Ole Miss Rebels vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, 3/28/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Ole Miss Rebels vs Michigan State Spartans

Date: Friday, March 28, 2025

Location: State Farm Center in Champaign, IL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Ole Miss (+4)

The Ole Miss Rebels (24-11) are on their way to State Farm Center on Friday where they will compete against the Michigan State Spartans (29-6) in the Sweet 16. Ole Miss opens this game as 4-point dogs. The over/under has been set at 144.

The Ole Miss Rebels played Iowa State and earned the victory with a final of 91-78 in their last game. In reference to personal fouls, the Rebels finished with 21 while Iowa State accounted for 19 personal fouls. They also knocked down 8 out of their 22 tries from 3-point range. Iowa State finished the contest at 66.7% at the free throw line by knocking down 16 of their 24 tries. Additionally, Iowa State grabbed 32 rebounds (13 offensive, 19 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Iowa State distributed 9 assists and had 5 steals for the matchup. In the matter of defense, Ole Miss let their opponent shoot 48.2% from the field on 27 out of 56 shooting. They also distributed 15 dimes in this contest in addition to forcing 15 turnovers and earning 11 steals. With regard to getting rebounds, they compiled 28 with 5 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Rebels converted 16 of 21 attempts for a percentage of 76.2%. Ole Miss wrapped up the contest with a 58.2% field goal percentage (32 of 55) and made 11 out of their 19 shots from distance.

Sean Pedulla is one player who was a contributor for the matchup. He ended up finishing with 20 points on 6 of 13 shooting. He played 37 minutes and also pulled down 2 rebounds. He finished the game at 46.2% from the floor and also distributed 8 dimes.

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Ole Miss comes into this game with a mark of 24-11 on the year. They currently have an average of 77.4 points per game (82nd in Division 1) while connecting on 44.6% from the field. The Rebels are connecting on 34.8% on shots from downtown (291 of 836) and 73.6% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Ole Miss is pulling down 33.1 boards per game and is sitting with 497 dimes for the season, which has them ranked 91st in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. They are giving up possession 9.0 times per game and as a squad are committing 18.2 personal fouls every game.

Defensively, the Rebels are able to force 14.2 turnovers per game while drawing 18.0 fouls. They are 315th in college in giving up assists with 489 surrendered for the season. The Rebels defense is allowing a FG percentage of 43.2% (845 of 1,954) and they concede 37.5 boards per contest as a team. They are relinquishing 32.5% on 3-point shots while they are 173rd in college in opponents PPG (71.7).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Michigan State Spartans took home the win by a final score of 71-63 when they faced New Mexico. In regard to how they cleaned up the glass, Michigan State allowed New Mexico to get 28 in total (6 on the offensive glass). They went 30.8% from behind the 3-point line by going 4 out of 13 and finished the contest at 5 of 10 from the charity stripe (50.0%). The Spartans allowed New Mexico to convert 27 out of their 56 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 48.2% for the matchup. Overall, the Spartans went 24 for 54 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 44.4%. In regard to shooting from distance, Michigan State converted 4 out of 15 attempts (26.7%). They were able to make 19 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 67.9%. New Mexico committed 22 fouls in this matchup which took the Spartans to the free throw line for 28 attempts. They also coughed up the ball 9 times, while earning 6 steals for this game. The Spartans were able to corral 22 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards totaling 31 for the contest.

Jaden Akins was important for the Spartans for the game. He made 7 out of 11 for the matchup for a rate of 63.6%, and had 1 rebound. He recorded 16 points in his 30 mins of playing time and had 1 assist in this contest.

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Michigan State has a record of 29-6 for the season. The Spartans have committed 16.8 fouls per contest and they shoot 77.6% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 16.7 times per contest (22nd in the nation) and they lose possession via turnover 11.5 times per contest. Michigan State has totaled 2,737 points on the season (78.2 per game) and they pull in 40.1 boards per contest. As an offense, the Spartans are shooting 46.0% from the floor, which has them ranked 102nd in college hoops.

The Spartans defensively are ranked 44th in college in PPG given up with 67.0. They are able to force 11.3 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 40.4% from the floor (24th in D-1). The Michigan State defense allows 27.8% on three-point shots (230 of 828) and their opponents are making 71.6% of their foul shots. They have given up 12.3 dimes and 30.6 total boards per game, which is ranked 106th and 14th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Ole Miss (+4)

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