1 boards per contest as a unit. They are relinquishing 32.2% from 3-point land and they are 15th in college in points per game from their opponents (62.1).

The last time they took the court, the San Diego Toreros took a defeat with a final score of 93-80 when they faced Gonzaga. The Toreros pulled down 21 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 29 in the matchup. They also turned it over 9 times, while getting 7 steals for this game. Gonzaga was called for 15 fouls in this matchup which took the Toreros to the charity stripe for a total of 16 shots. They were able to make 13 of the free throws for a percentage of 81.3%. Regarding three-point attempts, San Diego buried 11 out of 33 tries (33.3%). When the final whistle was blown, the Toreros ended up shooting 28 for 67 from the field which gave them a percentage of 41.8%. The Toreros permitted Gonzaga to convert 28 out of 62 tries from the floor which had them shooting 45.2% in this game. They finished 32.3% from beyond the arc via 10 out of 31 and finished the contest at 27 out of 33 from the free throw line (81.8%). When discussing how they rebounded, San Diego permitted Gonzaga to collect 43 in total (11 on the offensive side).

Kjay Bradley Jr. ended up being a factor for the Toreros for the game. He recorded 21 points in his 36 mins on the hardwood and accounted for 4 assists for this game. He knocked down 8 out of 18 in the game for a rate of 44.4%, and had 1 rebound.

San Diego has a record of 4-13 for the season. On the offensive side of the court, the Toreros are connecting on 40.8% from the floor, which ranks 339th in the country. San Diego has tallied 1,147 pts this year (67.5 per game) and they pull in 34.9 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 11.4 times per contest (337th in the nation) and they turn the ball over 14.2 times per game. The Toreros commit 20.4 fouls per contest and they hit 71.8% from the charity stripe.

The Toreros are ranked 266th in college in PPG given up with 74.5. They are able to force 13.8 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 43.7% from the floor (212th in college hoops). The San Diego defense gives up 34.0% on shots from behind the 3-point line (125 of 368) and opponents are converting on 72.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They have allowed 13.0 assists and 38.1 rebounds per game, which is ranked 184th and 325th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Mary's

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