Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, 3/21/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs Duke Blue Devils

Date: Friday, March 21, 2025

Location: Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Mount St. Mary's (+32)

The Duke Blue Devils (31-3) will try to defeat the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (22-12) at Lenovo Center on Friday in the 1st round of the NCAA Tournament. Mount St. Mary's is 32-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 140.

The Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers played Iona and took home the win by a score of 63-49 in their last contest. When it comes to personal fouls, the Mountaineers ended up with 17 while Iona finished the game with 18 personal fouls. They also made 5 of 23 attempts from 3-point range. Iona ended up going 61.5% from the free throw line by knocking down 8 of 13 attempts. Furthermore, Iona totaled 33 rebounds (14 offensive, 19 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Iona distributed 9 dimes and had 7 steals in this matchup. When discussing defense, Mount St. Mary's allowed their opponent to shoot 31.0% from the field on 18 of 58 shooting. They also recorded 18 assists for the matchup as well as forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and getting 6 steals. With respect to rebounding, they collected 28 with 5 of them being of the offensive sort. At the free throw line, the Mountaineers made 7 of 11 attempts for a percentage of 63.6%. Mount St. Mary's finished the contest with a 42.3% field goal percentage (22 of 52) and made 12 of their 32 shots from beyond the arc.

Dallas Hobbs is someone who was a contributor for this contest. He finished the game at 31.3% from the field and totaled 7 assists. He played 34 mins and also collected 3 boards. He ended up walking away with 18 points on 5 out of 16 shooting.

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Mount St. Mary's comes into this matchup with a mark of 22-12 on the year. They are giving up possession 15.1 times per game and as a squad they commit 15.8 fouls every game. As a team, Mount St. Mary's is snagging 37.7 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 510 assists this season, which ranks 63rd in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Mountaineers are hitting 34.8% from downtown (271 of 778) and 73.4% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 70.4 pts per contest (272nd in the nation) while going 44.2% from the field.

On defense, the Mountaineers are able to force 11.2 turnovers per game and they draw 16.2 personal fouls. They are conceding 31.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are 112th in college in PPG allowed (69.8). The Mountaineers defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 40.6% (841 of 2,069) and they surrender 33.3 rebounds per game as a team. They are 223rd in D-1 in giving up assists with 441 relinquished so far this season.

When they last played, the Duke Blue Devils went home victorious with a score of 73-62 against Louisville. When it comes to how they attacked the glass, Duke allowed Louisville to grab 30 in all (11 on the offensive side). They wrapped up this game 26.9% from 3-point land by shooting 7 of 26 and ended up shooting 5 of 10 from the charity stripe (50.0%). The Blue Devils allowed Louisville to convert 25 out of their 64 attempts from the floor which had them at 39.1% for this game. Overall, the Blue Devils went 22 for 50 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 44.0%. Concerning 3-pointers, Duke made 10 out of their 27 tries (37.0%). They were able to make 19 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 79.2%. Louisville had 19 personal fouls for the game which took the Blue Devils to the free throw line for a total of 24 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while getting 6 steals for this contest. The Blue Devils were able to pull down 23 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards totaling 31 in the game.

Tyrese Proctor ended up having an impact for the Blue Devils in this contest. He had 19 points in his 37 mins of playing time and earned 2 dimes for this game. He made 6 out of 14 in this game giving him a rate of 42.9%, and accumulated 1 rebound.

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Duke has a win-loss record of 31-3 on the campaign. As an offense, the Blue Devils are connecting on 48.8% from the field, which ranks them 18th in college. Duke has totaled 2,812 points this season (82.7 per contest) and they snag 38.6 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 16.8 times per contest (23rd in Division 1) and they turn the ball over 9.6 times per contest. The Blue Devils are committing 15.9 personal fouls every game and they shoot 78.4% from the free throw line.

The Blue Devils on the defensive end are ranked 7th in the country in PPG allowed with 61.9. They are able to force 11.8 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 38.6% from the field (7th in D-1). The Duke defense gives up 30.9% on three-point shots (230 of 745) and opponents are making 71.5% of their foul shots. They allow 11.5 assists and 30.5 total boards per game, which ranks them 49th and 13th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mount St. Mary's (+32)

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