New Mexico Lobos vs Marquette Golden Eagles Prediction, 3/21/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: New Mexico Lobos vs Marquette Golden Eagles

Date: Friday, March 21, 2025

Location: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH

TV: TBS

Odds/Point Spread: New Mexico (+3)

The New Mexico Lobos (26-7) are on their way to Rocket Arena on Friday where they will try to defeat the Marquette Golden Eagles (23-10) in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament. Marquette is 3-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 153.

The New Mexico Lobos faced off with Boise State and went home with a loss by a final score of 72-69 in their last game. In the matter of fouls, the Lobos ended up with 16 while Boise State accounted for 18 fouls. They buried 7 out of their 27 shots from beyond the arc. Boise State finished the game at 82.6% at the charity stripe by knocking down 19 of 23 tries. Additionally, Boise State totaled 36 boards (10 offensive, 26 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Boise State earned 15 assists and had 4 steals for the matchup. With regard to defending, New Mexico let their opponent shoot 44.2% from the floor on 23 of 52 shooting. They also recorded 14 assists for the game in addition to forcing the opposition into 10 turnovers and earning 7 steals. When it comes to hauling in rebounds, they compiled 30 with 13 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Lobos buried 13 of their 18 attempts for a percentage of 72.2%. New Mexico walked away from the game having earned a 39.7% field goal percentage (25 of 63) and made 6 of their 18 shots from beyond the arc.

Donovan Dent is someone who was a major contributor in the matchup. He accounted for 23 points on 8 out of 17 shooting. He played for 38 mins and grabbed 2 rebounds. He finished shooting 47.1% from the floor and distributed 5 dimes.

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New Mexico heads into this one with a mark of 26-7 on the campaign. They turn it over 11.4 times per game and as a team are committing 17.5 fouls per contest. As a team, New Mexico is grabbing 39.3 boards per game and has earned 500 dimes this season, which is 79th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Lobos are connecting on 34.7% on 3-point shots (234 of 674) and 68.7% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 81.2 points per contest (26th in D-1) while hitting 45.9% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Lobos are forcing their opponents into 15.3 turnovers per game while drawing 19.3 personal fouls. They give up 33.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 143rd in college in opponents points per game (70.8). The Lobos defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 42.9% (823 of 1,920) and they concede 35.3 rebounds per contest as a unit. They are currently ranked 317th in D-1 in giving up assists with 484 relinquished this year.

In their last game, the Marquette Golden Eagles walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 79-63 against St. John's. When it comes to how they rebounded, Marquette permitted St. John's to collect 34 overall (10 offensive). They shot 27.8% from three-point range by going 5 of 18 and finished the game at 18 out of 25 at the free throw line (72.0%). The Golden Eagles permitted St. John's to convert 28 out of 67 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 41.8% in this game. In all, the Golden Eagles went 23 for 59 from the field which gave them a rate of 39.0%. With regard to shooting from 3-point land, Marquette made 6 of their 29 attempts (20.7%). They were able to bury 11 of the free throws for a rate of 61.1%. St. John's was called for 17 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Golden Eagles to the free throw line for 18 attempts. They also coughed it up 17 times, while getting 8 steals for the contest. The Golden Eagles snagged 33 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 39 in this game.

Kameron Jones ended up being important for the Golden Eagles for the contest. He made 10 of 22 in this game for a field goal rate of 45.5%, and had 7 rebounds. He accumulated 24 points in his 37 mins on the court and earned 2 dimes for this game.

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Marquette has a record of 23-10 this season. In terms of offensive execution, the Golden Eagles are shooting 44.5% from the field, which ranks 186th in college. Marquette has 2,537 pts so far this season (76.9 per contest) and they collect 34.2 boards per game. They are assisting teammates 13.8 times per contest (164th in the nation) and they are turning it over 9.3 times per game. The Golden Eagles are committing 16.0 fouls every game and they shoot 72.3% from the free throw line.

The Golden Eagles are ranked 72nd in Division 1 in PPG given up with 68.5. They are able to force 14.8 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.5% from the floor (168th in college). The Marquette defense gives up 31.8% on shots from 3-point land (235 of 740) and their opponents are connecting on 72.8% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 14.7 assists and 35.9 total boards per game, which ranks them 302nd and 275th in those categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New Mexico (+3)

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