Oregon State Beavers vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 3/1/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Oregon State Beavers vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Buffalo, NY

TV: ESPN+

University Credit Union Pavilion is the site where the St. Mary's Gaels (25-4) will play the Oregon State Beavers (20-10) on Saturday.

The Oregon State Beavers faced San Francisco and went home with a loss by a final score of 74-72 in their last contest. In relation to personal fouls, the Beavers ended up with 18 while San Francisco finished the game with 22 personal fouls. They knocked down 9 of their 24 tries from long range. San Francisco finished the game shooting 76.5% at the charity stripe by knocking down 13 of their 17 tries. Additionally, San Francisco collected 26 rebounds (6 offensive, 20 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. San Francisco recorded 16 dimes and had 4 steals in this contest. In the matter of the defense, Oregon State allowed the other team to shoot 45.6% from the field on 26 of 57 shooting. They also dished out 16 assists in the matchup as well as forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and earning 4 steals. Concerning pulling down rebounds, they compiled 29 with 6 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the Beavers made 14 of 24 shots for a rate of 58.3%. Oregon State walked away from the contest with a 52.0% FG percentage (26 of 50) and knocked down 6 out of their 19 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Parsa Fallah is one player who was a major contributor for the contest. He ended up walking away with 24 points on 11 of 13 shooting. He saw the court for 26 minutes and grabbed 5 rebounds. He ended up shooting 84.6% from the field but had no assists when the time ran out.

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Oregon State will enter this game with a record of 20-10 on the year. They are averaging 76.8 points per contest (102nd in college) while shooting 48.5% from the floor. The Beavers are shooting 37.2% on three-point attempts (218 of 586) and 78.8% from the free throw line. As a unit, Oregon State is snagging 33.8 boards per contest and has earned 443 assists for the year, which is 63rd in the nation in terms of passing the rock. They are turning it over 11.2 times per game and as a unit they commit 15.6 fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the Beavers are forcing 11.4 turnovers every game while drawing 18.2 personal fouls. They are conceding 34.1% on 3-point shots while they are 72nd in college in PPG allowed (68.3). The Beavers defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 43.4% (725 of 1,670) and they surrender 29.0 boards per game as a team. They are 299th in college hoops in giving up assists to their opponents with 414 relinquished this season.

In their last game, the St. Mary's Gaels got the victory with a final of 74-67 against Gonzaga. Concerning rebounds, St. Mary's permitted Gonzaga to snag 25 in total (7 offensive). They finished 28.6% from behind the 3-point line by going 4 of 14 and finished the contest at 9 out of 12 at the free throw line (75.0%). The Gaels allowed Gonzaga to bury 27 out of their 56 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 48.2% for the matchup. When the final whistle blew, the Gaels went 27 for 60 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.0%. When discussing shooting from beyond the arc, St. Mary's made 8 out of 19 tries (42.1%). They were able to make 12 of them for a rate of 80.0%. Gonzaga committed 15 personal fouls for this game which got the Gaels to the charity stripe for a total of 15 tries. They turned it over 8 times, while recording 3 steals in the game. The Gaels were able to pull down 21 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards totaling 31 in this matchup.

Mikey Lewis ended up having an impact for the Gaels for the game. He scored 18 points in his 18 minutes on the court, but wasn't able to tally an assist. He knocked down 5 out of 9 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 55.6%, and earned 2 rebounds.

St. Mary's has a win-loss mark of 25-4 on the season. The Gaels commit 15.0 personal fouls every game while shooting 69.4% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 16.0 times per game (47th in the nation) and they are losing possession via turnover 9.7 times per game. St. Mary's has totaled 2,169 points for the year (74.8 per game) and they collect 39.4 boards per game. As an offensive team, the Gaels are shooting 46.0% from the field, which is 115th in college.

The Gaels are ranked 5th in college hoops in points allowed per contest with 60.9. They are forcing their opponents into 11.6 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.7% from the field (35th in college). The St. Mary's defense gives up 31.7% on 3-point shots (163 of 514) and opponents are connecting on 74.2% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 12.6 assists and 29.7 rebounds on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 135th and 9th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Mary's

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