Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction, 1/18/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

Date: Saturday, January 18, 2025

Location: Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, MS

TV: ESPN+

The Ole Miss Rebels (15-2) are on their way to Humphrey Coliseum on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-3).

The Ole Miss Rebels took the court against Alabama and notched a win by a score of 74-64 in their last game. When it comes to fouls, the Rebels left the arena with 21 while Alabama accounted for 16 fouls. They also knocked down 5 of their 20 attempts from beyond the arc. Alabama finished 73.1% from the charity stripe by knocking down 19 of 26 tries. On top of that, Alabama had 37 rebounds (4 offensive, 33 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Alabama earned 11 dimes and had 3 steals in this matchup. With respect to defense, Ole Miss allowed their opponent to shoot 42.6% from the floor on 20 out of 47 shooting. They also doled out 12 assists for the game as well as forcing the other team into 21 turnovers and having 14 steals. In relation to hauling in boards, they earned a total of 36 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Rebels converted 14 of their 16 attempts for a percentage of 87.5%. Ole Miss finished the game with a 38.6% FG percentage (27 out of 70) and converted 6 of 21 three-point shots.

Malik Dia is someone who played a role in the matchup. He finished shooting 52.4% from the field but had no assists when the time ran out. He played 31 minutes played and totaled 19 boards. He walked away with 23 points on 11 of 21 shooting.

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Ole Miss will enter this game with a win-loss record of 15-2 so far this season. They average 78.7 pts per game (93rd in the country) while going 45.0% from the field. The Rebels are connecting on 35.4% on three-point attempts (150 of 424) and 73.6% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Ole Miss is pulling down 35.2 boards per contest and is sitting with 269 dimes this year, which ranks 84th in the country in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 9.1 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 17.4 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on defense, the Rebels have forced 16.0 turnovers every game while drawing 17.5 fouls. They rank 141st in college in allowing assists with 212 conceded so far this year. The Rebels defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 40.2% (370 of 921) and they concede 35.8 boards per contest as a unit. They surrender 29.1% on 3-point attempts while they are 31st in college in points per game allowed (64.6).

The last time they took the court, the Mississippi State Bulldogs walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 88-66 when they played Auburn. Regarding rebounds, Mississippi State allowed Auburn to pull down 29 in total (7 on the offensive side). They shot 41.7% from beyond the perimeter by hitting 10 of 24 and ended up shooting 12 of 15 at the free throw line (80.0%). The Bulldogs permitted Auburn to bury 33 of their 60 tries from the field which left them shooting 55.0% in the game. When the game finished, the Bulldogs ended up shooting 22 out of 63 from the floor which had them shooting 34.9%. With regard to 3-point shots, Mississippi State buried 3 out of their 24 attempts (12.5%). They were able to bury 19 of those for a percentage of 70.4%. Auburn committed 19 fouls for the game which took the Bulldogs to the free throw line for a total of 27 shots. They also coughed up the ball 16 times, while recording 7 steals for the matchup. The Bulldogs snagged 22 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive rebounds for a total of 37 in this contest.

Josh Hubbard ended up having an impact for the Bulldogs for this contest. He tallied 17 points in his 36 minutes on the hardwood, but wasn't able to notch an assist. He made 2 out of 12 for the matchup for a field goal percentage of 16.7%, and tallied 5 rebounds.

Mississippi State has a win-loss mark of 14-3 this season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Bulldogs are connecting on 46.7% from the floor, which ranks 99th in college. Mississippi State has earned 1,408 points on the campaign (82.8 per contest) and they pull in 39.1 boards per game. They are getting an assist 16.3 times per contest (57th in the nation) and they turn it over 9.8 times per game. The Bulldogs are committing 16.7 personal fouls every game and they hit 70.6% from the charity stripe.

The Mississippi State defense gives up 34.8% on 3-point shots (136 of 391) and their opponents are connecting on 68.3% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 12.2 assists and 34.4 boards on a nightly basis, ranking them 110th and 176th in the country. The Bulldogs are ranked 119th in college in points per game surrendered with 69.5. They are forcing 14.3 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 42.5% from the field (138th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mississippi State

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