San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos Prediction, 1/11/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs New Mexico Lobos

Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025

Location: The Pit in Albuquerque, NM

TV: ESPN+

The New Mexico Lobos (13-3) will try to defeat the San Diego State Aztecs (10-3) at The Pit on Saturday.

The San Diego State Aztecs took the court against Air Force and took home the win by a score of 67-38 in their last contest. With respect to fouls, the Aztecs walked away with 18 and Air Force totaled 14 fouls. They converted 5 of 20 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Air Force shot 50.0% at the free throw line by converting 11 of 22 shots. In addition, Air Force grabbed 23 boards (1 offensive, 22 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Air Force earned 6 dimes and had 8 steals in the game. In relation to the defense, San Diego State let their opponent shoot 30.6% from the floor on 11 out of 36 shooting. They also dished out 8 assists for this contest while forcing the other team into 16 turnovers and earning 12 steals. With respect to hauling in rebounds, they earned 45 with 22 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the Aztecs converted 11 of 19 shots for a percentage of 57.9%. San Diego State walked away from the contest having earned a 36.2% field goal percentage (25 out of 69) and knocked down 6 out of their 26 shots from beyond the arc.

Nick Boyd is one player who was a major factor in the matchup. He finished 60.0% from the floor and recorded 1 assist. He was on the court for 24 mins and also pulled down 4 boards. He ended up scoring 16 points on 6 of 10 shooting.

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San Diego State enters this matchup with a record of 10-3 on the campaign. They turn the ball over 10.8 times per contest and as a unit are committing 17.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, San Diego State is pulling down 38.6 rebounds per contest and has tallied 168 dimes for the campaign, which is 339th in college in terms of passing the ball. The Aztecs are connecting on 35.6% from downtown (106 of 298) and 69.5% from the free throw line. They are averaging 73.9 points per contest (226th in the country) on 44.0% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Aztecs are forcing their opponents into 13.8 turnovers per game and they draw 16.8 fouls. They are conceding 28.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 14th in D-1 in points per game allowed (61.9). Aztecs defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 35.5% (261 of 736) and they relinquish 35.0 boards per contest as a team. They currently rank 13th in D-1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 142 surrendered for the year.

When they last stepped on the court, the New Mexico Lobos walked away with a victory by a final of 61-53 when they faced Wyoming. In regard to attacking the glass, New Mexico permitted Wyoming to snag 35 in total (5 offensive). They finished 26.3% from downtown by going 5 of 19 and ended up shooting 10 out of 17 from the charity stripe (58.8%). The Lobos allowed Wyoming to convert 19 of 59 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 32.2% in this matchup. Overall, the Lobos shot 19 out of 57 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 33.3%. In the matter of shots from distance, New Mexico made 5 of their 21 tries (23.8%). They were able to convert 18 of them for a rate of 81.8%. Wyoming committed 19 fouls in this game which took the Lobos to the charity stripe for a total of 22 shots. They turned it over 10 times, while earning 7 steals in the matchup. The Lobos corralled 28 defensive boards and 7 offensive boards totaling 35 in the matchup.

Donovan Dent ended up being a major contributor for the Lobos for the contest. He buried 6 out of 13 in this game for a field goal percentage of 46.2%, and had 3 rebounds. He recorded 22 points in his 38 mins of playing time and accounted for 6 dimes for the contest.

New Mexico has a record of 13-3 for the year. The Lobos commit 18.8 fouls per contest and they hit 69.6% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 16.8 times per contest (48th in D-1) and they are turning it over 12.2 times per game. New Mexico has scored 1,366 points on the year (85.4 per contest) and they average 39.6 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Lobos are hitting on 46.4% from the field, which has them ranked 109th in the country.

The Lobos on the defensive end are ranked 273rd in the country in PPG given up with 74.8. They are able to force 16.3 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.8% from the field (223rd in college). The New Mexico defense surrenders 37.1% on shots from beyond the arc (131 of 353) and opponents are converting on 65.2% of their foul shots. They have conceded 15.1 dimes and 36.6 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 309th and 286th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New Mexico

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