North Carolina State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction, 2/19/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: NC State Wolfpack vs North Carolina Tar Heels

Date: Wednesday, February 19, 2025

Location: Dean E. Smith Center in Iowa City, IA

TV: ESPN+

The North Carolina Tar Heels (14-11) will play the NC State Wolfpack (9-15) at Dean E. Smith Center on Wednesday.

The NC State Wolfpack played Louisville and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 91-66 in their last contest. Regarding fouls, the Wolfpack ended up finishing with 13 and Louisville had 17 fouls. They buried 11 of 19 tries from 3-point range. Louisville ended up going 90.9% at the charity stripe by knocking down 10 of 11 shots. Additionally, Louisville collected 32 boards (6 offensive, 26 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Louisville distributed 18 assists and had 9 steals in this contest. In relation to defending, North Carolina State allowed the other team to go 63.6% from the field on 35 out of 55 shooting. They also dished out 16 dimes for this game while forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and having 8 steals. In relation to hauling in rebounds, they earned 28 with 14 of them being offensive. When they shot from the free throw line, the Wolfpack made 11 of 17 attempts for a rate of 64.7%. North Carolina State walked away from the game with a 36.1% FG percentage (22 out of 61) and made 11 out of their 33 three-point shots.

Trey Parker is a player who played a role in the matchup. He finished 38.5% from the field and also dished out 3 assists. He was on the court for 22 minutes played and also snagged 1 board. He ended up with 13 points on 5 of 13 shooting.

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North Carolina State enters this contest with a mark of 9-15 on the year. They turn it over 9.4 times per game and as a team they commit 16.0 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, North Carolina State is pulling in 32.3 boards per contest and has accounted for 297 assists on the campaign, which has them ranked 304th in D-1 in terms of passing. The Wolfpack are shooting 32.0% from downtown (149 of 466) and 71.6% from the free throw line. They average 69.5 points per game (295th in D-1) while shooting 43.0% from the field.

Defensively, the Wolfpack are forcing their opponents into 12.6 turnovers per contest while drawing 16.0 personal fouls. They are ranked 77th in D-1 in giving up assists to the opposition with 293 relinquished on the campaign. The Wolfpack defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 44.9% (599 of 1,333) and they relinquish 35.8 boards per game as a group. They are relinquishing 34.0% from beyond the arc and they are 91st in the nation in PPG allowed (69.0).

When they last played, the North Carolina Tar Heels took a loss by a final score of 85-65 when they played Clemson. The Tar Heels were able to collect 18 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 26 for this contest. They also turned it over 13 times, while getting 8 steals for this contest. Clemson earned 12 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Tar Heels to the free throw line for 11 tries. They were able to knock down 5 of the free throws for a rate of 45.5%. Regarding shooting from 3-point land, North Carolina knocked down 4 out of 19 attempts (21.1%). When this game wrapped up, the Tar Heels finished shooting 28 out of 62 from the field which had them shooting 45.2%. The Tar Heels allowed Clemson to bury 32 out of 64 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 50.0% for this game. They finished 48.0% from downtown by shooting 12 out of 25 and ended up going 9 of 12 from the free throw line (75.0%). With respect to rebounding, North Carolina permitted Clemson to get 38 in total (13 on the offensive glass).

RJ Davis ended up being important for the Tar Heels for the contest. He scored 18 points in his 33 minutes on the court and earned 2 assists for this game. He buried 8 out of 14 for this game for a field goal rate of 57.1%, and had 2 rebounds.

North Carolina has a mark of 14-11 this season. The Tar Heels commit 17.7 fouls every game and they hit 73.7% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 14.3 times per game (136th in the nation) and they are turning it over 11.0 times per game. North Carolina has totaled 1,999 points so far this season (80.0 per game) and they collect 36.7 boards per game. When it comes to offense, the Tar Heels are shooting 46.9% from the field, which ranks 72nd in college.

The Tar Heels on the defensive end are ranked 308th in college hoops in PPG given up with 76.6. They are able to force 11.1 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.0% from the floor (144th in the nation). The North Carolina defense gives up 34.3% on shots from beyond the arc (208 of 606) and their opponents are knocking down 74.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have allowed 13.4 dimes and 35.2 rebounds on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 213th and 232nd in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take North Carolina

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