MTSU Blue Raiders vs New Mexico State Aggies Prediction, 2/27/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: MTSU Blue Raiders vs New Mexico State Aggies

Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025

Location: Pan American Center in Huntington, WV

TV: ESPN+

The MTSU Blue Raiders (18-9) are hitting the road to Pan American Center on Thursday where they will attempt to beat the New Mexico State Aggies (15-12).

The MTSU Blue Raiders faced Sam Houston State and went home with a win by a final score of 74-70 in their last game. When talking about fouls, the Blue Raiders ended up finishing with 17 while Sam Houston State accounted for 17 fouls. They also knocked down 12 of 19 shots from 3-point land. Sam Houston State shot 61.5% at the free throw line by making 8 of 13 shots. Moreover, Sam Houston State grabbed 25 rebounds (7 offensive, 18 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Sam Houston State doled out 9 dimes and had 6 steals for the game. When discussing defense, MTSU allowed 48.1% from the floor on 25 out of 52 shooting. They also dished out 14 assists for this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and earning 7 steals. With respect to hauling in boards, they earned a total of 29 with 14 of them being of the offensive variety. From the charity stripe, the Blue Raiders made 12 of their 17 shots for a percentage of 70.6%. MTSU ended the game having earned a 44.8% field goal percentage (26 out of 58) and made 10 out of their 23 shots from 3-point land.

Tre Green is a player who came through for this contest. He finished shooting 50.0% from the field but wasn't able to get a dime. He played 29 mins and snagged 3 rebounds. He finished with 17 points on 5 out of 10 shooting.

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MTSU comes into this one with a record of 18-9 so far this season. They currently have an average of 76.1 points per game (121st in the country) while shooting 45.6% from the floor. The Blue Raiders are connecting on 33.0% on three-point attempts (201 of 610) and 67.5% from the charity stripe. As a team, MTSU is snagging 37.9 boards per contest and has racked up 337 dimes on the season, which is 301st in the country in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 11.1 times per contest and as a team are committing 17.1 fouls per contest.

When they are on the defensive end, the Blue Raiders have forced 11.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 16.6 fouls. They are conceding 31.0% on shots from downtown and they rank 167th in the nation in opponents points per game (71.4). The Blue Raiders defense is allowing a FG percentage of 42.1% (686 of 1,628) and they surrender 35.8 boards per contest as a group. They are 83rd in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 337 conceded on the campaign.

For their last game, the New Mexico State Aggies walked away with a victory by a final of 60-49 when they played Kennesaw State. In reference to how they attacked the glass, New Mexico State allowed Kennesaw State to collect 26 in total (6 on the offensive side). They finished the game shooting 17.4% from three-point range by going 4 of 23 and walked away from this one shooting 15 out of 24 from the free throw line (62.5%). The Aggies permitted Kennesaw State to make 15 out of their 46 attempts from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 32.6% for this contest. When all was said and done, the Aggies went 18 for 48 from the floor which had them shooting 37.5%. In relation to shooting from distance, New Mexico State buried 3 of 17 attempts (17.6%). They were able to make 21 of them for a clip of 65.6%. Kennesaw State was called for 23 personal fouls for this contest which got the Aggies to the free throw line for 32 attempts. They turned the ball over 9 times, while recording 9 steals for this game. The Aggies pulled down 25 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards totaling 34 for the matchup.

Zawdie Jackson was important for the Aggies for the game. He knocked down 6 of 13 in the game giving him a rate of 46.2%, and added 5 rebounds. He racked up 20 points in his 33 mins of playing time, but wasn't able to get an assist.

New Mexico State has a win-loss record of 15-12 for the campaign. When it comes to offense, the Aggies are hitting on 41.9% from the floor, which has them ranked 326th in the country. New Mexico State has accumulated 1,885 pts for the year (69.8 per contest) and they grab 37.4 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 11.9 times per game (308th in D-1) and they turn the ball over 11.4 times per contest. The Aggies are committing 18.6 personal fouls every game and they go 68.0% from the free throw line.

The Aggies on the defensive end are ranked 31st in D-1 in PPG allowed with 66.0. They have forced 11.2 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 39.6% from the field (15th in college). The New Mexico State defense gives up 28.4% on shots from beyond the arc (176 of 619) and opponents are making 68.1% of their shots from the free throw line. They have given up 11.4 assists and 33.9 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 46th and 158th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take MTSU

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