San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, 1/4/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego State Aztecs vs Boise State Broncos

Date: Saturday, January 4, 2025

Location: ExtraMile Arena in Boise, ID

TV: ESPN+

The Boise State Broncos (11-3) will try to defeat the San Diego State Aztecs (8-3) at ExtraMile Arena on Saturday.

The San Diego State Aztecs stepped onto the hardwood against Utah State and took a loss by a score of 67-66 in their last game. In relation to personal fouls, the Aztecs walked away with 17 and Utah State totaled 24 personal fouls. They buried 8 of 28 attempts from 3-point range. Utah State finished 71.4% at the free throw line by burying 15 of 21 attempts. Additionally, Utah State pulled down 26 rebounds (4 offensive, 22 defensive), but didn't have a block. Utah State recorded 16 dimes and had 12 steals in this game. In the matter of defense, San Diego State allowed the other team to go 44.0% from the field on 22 out of 50 shooting. They also recorded 11 assists in the matchup while creating 15 turnovers and earning 11 steals. Concerning hauling in rebounds, they earned a total of 30 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. At the charity stripe, the Aztecs converted 20 of their 22 shots for a percentage of 90.9%. San Diego State finished the game with a 38.5% field goal percentage (20 out of 52) and converted 6 of their 24 shots from beyond the arc.

Miles Byrd is a player who was a contributor in the game. He ended up going 42.9% from the field and distributed 3 assists. He was on the hardwood for 23 minutes played and also collected 2 rebounds. He ended up with 14 points on 3 out of 7 shooting.

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San Diego State will enter this contest with a mark of 8-3 for the campaign. They are averaging 74.4 pts per game (218th in the country) while hitting 44.8% from the field. The Aztecs are hitting 36.5% on shots beyond the perimeter (93 of 255) and 71.8% from the charity stripe. As a unit, San Diego State is collecting 37.6 rebounds per game and has accounted for 148 dimes for the year, which ranks 336th in college hoops in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 10.7 times per contest and as a unit are committing 16.9 fouls per game.

On defense, the Aztecs have forced 13.3 turnovers every game and they draw 16.5 personal fouls. They are ranked 15th in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 123 relinquished for the season. Aztecs defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 35.5% (230 of 647) and they relinquish 36.5 rebounds per game as a team. They give up 29.0% on 3-point attempts and they are 25th in D-1 in PPG from their opponents (63.5).

The last time they took the court, the Boise State Broncos got the victory with a final of 67-58 when they faced Wyoming. In the matter of how they rebounded, Boise State permitted Wyoming to grab 26 in all (8 on the offensive glass). They finished 36.0% from beyond the arc by hitting 9 of 25 and finished the contest at 9 out of 15 at the charity stripe (60.0%). The Broncos allowed Wyoming to knock down 20 out of 57 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 35.1% for this game. In all, the Broncos ended up shooting 21 out of 46 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.7%. In terms of three-point shots, Boise State knocked down 8 out of 20 attempts (40.0%). They were able to bury 17 of the free throws for a rate of 77.3%. Wyoming committed 20 personal fouls in the game which took the Broncos to the free throw line for 22 shots. They turned it over 13 times, while recording 3 steals in this contest. The Broncos earned 30 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards totaling 37 in this matchup.

Alvaro Cardenas ended up being a major contributor for the Broncos in this matchup. He earned 19 points in his 35 minutes on the court and earned 6 assists for this contest. He made 5 of 12 in this contest for a field goal rate of 41.7%, and added 3 rebounds.

Boise State has a win-loss record of 11-3 this year. As an offense, the Broncos are connecting on 47.5% from the floor, which ranks 80th in college. Boise State has totaled 1,093 points for the campaign (78.1 per contest) and they grab 39.0 rebounds per contest. They are dishing out assists 15.4 times per game (112th in D-1) and they are turning it over 11.2 times per game. The Broncos are committing 14.6 personal fouls every game and they go 77.5% from the free throw line.

The Broncos are ranked 55th in college hoops in PPG allowed with 65.6. They have forced 10.9 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 41.6% from the floor (112th in college). The Boise State defense concedes 31.5% on shots from distance (98 of 311) and opponents are connecting on 68.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They have allowed 9.3 dimes and 29.0 boards per game, which is ranked 9th and 7th in those categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boise State

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