Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, 2/18/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan State Spartans

Date: Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Location: Breslin Center in Fort Worth, TX

TV: Peacock

The Michigan State Spartans (19-5) will play the Purdue Boilermakers (19-6) at Breslin Center on Tuesday.

The Purdue Boilermakers took the court against Michigan and ended up losing by a score of 75-73 in their last game. Regarding fouls, the Boilermakers ended up walking away with 23 and Michigan finished the game with 13 fouls. They made 7 out of their 23 tries from distance. Michigan walked away from this one shooting 69.2% from the charity stripe by converting 18 of 26 attempts. On top of that, Michigan snagged 33 rebounds (12 offensive, 21 defensive), but didn't have a block. Michigan totaled 7 dimes and had 5 steals in this contest. When talking about defense, Purdue allowed 44.6% from the floor on 25 out of 56 shooting. They also doled out 7 assists for this game in addition to forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and having 7 steals. In reference to hauling in rebounds, they earned 30 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Boilermakers converted 6 of 8 attempts for a rate of 75.0%. Purdue ended the contest having earned a 43.5% FG percentage (30 out of 69) and knocked down 7 of their 20 shots from distance.

Braden Smith is a player who had an impact in this matchup. He ended up walking away with 24 points on 10 of 21 shooting. He saw the court for 40 mins played and collected 6 rebounds. He finished 47.6% from the floor and totaled 5 dimes.

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Purdue enters this contest with a mark of 19-6 this season. They average 78.5 points per outing (78th in Division 1) while going 49.3% from the floor. The Boilermakers are connecting on 37.4% on shots from distance (197 of 527) and 72.4% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Purdue is pulling down 33.4 boards per game and has 410 dimes on the year, which is 28th in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession by turning the ball over 10.8 times per contest and as a group they commit 15.5 fouls per game.

On the defensive end, the Boilermakers are forcing 13.0 turnovers every game and they draw 18.5 fouls. They concede 30.4% on 3-point shots and they are 88th in college in points per game from their opponents (68.9). The Boilermakers defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 43.9% (621 of 1,416) and they concede 31.6 boards per contest as a unit. They are ranked 253rd in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 347 surrendered for the campaign.

The last time they took the hardwood, the Michigan State Spartans took a defeat with a final score of 71-67 against Indiana. In the matter of rebounding, Michigan State allowed Indiana to pull down 30 in all (7 offensive). They finished the game shooting 23.1% from distance via 3 of 13 and ended up shooting 20 of 28 at the free throw line (71.4%). The Spartans permitted Indiana to knock down 24 of 50 attempts from the field which left them shooting 48.0% for the game. At the conclusion of this game, the Spartans finished 21 out of 55 from the floor which had them sitting at 38.2%. When talking about shooting from downtown, Michigan State made 4 of their 23 attempts (17.4%). They were able to make 21 of the free throws for a rate of 84.0%. Indiana was called for 18 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Spartans to the charity stripe for 25 shots. They also turned it over 11 times, while getting 2 steals for the matchup. The Spartans were able to pull down 22 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 34 for the contest.

Jaden Akins ended up having an impact for the Spartans in the game. He tallied 14 points in his 35 mins of playing time and had 1 assist for the contest. He converted 6 of 15 for the matchup giving him a rate of 40.0%, and tallied 3 rebounds.

Michigan State has a mark of 19-5 for the year. The Spartans commit 16.9 personal fouls every game and they go 81.0% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 17.8 times per contest (9th in the country) and they cough up possession 12.2 times per contest. Michigan State has accumulated 1,903 points for the year (79.3 per game) and they pull in 40.5 boards per game. As an offensive team, the Spartans are connecting on 46.6% from the floor, which is 89th in Division 1.

The Michigan State defense surrenders 29.3% on 3-point attempts (166 of 566) and their opponents are making 70.6% of their free throw shots. They surrender 12.8 assists and 30.5 boards per game, which has them ranked 157th and 16th in Division 1. The Spartans on defense are ranked 62nd in college in points given up per game with 67.6. They have forced 11.3 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 39.9% from the floor (24th in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Michigan State

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