San Diego State Aztecs vs UNLV Rebels Prediction, 3/4/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs UNLV Rebels
Date: Tuesday, March 4, 2025
Location: Thomas & Mack Center in Norman, OK
TV: ESPN+
The UNLV Rebels (16-13) will compete against the San Diego State Aztecs (20-7) at Thomas & Mack Center on Tuesday.

The San Diego State Aztecs stepped onto the hardwood against Wyoming and notched a win by a score of 72-69 in their last contest. In the matter of personal fouls, the Aztecs ended up walking away with 17 and Wyoming accounted for 24 personal fouls. They converted 8 of their 27 attempts from distance. Wyoming walked away from this one shooting 68.8% at the free throw line by knocking down 11 of their 16 attempts. Additionally, Wyoming grabbed 37 boards (14 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Wyoming distributed 8 dimes and had 2 steals for the game. With regard to the defense, San Diego State allowed their opponent to shoot 44.6% from the field on 25 of 56 shooting. They also dished out 13 assists for the contest while creating 16 turnovers and having 11 steals. When it comes to pulling down rebounds, they compiled a total of 18 with 4 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Aztecs buried 17 of 30 shots for a percentage of 56.7%. San Diego State ended with a 50.0% FG percentage (24 out of 48) and buried 7 of their 19 three-point shots.
BJ Davis is someone who came through in this contest. He went 62.5% from the floor and distributed 1 assist. He played 29 mins played and totaled 4 boards. He accumulated 18 points on 5 out of 8 shooting.
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San Diego State heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 20-7 on the year. They have an average of 71.4 points per contest (256th in the nation) while connecting on 44.4% from the field. The Aztecs are shooting 33.7% on shots from distance (207 of 614) and 67.5% from the free throw line. As a team, San Diego State is pulling down 36.0 rebounds per game and has totaled 349 dimes on the year, which has them ranked 317th in Division 1 in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 11.1 times per contest and as a team they commit 18.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis.
On the defensive end of the court, the Aztecs have forced 13.6 turnovers per contest and they draw 17.7 personal fouls. They give up 30.0% from 3-point land and they rank 13th in college in PPG allowed (63.4). Aztecs defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 37.4% (561 of 1,500) and they relinquish 35.3 rebounds per game as a squad. They are 8th in college hoops in giving up assists to their opponents with 287 surrendered on the season.
When they last played, the UNLV Rebels went home victorious with a score of 68-55 against Nevada. Concerning attacking the glass, UNLV permitted Nevada to collect 25 overall (6 on the offensive side). They finished 14.3% from distance by shooting 3 of 21 and ended up shooting 12 out of 14 at the free throw line (85.7%). The Rebels allowed Nevada to convert 20 of 59 attempts from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 33.9% for the game. When the game finished, the Rebels went 22 for 56 from the field which had them shooting 39.3%. In terms of 3-point shots, UNLV converted 4 out of their 20 tries (20.0%). They were able to knock down 20 of those for a rate of 95.2%. Nevada was called for 19 personal fouls in this game which took the Rebels to the charity stripe for 21 attempts. They also coughed up the ball 7 times, while recording 1 steal in the game. The Rebels were able to snag 34 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 45 in the game.
Jaden Henley ended up being a factor for the Rebels in the game. He earned 23 points in his 38 mins on the court and had 3 assists for the contest. He knocked down 8 out of 14 for this game for a field goal percentage of 57.1%, and had 8 rebounds.
UNLV has a mark of 16-13 so far this season. When it comes to offense, the Rebels are connecting on 44.4% from the field, which is ranked 208th in the country. UNLV has accounted for 2,018 points for the season (69.6 per contest) and they pull down 33.7 boards per game. They are getting an assist 12.0 times per contest (295th in college) and they are losing possession via turnover 10.5 times per contest. The Rebels are responsible for committing 15.9 fouls every game while shooting 72.3% from the free throw line.
The UNLV defense allows 32.4% on 3-pointers (227 of 701) and their opponents are knocking down 71.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 14.5 assists and 35.2 boards per contest, which ranks them 287th and 237th in the country. The Rebels on the defensive end are ranked 67th in college hoops in PPG given up with 68.0. They are forcing 12.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 42.2% from the floor (96th in college).
Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take UNLV
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Additional Resources:
UNLV Rebels - Twitter
San Diego State Aztecs - Twitter