Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs American Eagles Prediction, 3/19/2025 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs American Eagles

Date: Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH

TV: truTV

Odds/Point Spread: Mount St. Mary's (+3)

UD Arena is the site where the American Eagles (22-12) will try to defeat the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (22-12) on Wednesday in the First Four of the NCAA Tournament. Mount St. Mary's opens this matchup as 3-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 129.

The Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers faced Iona and took home the win by a score of 63-49 in their last contest. In reference to personal fouls, the Mountaineers ended up with 17 while Iona had 18 personal fouls. They made 5 of their 23 shots from long range. Iona went 61.5% from the free throw line by burying 8 of their 13 attempts. Furthermore, Iona snagged 33 rebounds (14 offensive, 19 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. Iona totaled 9 dimes and had 7 steals for this game. When talking about the defense, Mount St. Mary's allowed 31.0% from the floor on 18 of 58 shooting. They also dished out 18 dimes in this game while forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and earning 6 steals. With respect to grabbing boards, they collected a total of 28 with 5 of them being offensive. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Mountaineers buried 7 of their 11 attempts for a percentage of 63.6%. Mount St. Mary's finished the game with a 42.3% field goal percentage (22 out of 52) and knocked down 12 of their 32 shots from 3-point land.

Dallas Hobbs is one player who was a major contributor in this matchup. He ended up going 31.3% from the field and earned 7 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 34 minutes played and also snagged 3 rebounds. He left the arena with 18 points on 5 of 16 shooting.

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Mount St. Mary's will enter this game with a win-loss record of 22-12 on the year. They turn the ball over 15.1 times per game and as a team they commit 15.8 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Mount St. Mary's is grabbing 37.7 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 510 assists on the year, which is 63rd in the country in terms of passing. The Mountaineers are hitting 34.8% from downtown (271 of 778) and 73.4% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 70.4 points per contest (272nd in D-1) while hitting 44.2% from the field.

On defense, the Mountaineers have forced 11.2 turnovers per game and they draw 16.2 personal fouls. They give up 31.2% on 3-point attempts and they rank 112th in the nation in PPG from their opponents (69.8). The Mountaineers defensively are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 40.6% (841 of 2,069) and they surrender 33.3 boards per game as a group. They are ranked 226th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 441 surrendered so far this year.

When they last stepped on the court, the American Eagles went home victorious with a score of 74-52 when they played Navy. When talking about rebounding, American allowed Navy to pull down 31 in total (10 on the offensive side). They finished shooting 20.0% from 3-point land by shooting 4 out of 20 and walked away from this one shooting 8 of 10 at the charity stripe (80.0%). The Eagles allowed Navy to knock down 20 of 57 tries from the field which had them sitting at 35.1% for this game. When the final whistle was blown, the Eagles finished the game shooting 27 out of 52 from the floor which had them shooting 51.9%. When it comes to shooting from beyond the arc, American converted 11 of their 25 attempts (44.0%). They were able to convert 9 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 69.2%. Navy had 14 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Eagles to the free throw line for 13 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 8 times, while earning 8 steals in the matchup. The Eagles pulled down 27 defensive boards and 3 offensive rebounds for a total of 30 for the game.

Matt Rogers was important for the Eagles for the matchup. He buried 10 of 17 in this matchup for a rate of 58.8%, and had 8 rebounds. He scored 25 points in his 29 minutes on the hardwood and had 2 dimes in the game.

American has a mark of 22-12 on the season. The Eagles commit 17.9 fouls per game and they go 75.6% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 12.5 times per contest (265th in the country) and they cough up possession 11.1 times per contest. American has earned 2,334 points on the year (68.6 per game) and they collect 30.3 boards per contest. When it comes to offense, the Eagles are shooting 44.3% from the floor, which is ranked 199th in the nation.

The Eagles on the defensive end are ranked 50th in the nation in points allowed per game with 67.3. They are forcing 11.9 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 45.4% from the floor (271st in college). The American defense gives up 32.9% on shots from beyond the arc (207 of 630) and their opponents are connecting on 69.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 12.1 dimes and 32.3 boards per game, which is ranked 86th and 56th in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take American (-3)

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