Santa Clara Broncos vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 2/11/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Santa Clara Broncos vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Tuesday, February 11, 2025

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: ESPN+

The Santa Clara Broncos (17-9) are on their way to University Credit Union Pavilion on Tuesday where they will try to beat the St. Mary's Gaels (21-4).

The Santa Clara Broncos faced San Diego and went home with a win by a final score of 93-70 in their last game. When it comes to personal fouls, the Broncos finished with 22 and San Diego had 22 personal fouls. They knocked down 7 of 24 attempts from downtown. San Diego finished the contest at 76.7% at the free throw line by converting 23 of their 30 attempts. On top of that, San Diego grabbed 31 rebounds (13 offensive, 18 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. San Diego earned 12 dimes and had 6 steals for the matchup. Regarding the defense, Santa Clara allowed their opponent to shoot 32.8% from the floor on 20 out of 61 shooting. They also recorded 21 assists in this game in addition to forcing 12 turnovers and earning 7 steals. When talking about pulling down boards, they collected 35 with 7 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Broncos knocked down 18 of 27 shots for a rate of 66.7%. Santa Clara ended with a 58.2% FG percentage (32 of 55) and converted 11 of their 21 3-pointers.

Elijah Mahi is a guy who was a factor for the game. He went 81.8% from the field and dished out 7 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 28 mins played and also grabbed 6 rebounds. He accumulated 28 points on 9 of 11 shooting.

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Santa Clara comes into this matchup with a win-loss record of 17-9 for the campaign. They turn it over 12.0 times per game and as a team are committing 16.7 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Santa Clara is pulling down 38.1 boards per game and has tallied 437 assists on the season, which has them ranked 4th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. The Broncos are shooting 36.5% on 3-pointers (268 of 734) and 73.0% from the charity stripe. They average 80.9 pts per contest (37th in college) while going 47.0% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Broncos are forcing 11.9 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.0 fouls. They surrender 30.8% from beyond the arc and they are 207th in Division 1 in points per game allowed (72.3). The Broncos defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 42.4% (666 of 1,570) and they surrender 33.6 boards per game as a group. They rank 343rd in D-1 in allowing assists with 382 surrendered this year.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the St. Mary's Gaels took home the win by a final score of 63-49 when they faced Oregon State. Regarding team rebounding, St. Mary's permitted Oregon State to get 20 in total (5 offensive). They finished 28.6% from three-point range by connecting on 4 out of 14 and ended up going 7 of 8 at the free throw line (87.5%). The Gaels allowed Oregon State to convert 19 of their 52 tries from the field which left them shooting 36.5% for the matchup. Overall, the Gaels ended up shooting 26 for 49 from the field which gave them a percentage of 53.1%. In regard to 3-point attempts, St. Mary's converted 6 out of their 16 attempts (37.5%). They were able to bury 5 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 55.6%. Oregon State was called for 10 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Gaels to the charity stripe for 9 tries. They also turned the ball over 7 times, while earning 5 steals for this contest. The Gaels pulled down 26 defensive boards and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 30 for the contest.

Augustas Marciulionis ended up having an impact for the Gaels for this game. He knocked down 7 of 9 for the contest giving him a rate of 77.8%, and had 6 rebounds. He racked up 18 points in his 35 minutes of playing time and had 10 dimes in this contest.

St. Mary's has a record of 21-4 for the season. The Gaels are responsible for committing 15.1 fouls every game and they go 68.4% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 16.3 times per game (42nd in the country) and they cough up possession 9.8 times per contest. St. Mary's has totaled 1,866 pts for the year (74.6 per contest) and they pull in 39.9 boards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Gaels are connecting on 45.8% from the field, which is 131st in Division 1.

The St. Mary's defense gives up 31.3% on 3-pointers (139 of 444) and their opponents are converting on 74.7% of their free throw attempts. They relinquish 12.1 dimes and 29.9 boards per game, which is ranked 98th and 10th in D-1. The Gaels on the defensive side of the court are 5th in Division 1 in PPG surrendered with 60.5. They are able to force 11.6 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 40.1% from the field (28th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Santa Clara

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